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soccer10k

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Everything posted by soccer10k

  1. https://www.tangotiger.net/re24.html In the scenario the Mets were in, it seems that adding baserunners doesn't really change the Cubs odds of scoring in that inning. Walking Nico would theoretically decrease the Cubs chances of scoring, though that would require the Mets to actually want to keep him on 1st. Bases loaded 1 out is basically the same as runner on first with one out, but then it comes down to matchups and how much faith you have in your pitcher to throw strikes. It's Kimbrel, so you probably shouldn't feel great about that.
  2. Would be 1st place in the AL West too. Before today, all 5 AL West teams were at or below .500.
  3. Their 4th inning against Boston last week might have been peak Brewers 4 runs on 3 hits, 3 walk, 1 error and 0 balls hit out of the infield.
  4. Its really just LA. Second best record is 10-6 and the worst record is 6-10. At least so far, we don't have a 2025 Rockies (3-13, -46 RD), 2024 White Sox (2-14, -53 RD) or 2023 A's (3-13, -63 RD). White Sox have the worst RD so far and it's only -30. Took each of those three teams at least 28 games to get their 6th win of the season.
  5. I had the same thought. I get wanting the righty righty matchup but it’s risky.
  6. Their pitcher saw Theilbar’s throw and was like “hold my beer”.
  7. Rory entered today with a 6 stroke lead. He’s through 12 and he’s now down 1.
  8. Come on Dansby. Dude has barely thrown a strikes in the last 10 pitches so why swing at a pitch 6 inches inside?
  9. Yeah, the first two pitches weren’t close so why are you swinging at the third? Make him throw you a strike.
  10. Long way to go but it would be funny if Rory waited so long for that first Masters last year and then won it again.
  11. Edmonton and Vegas have 88 points which leads the Pacific Division. That would put them 7th in the Atlantic, 6th in the Metro and tied for 4th in the Central.
  12. Not trying to be negative but I'll take the under on this. Cubs are 5-6 and they play game 60 on May 31. So that means they have to go 30-19 to get to 35-25. Definitely not impossible, but I'd be plenty happy with 29-20 and that would put them at only 8 over.
  13. His job is to do what the player wants. If Nico goes to him and says he wants to stay in Chicago and he wants to sign basically before the season as long as the Cubs meet some sort of minimums for years/annual salary/total money, then that's what the agent does. He can say hey, I think I can get you more if you wait and test out FA, but if that's not what the player wants, that's not what will happen. I mean, rough estimate is Nico had made around $40M through 2026 before taxes. Pretty good money. But $130M guaranteed is life changing money. Lock that in and you don't have to worry about a down year depressing your value or a major injury. He's not a pitcher so that's less likely, but still happens. We live in a world where we see a lot of people prioritize the most money they can get over everything else. But not everyone does that, and maybe Nico is one of those people.
  14. What you’re not impressed by someone predicting a pitcher will have elbow issues? What are you gong to tell me next, that you’re not impressed with a prediction that an NFL player will get a concussion?
  15. Yeah, it rarely is. Like a non contact injury in basketball or football where they grab the knee is almost always an ACL.
  16. LOL at ruling that the runner missed the bag on this.
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