squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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Kinda wish I was one of those posters who could overreact to one game sample sizes to prove a particular negative opinion about a member of the cubs.
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Think we need Happ or Hoerner back up higher. Meatball take but Carson Kelly, Cleanup Hitter just seems untenable.
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Two excellent ABs from the bottom of the order.
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Assuming I’ve done the FG splits right, the pitching staff has been terrible on a full year basis at getting strike outs but actually really good the last 14 days. Feel like that anecdotally checks out with Shota, kittredge, etc. The results are overall good over that stretch, with our LOB% really the only thing that looks bad…which makes sense
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lol
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Ian Happ has the 21st most fWAR among outfielders since the beginning of 2023. 25th best hitter. He’s actually good.
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Village optimist checking in here (it's been a few days), but I keep going back to a version of this, which isn't the Cubs actually playing better but the Brewers just being a normal level of hot and not this historic run. Instead of 27-8, let's just say they've gone 22-13. We'd be a game and a half back from the Brewers with those five games still coming, ahead of the Dodgers and Padres, down a couple games to Philly, still comfortably up on the Mets. And then it's like....all those last facts are still true. Granted, obviously that's not reality, and also granted I think we were all expecting a better roster post trade deadline than we currently have. But the Brewers didn't really improve themselves either, especially if you, like me, believe that the Andrew Vaughn Summer was a mirage. It might be too late to catch them, but I don't see why we should be taking ourselves out of playoff consideration at this point. (Though, yes, things are very annoying and bad right now, will not argue against that)
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I kinda feel like the more the brewers win, the less angry I get about the trade deadline being so bad? Like, they’re 5 games clear of every team in baseball. Gore and Cabrera might not have been enough. (I still like our chances in a series with them)
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Guessing they’re saying it’s the highest since they starting keeping data, not that someone in 2000 went higher
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I like to poke fun at the people referencing 2018, 2003, 1984, whatever…but we do have a couple (two) pretty obvious data points of overworking young arms and what that did to their careers.
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in this post I will use the results of one game to justify all my prior arguments about the team and indirectly call out everyone who had different opinions as being obviously and clearly incorrect
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have you filtered out the slappy ones in that math
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Dansby hot streak would be cool
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lol besides yesterday, but I do think he'll be fine.
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lol what
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You're just slicing and dicing sample sizes to support the position that 95%ish of your posts are about: how uniquely bad the Cubs are. Bringing in the past four years but ignoring the first two months of this year is insane. Play out the thought process of your last sentence. Every team has a geographyhater that thinks their team is bad and won't do anything in the playoffs. Why are you right and they are wrong?
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I don't know. It's just still overtly negative to me. Like, the Dodgers are 13-16 since July 1. Mets are 15-14 in that stretch, 27-29 since June 1. Are they out too? The Tigers (13-17 since July 1), Yankees (12-18), and Astros (14-16) too? Or do we then have to bring in subjective judgements on why we're uniquely poorly positioned? Because the advanced statistics still really like our offense. Edit: Like if you think those teams are better suited, you're basically saying that the teams that performed as well or worse than us for the first 60 games, and then as poorly or worse than us the next 40 games are somehow better than us going forward. Which takes me back to the 'overtly negative' point. I just think your argument leaves you with like, three teams that you think have any real shot to win the World Series, which is a pretty foolish spot to be in in early August.
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Two things Playing at an 85 win pace from June 22nd through the rest of the year gets us to 91 wins. Smarter people have done the research on how exceedingly rare it is to miss the playoffs with 90+ wins, so the issue of just missing out on the playoffs shouldn't apply with the current facts. At that hypothetical point, are we an 91 win team or an 85 win team? 2024 Cubs played August and September at a 98 win pace but no one would call them a 98 win team because that wasn't their record. I think we're underperforming. Suzuki and Tucker are simply better players than what they've shown during this stretch, and I can't point to anyone playing out of their mind besides maybe Nico as negative regressors that will offset Suzuki/Tucker returning to form. The pitching is bad, yes, but the pitching has always been bad. The starting pitching isn't much changed from where it was post-Steele injury. Bullpen was 12th in the majors through May, 26th in the majors since then. Somewhere in the middle of that seems about right going forward.
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If the Cubs bad stretch is playing at an 85 win pace after playing at a 95 win pace leading up to that....that's a pretty good team?
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depends on your definition of 'fine' I guess. 95.9% to make the playoffs is still better than we were at any point in 2023 or 2024. I know the vibes are rancid, they've been brutal watches (though Sunday ended up fun), but pretty much every good team in baseball besides the Brewers has (usually recently) gone through a stretch like this (or worse). And yes, they will, at some point, hopefully in the next few weeks, lose again.
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The Cubs are 19-17 since June 21st and have the 6th best offense in baseball (4th if you include defense) over that stretch.
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you guys both thought the phrase was 'blimp in the radar'?
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what are we doing here, conceptually
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Yankees fans can join us in misery on this one, but at least their blow up was a little bit surprising.
