squally1313
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Everything posted by squally1313
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PCA is about to swing so horsefeathers hard
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At least until Dansby comes up with a guy on second
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We’re going with a bullpen game in the third game after the all star break, can we maybe focus on fixing that over the same complaints about who our 9th hitter is (league wide OPS: .636)
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drunk and taking my wins where I can get them.
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I don’t think it’s exact location, just velocity and angle. There’s probably an aspect of distance in there, with launch angle giving you a rough approximation of how long the ball is in the air. I honestly don’t know if it’s a skill to hit a line drive to the gap vs at the corner outfielder, but I don’t think it’s really a thing you can do regularly.
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I think, and this is being sent off half assed from my phone, the theory is that you can’t really control the direction of where you hit…right at the SS or through the hole or up the middle or whatever, the idea is just to hit it hard. And if you take out direction, you have thousands of data points of balls in play at a certain exit velocity and launch angle and how those ended up. It’s probably more nuanced than that, but I think big picture there have been thousands of balls hit at 105 mph at that launch angle (ish) and, historically, 57% of them have resulted in hits.
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3-3 on the road trip, thank god we get this break, team is freefalling
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I just want the best hitter almost always. Especially at first base. ‘Main guy’ doesn’t mean much to me. Maybe it’s Busch down the road, and he’s getting chances. Right now I think it’s Turner.
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I mean, it’s first base. From what I recall from last night, there’s a 20 point gap in wRC against LHPs. I’ll lean towards that. By all means, give Busch spotted ABs against LHPs (like they did last night, for better or for worse). But I think Turner gives you a better chance right now in that matchup.
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I don’t know how to sort FG by date range and against certain pitchers so I’ll take your word for it, but it’s hard for me to believe turner has been bad given how poorly he started and that was he had (going into last night) like a 109 wRC against LHPs for the year vs Busch’s 91. Also worth pointing out that Turner is typically going to get all the tough assignments. But, fair, point granted.
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I don’t get this logic. Turner is a better hitter against LHP than Busch is by any sample size of performance. Why wouldn’t you want your best hitters in the lineup in important games?
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I’m certainly not trying to say that everyone should sit back and watch dice roll and nod sagely at the outcome. Definitely get emotionally into it, it’s just the constant negativity around here that gets to me. Go back to the comfortable win threads (there are many) and besides them being much shorter you’ll notice the same posters just conveniently…missed those games or something. this was a team that the optimists were projecting for upper 80s in wins going into the year. It’s basically the all star break and we’re at a 95 win pace. If you can’t be happy about this team, maybe baseball just isn’t for you
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The venn diagram of people who think Matt Shaw (or Ian Happ, or whatever) suck and will continue to suck because of past results and people who think the team (in first place, 95 win pace through 94 games) sucks because of sliced and diced reasons is basically a circle and it's fascinating. What a way to live. Basically, be like Greg, not like Ryan
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Boyd replaced in the all star game (by the mis kid from Milwaukee, which is dumb, whatever). Hoping that’s just a rest thing. Deep, deep trouble if not.
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Yes, my argument was obviously ‘we should spend less money’ and not ‘your complaint about bad players getting starts happens to every team in baseball regardless of budget’.
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And still have garbage players making starts somehow. Maybe it’s just a thing that happens in a 162 game series. Or maybe it’s Just A Cubs Thing.
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wRC against LHP 159 Nico 143 Tuck 164 Seiya 110 Kelly 72 PCA 131 Dansby 109 Turner 91 Busch 19 Berti PCA is too high but probably didn't want PCA and Busch back to back with only really Happ (who has struggled against LHP this year) as a PH option.
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ERAs of the current Yankee bullpen pitchers: 4.72 3.48 4.50 3.03 7.50 2.38 14.73 4.84 Meanwhile our top 7 guys go 1.83, 1.65, 0.00, 2.88, 1.10, 0.83, 3.28
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Horton has reverse splits, as does Taillon this year (but looks like an aberration), but something like a fixed, max effort Ben Brown waiting in the wings to shut down an all righty line up for a few innings would be a good add to that mix.
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No, see, you're looking at the full year. That's silly. What you need to do is look at the last three games, and ideally ignore the last one. Plus, Matt Shaw is a struggling rookie, so there's that.
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I just don't think there's really a position for him and the standard line up doesn't really lend itself to needing a lot of pinch hit opportunities. While he's gotten a handful of opportunities at 3B, I haven't heard anything that says he's close to handling the position. Carrying two essentially first base only players, especially with the four outfielders using the DH position as half days off, just doesn't seem feasible. If you dump Berti you don't have a middle infield back up, if you dump Brujan you don't have an outfield back up beyond blowing the DH. So then you're left with cutting Turner, and while I think it's a possibility for an established bat, I don't think Long is the guy they're going to do it for. Trading out Turner, who has been very bad for a rookie to get very sporadic ABs given what we've seen from an adjustment period, doesn't seem like much of an upgrade, and that's ignoring the soft skills of Turner (value those as you wish).
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Teams in the bottom half of 3B performance with playoff aspirations: Detroit, Yankees, Phillies, Mets, Brewers, Cubs. Toss in the Dodgers without Muncy. In terms of options, it's Suarez and then a fairly significant drop off. Six or seven teams bidding for a rental can still get pretty expensive. I haven't seen this mentioned so assume this is a bad idea, but would we be open to taking Eduardo Rodriguez or Lourdes Gurriel off their hands as a sweetener? Eduardo would solve the innings eater side of the equation but we'd also owe him $40m over the next two years. Gurriel gives us a bench bat but not much else and has a player option for $14m next year. I'd guess both of those contracts are underwater at this point, Rodriguez more than Gurriel.
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His family's got that sweet sweet Little Big League residual money, so there's no need for him to lock in financial security
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Muncy is out for at least 6 weeks too, so add the Dodgers to the mix.
