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soccer10k

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Everything posted by soccer10k

  1. So your solution to three of the four QF games not being close is to invite more undeserving teams? The solution is to just give the best four teams byes. I don’t think the long layoff had much to do with it I think it was fluky in that the 3 and 4 seeds were huge underdogs, the 2 seed was playing its backup QB and the 1 seed got stuck playing a team that should have been seeded higher. Give the 5 conference champs auto bids but then seed them where they are among the 12 teams in the field. If that means they’re seeded 10-11-12 (not that they necessarily would have been this year) and they don’t get a home game, oh well. Also, Clemson, ASU and Boise were certainly rewarded for winning their conference title games because none of those teams are in if they lose that game.
  2. I thought he was questioning you calling all four of the remaining teams blue bloods. It didn't even register to me either that Texas is in the SEC. So you're definitely not the only one.
  3. He originally had Texas -2 before sending out a new tweet later with OSU -6.
  4. Oregon looks awful.
  5. That's a shame. Texas didn't deserve to win that one and I look forward to betting against them next week.
  6. Perfect inside of 40 on the year but it's off the upright. LOL.
  7. Texas's offense sucks and it would be hilarious if they blew this game. The only reason their winning is because of a punt return TD, a missed FG and a turnover on downs at the 2 right before the safety. 5 minutes left in the game and they have 210 yards of offense.
  8. I don’t know what you guys were watching but that game told me Alabama was certainly a playoff team. I mean like Ohio St, they too showed they could lose a close low scoring game to Michigan.
  9. Seems like a fluky year more than anything. In 2023, only 4 teams had 4 or fewer wins and only 7 had 6 or fewer wins. Only 4 teams had 12 or more and only one of those was 13-4. In 2022, only 4 teams had 4 or fewer wins and only 7 had 6 or fewer wins. Only 7 teams had 11 or more wins.
  10. It's pretty wild. Even before they started losing, the underlying numbers weren't good but they didn't suggest anything like this could happen. If City won each of their 20 remaining games, they'd end up with 88 points, which would be enough to win only 1 of the last 8 EPL titles. Liverpool would also need 47 points from 21 games in that scenario to still win the title and they've picked up 42 from 17 so far.
  11. Hilariously bad decision from Pitt. They’re down 40-37 in the second OT and they have 3rd and goal from the 1. They direct snap to a WR and he tries to throw it and it’s incomplete. Probably should have been completed. Then on 4th and goal from the 1, they kick the FG to go to a third OT. So rather than a play from the 1 to win the game, Pitt chooses 1 play from the 3 which Toledo would then have their own chance from the 3 as well.
  12. Eh, Alabama/South Carolina/Ole Miss easily could have been blown out too. We had blowouts with the BCS and the 4 team playoff too.
  13. Indiana was only 11-1 because they didn’t play in a conf title game like Penn St, Texas and SMU had to. So prior to that there were 5.
  14. The gambling site I use put out over under win totals and the White Sox is 50.5. I did a bit of googling and found a few in the 58-61 range in years past (the 2019 Orioles coming off a 115 loss season were still at 58). But it’s pretty crazy the over under has the Sox going 51-111 this year.
  15. Juventus is undefeated this season. Juventus is in 6th place and 9 points back of 1st. The reason? They've tied 10 of the 16 games this year. I sent that to my brother earlier and he wondered if any team has gone through a season undefeated and not won the league. It's happened a few times but only once in one of the big 5 leagues. In 1978-79 Serie A, Perugia went 11-19-0 and finished in 2nd, 3 points back of top. But that's not what's notable. Here's the league table: So every team tied at least 10 of their 30 games. Only 2 teams scored 40 goals and only 6 teams even got to 30, which is 1 per game. So 10 of the 16 teams didn't even average a goal per game. In England that year, only 10 of 22 teams tied over 1/3 of their games and only 1 team averaged less than 1 goal per game. In Germany, only 8 of 18 teams tied 1/3 of their games (I included the 5 teams that tied 11 of 34 games) and no teams averaged less than a goal per game. In Spain, only 4 of 18 tied 1/3 of their games and 2 averaged less than a goal per game. Wikipedia has the full H2H matrix and there are a lot of 0-0 draws on there.
  16. Only if you ignore the fact that Lamar and Allen provide value while running the ball. Lamar has a better QB rating, QBR, fewer picks, more total yards (pass and rush) and 1 more TD. Burrow with a narrow lead in comp%. Burrow is better than Allen in QB rating, total yards, comp% and has 1 more TD. Allen has a better QBR and fewer picks. Both Lamar and Allen have better yards per attempt and fewer sacks. I’d also argue Allen has the worst weapons around him (no Ja’Marr Chase or Derrick Henry). Burrow is really good, but if he had the same numbers and the Bengals 9-5 like the Ravens, he’d still be third behind those two guys.
  17. Voter fatigue and the fact that he’s had poor results in the playoffs will cause some voters to not vote for him. It’s a dumb reason but we’ve seen it happen many times before.
  18. I’m more on board with not necessarily playing yourself out of the playoff with a loss in the conference championship game except under more extreme circumstances. SMU loses by 21+ and is completely overmatched? Then that should matter. SMU loses by 3 and you don’t want to punish them? That’s understandable. I disagree but I get it. Bama had their chance but lost to Vandy and Oklahoma. Ole Miss lost to Florida and Kentucky. SMU didint blow a game to a crappy team. Personally I’d put Ole Miss in but that’s not a huge deal Penn St being ranked above Ohio State bugs me a whole lot more though. By Sagarin, OSU played 5 of the top 25 teams, including all 5 other Big 10 teams in the top-25. Penn St played 1 (give them 2 if you want to include #26 USC). There just isn’t a good argument to have Penn St above OSU besides “well they lost 1 less game during the regular season” which isn’t a good argument at all.
  19. Texas over Clemson, OSU over Tennesseee, Penn St over SMU, Notre Dame over Indiana Texas over ASU, Oregon over OSU, Penn St over Boise, Georgia over Notre Dame Oregon over Texas, Georgia over PSU Georgia over Oregon
  20. And they also went to Penn St and beat them and beat Indiana by 23. Penn St’a best win was at home against No 20 Illinois. I know you can just say, like you did, that OSU shouldn’t have lost to Michigan. And that’s fair. But these conference title games can’t mean nothing when it comes to seeding, besides who gets a bye or not.
  21. Committee clearly making a prescient that a team shouldn’t be punished for losing a conference title game, which I 100% disagree with. Not saying a team has to be punished necessarily though. Like if you replaced any of Penn St’s wins with at Oregon, are they in the title game still? Probably not. So you’re putting OSU behind them because their game against Oregon was in the regular season and ignoring that it was a closer game and on the road.
  22. If you want to argue against Indiana, I’ve got no problem with that. One small difference between the two is SMU had 4 games decided by 10 or less whereas Indiana only had 1.
  23. Good point, the ACC teams don't play FCS teams. Oh wait. SMU played Houston Christian Syracuse played Holy Cross Miami played Florida A&M Clemson played The Citadel (on Nov 23) And I know the Big 10 plays 9 conference games but that didn't stop Oregon from playing Idaho and Indiana from playing Western Illinois. That being said, yes, the ACC and SEC should be scheduling 9 conference games like the Big 10 and Big 12 do. It obviously wouldn't eliminate the problem of scheduling luck (case in point, Indiana this year) but it would help a little.
  24. Without doing a ton of research, I think I'd go: 1. Oregon 2. Georgia 3. Boise St. 4. Arizona St. 5. Ohio St. 6. Texas 7. Penn St. 8. Notre Dame 9. Tennessee 10. Indiana 11. Ole Miss 12. Clemson If I'm going to ding Texas or Penn St for having a soft schedule, I have to do the same to Notre Dame. And Notre Dame is the only one of the three that lost to Northern Illinois. I know the committee had Bama over Ole Miss last week so Ole Miss has no chance of getting in. But I'd still put Ole Miss in front.
  25. And this would be the wrong takeaway. The problem with these 16-18 team conferences is that the schedules are so imbalanced. In the regular season, SMU didn't play Clemson, Miami or Syracuse, who were the other three ranked teams in the ACC. In the SEC, 6 teams besides Bama are ranked and Bama played 4 of them. Would SMU have been 11-1 before today if they played two of those three ranked teams? Maybe. But I've got no problem penalizing a team for losing their conference if they might have only made the conference title game because they got the benefit of schedule luck. And if you want to ding Texas for this exact thing, that's totally fair too. They played Georgia but missed the other five ranked SEC teams. Not saying Texas should be out but the schedule matters more now than it did before.
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