no kidding...he hasn't had ANY success to this point. You know Shawn Estes had isolated stretches of success for the Cubs in 2003. maybe the worst comparison i've ever heard. I like Rich too, but it's clear something is wrong beyond just having a few bad outings. It seems that unless he has total command of his curveball(s), he's increasingly horrible. His fastball is adequate, but only with paired with an effective curve. Without the curve being sharp and thrown for strikes, he's a BP pitcher. Fortunately for Rich, he has gone through prolonged stretches where his curve was good, and the league was still trying to get a solid read on him. It appears they have, and a trend has developed, and it's not a good one. Rich needs another pitch to cover his butt when his curve is less than spectacular. Either that, or he is going to have to continually change up his pitch/situation strategies to prevent hitters from sitting on pitches. It seems a lot simpler to just add a pitch. Plenty of players have come into the league and looked awesome, only to fade into obscurity as they were figured out. Rich can still be awesome, but it may be evolve or die time for him. wow, that is being ridiculously harsh. It's a metaphor, abuck. What I am trying to say is that he may be at a key juncture in his career. His m.o. has been figured out, and his bad outings are becoming much more frequent. Since early May, he's had as many bad outings (4 or more ER) as good ones (QS), and as many horrible outings (5+ ER, less than 5 IP) as great ones 6+ IP, one or less ER). Why? He has one great pitch, and one average pitch to to complement it. When it is great, so is he. When his great pitch is ineffective, so is he. This makes it much easier to anticipate what he is going to do. The league is starting to figure this out. And when his great pitch can be anticipated, it lessens its effectiveness. Now he can keep going as is, but be inconsistent and go from being potentially great to mediocre. Or he can augment his repertoire by adding a pitch and regain some of the advantage he has lost. Either way, he's still going to have great outings. But with some adjustment he can increase their frequency, and perhaps turn some of those garbage starts into quality ones.