soccer10k
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Everything posted by soccer10k
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Historically great based on what exactly? He led the league in INT% (behind Penix but he only played 9 games) and his season was 33rd all time. In 2024 he was third in the league. He fumbled 9 times, which was more than Hurts, Maye, Allen, Herbert, Lawrence and Dart despite those four all having more rushing attempts than him. All four of those guys got sacked more than Caleb as well. Best I can tell, the Bears fumbled 13 times but only lost 4 of them. Meanwhile they lead the league with 23 interceptions despite not being the best defensive team. Don't want to make it seem like Williams sucks. He may very well turn into a superstar. I just don't think we know that Caleb is a guy you win because of while Maye isn't (though it's certainly possible that sentiment turns out to be correct).
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Do we know the Bears can win because of Caleb? They went 11-6 with the point differential of a 9-8 team while leading the league with a +22 turnover margin (only four other teams were even +10). Like would we be saying that if the Bears went 8-9 and missed the playoffs last year like they probably should have?
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It does because they’ve had a crap pitching staff all year and yet they’re still on pace for 90 wins.
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How many reliable innings have we had from the bullpen for the first 5 1/2 months of the season?
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I’m not going to say the Cubs absolutely can’t or won’t win the WS. But I do think their flaw is so obvious and glaring that I just can’t see it happening. I don’t have a quick way of looking this up, but what the worst rank in pitching fWAR for a WS winner? Its not like we’re 17th where you can mix and match, play matchups, cut out the bad 5th starter and bottom couple relievers and your staff looks better. I mean to some extent we can, but I’m not sure it’s enough to make a meaningful difference.
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Ok. And they also just won a series against the Marlins and split a 4 game series against the team with the best record in the league. Nobody is saying we’re not going to blow games against bad team. We’re talking about what is likely to happen.
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Yes. Look at the schedule. It’s not like we’re playing the Brewers, Dodgers and Braves the next 16 games. We likely have one series against a good team that will be trying (Atlanta). Maybe 2 if Boston stays close to the Yankees and cares about HFA more than setting their pitching staff. Does that mean we will go 7-9 or better? Of course not.
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And it took the Cubs going 5-11 in those 16 games to miss the playoffs by a game. 7-9 isn’t great but it would have gotten them in.
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Looks like the DBacks are 3 back of the Cubs and the Padres are 3.5 back. Cubs have 16 games left. If the Cubs go 8-8, Ari would have to go 12-4 and SD 13-4 to pass us. Also keep in mind, SD and Ari play in San Diego to end the year so that's three guaranteed losses. Still play Pitt, Cincy, Mia and a Boston team that might have nothing to play for in the final series. Just don't tank and they'll get in. Yes, I'm sure I said that in 2023 when they did tank.
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Nats pen might be worse than ours so plenty of time for them to blow it.
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I want them to make it and will watch the games but unless they’re up 8, I’m just goin to assume the pen will blow it.
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They’re making the playoffs. They’re just going to do very little when they get there.
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Just have to tip your cap and call the Brewers our daddy.
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Should be able to cruise with a 5 run lead against the Marlins but no. Have to let the thing run come to the plate.
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Assuming we’re locked in to WC1 or WC2, who would we rather play between Atl or Phi? Obviously the ideal scenario is those two teams go down to the wire for the division and have to burn some pitchers.
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Yeah, baseball gonna baseball, but it seems so obvious this team's ceiling is limited at an NLDS appearance due to the pitching staff. They're just so bad that unless the offense just goes nuts, it's hard to see them making any sort of run.
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Not giving up on Palencia but I think last night was the first high leverage spot. -down 5-3 in the 7th at Seattle -up 4-0 in the 8th against Ari facing 8-9-1 -down 9-8 in the 9th against Cincy facing 7-8-9
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Anything can happen in a short series but it’s very unlikely the offense is the main reason the Cubs get bounced from the playoffs this year.
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New strategy for next year: just acquire a ton of starting pitchers. Two go each day and each one goes 4-5 innings. Then you have a couple random bullpen guys.
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Oh good Theilbar coming in.
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Going to need it.
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Lol Cubs.
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Lol a ball. Sure.
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Hopefully if it happens, the big Brewers hit is a legit one and not some opposite field bloop that scores two.