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Jason Ross

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Everything posted by Jason Ross

  1. Jason Ross
    We gave up two prospects. Neither were particularly "good". One is a backup OF'er at the MLB level and the other is 19 and is a developmental prospects who is about to turn 19 and has a 91 wRC+ in the ACL. Franklin will have a good shot at a career and could be a nice guy to have on a roster, but shouldn't be hard to replace. And Cruz is a lottery ticket. I liked following Cruz, but he's probably going to flame out.
  2. Jason Ross
    The Cubs and the Marlins both didn't like the medicals on the Miami trade, so the Cubs do look at these things. Matt Trueblood wrote an article explaining how the velocity drop had a mechanical and a pitch shape change to go with it as well as using the fastball differently. That suggests intention. One thing I mentioned a few times; he raised his arm slot and raising an arm slot brings more load into the shoulder area. Mike Soroka has shoulder discomfort. We can believe a few things here. It's possible that the Cubs, the day before the trade deadline, basically ignored all of the velocity drop, didn't perform a decent physical and bought a pitcher who was clearly hurt. I'll be honest with you and say that I don't buy that. He may have gambled a little on the medicals, but I think with as much time as he had left on Thursday, feel like he probably felt good enough with everything. I know that the velo drop seems like it has to be tied to this, but I'm not as sure as others. Jed didn't just ignore it. I think it's very, very, very likely that if you and I can pull this up on a Savant page, Jed probably can too. We'll see what comes of this. We may never know exactly what happened and when. But Hoyer isn't so incompetent to have entirely ignored this.
  3. Jason Ross
    To visualize, the first shows' Brown's pitches tonight (red=fastball). The second image is where he throws it normally. Notice how few are in the middle third tonight compared to the season.
  4. Jason Ross
    Ben Brown's fastball placement is *so* much better tonight. So, so, so much better.
  5. Jason Ross
    Charlie Morton has been horrible since mid-June. I'm not sure we wanted him.
  6. Jason Ross
    Here's the positive outlook here: Everything that he did with the velo drop seemed to have intention. It'd have been one thing if we just saw a velo drop, but he made mechanical changes that were directly tied to what you'd expect would drop velo and increase shape. He also pitched in a very particular way that highlighted that shape change. One of the things he did was raise his arm slot. Raising the arm slot creates heavier load in the shoulder, where as dropping the arm slow moves the load more towards the elbow/forearm. With a change in armslot it could great extra soreness in the shoulder area that Michael is feeling a bit. If it's just that, it'd be a short stint and he'd be right back. The negative look is that he was feeling the shoulder issues and he changed his mechanics because he was feeling it. This caused him to leave his fastball up in the zone more. But I assume at that point, the Cubs would have had plenty of access to medicals and a physical would have revealed this.
  7. Jason Ross
    Right shoulder discomfort. Not great.
  8. Jason Ross
    Looked at the statcast on Soroka and then the video of him coming off. He looked to be favoring his right side a little and explaining something to do with his ability to throw the slurve (the way he was gesturing would be a curveball/slurve rotation). Then in the Statcast, he didn't throw another slurve after he hung that pitch bad to Stephenson. Also, fastball was down 2 mph on those pitches and he was suddenly leaving everything up to the arm side. Probably not a nail.
  9. Jason Ross
    Stroman looks like he's done. He's been among the worst pitchers in all of baseball.
  10. Jason Ross
    There's a chance, but it would be a decent coincidence. He had changed his arm slot and the way he was throwing was creating more shape. He was using his fastball, specifically, very different before and after the velocity drop. Those are a lot of very specific changes to occur. It's almost assuredly that he changed something to help him maximize his pitches. He had a nail issue a few weeks ago. There is a real chance that Lodolo and Soroka got knocked out for similar reasons.
  11. Jason Ross
    I doubt he's getting pulled before like the 6th or the 7th inning. So however many PA's that will be.
  12. Jason Ross
    Sharma says he had a nail issue a few weeks ago. Let's hope it's that popping up.
  13. Jason Ross
    Alright, we can save this. We just need a time machine. And to send current Jed back to the past. Then we can trade for another SP.
  14. Jason Ross
    Well, apparently Michael is banged up.
  15. Jason Ross
    Nevermind. Looks injury related.
  16. Jason Ross
    Probably not. They'll probably let him play a few innings before torching the bench immediately.
  17. Jason Ross
    Ben Brown is warming up. Looks like the Cubs are planning on using him more as an "opener" and a piggyback with Brown.
  18. Jason Ross
    Would be great to see the Cubs punish the Reds bullpen. Reds have the 25th best bullpen based on xFIP, and the 25th worst walk-rate. Go beat these guys up on Monday and their pen will be hurt the whole series. Bummer for Lodolo, I never enjoy seeing someone hurt. For his sake, a blister issue will not be a killer long term at least.
  19. Jason Ross
    CB Bucknor is the best advertisement for why the ABS challenge system is needed.
  20. Jason Ross
    Actually, it does! Don't focus on the velocity so much - I know we're conditioned to see 91 and think "uh oh!" but since his velocity dropped, he's gotten much better results on the fastball. Throwing 94-95 is cool to us, but his shape suffers at that velocity. By dropping the velo, allows for the earth to react to the baseball a bit more and create more shape. Now, his issue with the fastball tonight has been placement - don't love him down at the knees with that thing. It's shaped and designed up in the zone. Think of him as a poor-mans Shota in that aspect. Shota throws 90-91 but it's the shape of the fastball (his is better than Michaels) and gets good whiff when he gets it up. Ideally Soroka would be on the upper third of the plate when he comes with the four-seam, not on the bottom third.
  21. Jason Ross
    horsefeathers. He hung that one.
  22. Jason Ross
    Matt wrote an article about it. The velocity drop is designed and isn't really a bug, it's a feature.
  23. Jason Ross
    To bring some data, he gets a whiff 38.1% of the time and has a 27.4% put away on it.
  24. Jason Ross
    That slurve is nasty.
  25. Jason Ross
    wOBA: .282 xwOBA: .305 League 3b wOBA: .307 I'm not sure he's underperformed so much as he's been the recipient of poor batted ball variance. Part of what is happening more recently stems from change, but part of this is that he's always been unlucky and some balls that weren't dropping are more frequently.
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