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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. Castro, the guy who is mid against righties and very good against lefties has had 1 AB so far against a lefty
  2. horsefeathers that off day Thursday can't come soon enough for Seiya
  3. I'm getting 2023 vibes but thats just my pessimistic side trying to take over.
  4. Can't be a 40/40 guy if you stop stealing bases and hitting HRs (also 1 HR since July 20)
  5. I knew it looked odd when he crossed first, seemed like something weird happened
  6. At least the Brewers trailed today and only won by 2. That's like a loss
  7. Remember when we all were hopeful to face the Reds below average pen for 7+ innings? 2 perfectly sequenced baserunners so far
  8. Rough season with SP injuries Steele - basically all season Imanaga - 5 weeks Taillon - 6 weeks Assad - all season up until now Soroka - probably rest of season after pitching 2 innings
  9. People on twitter are saying he was having arm issues before getting traded. No idea if that’s true but if so wtf are you doing Jed?
  10. Yes, my brain defaults to pessimism but that looked gone off the bat. Maybe 5% doubt remembering the wind but it looked pretty solid as soon as he hit it. Speaking of, I still haven't see Statcast details on that homer. Broke Savant.
  11. I was just addressing the idea that this particular lineup leaves us vulnerable to strong RH relievers later in the game.
  12. True but Turner can be subbed with Busch at any point and PCA can hit for Kelly or Shaw (subbing in McGuire or Berti afterwards)
  13. A little funny because as someone pointed out, Lodolo is slightly worse against lefties this year, but the Cubs are running out their most RH lineup possible (unless you subbed Berti for Tucker).
  14. Is there a meteorological reason for the 2 straight years for the high number of wind blowing in games? From what I've read, historically it's about 33/33/33 between in, out and cross-wind. But last year it was like 46/16/38 in favor of blowing in and this year doesn't have easy to compile data that I can find but its gotta be something similar. We're not in an El Niño or La Niña so it's not that. Could just be random luck and the wind happens to be blowing out heavily when the Cubs are out of town. But it's very strange....one year is a blip, 2 years seems like the beginnings of a trend if it continues.
  15. Wow I'm just hoping they get at least 1 from the 1927 Yankees.
  16. Don Draper voice (via ChatGPT): You can tell any story you want about a baseball player. All it takes is choosing the right starting point. Pick a 15-game hot streak and he's a future Hall of Famer. Highlight a cold stretch and suddenly he's a bust. That’s not analysis, it’s authorship. You’re not uncovering truth, you’re shaping perception. People want numbers to confirm what they already believe. They want to feel smart, justified, certain. So we slice the data to fit the narrative. A slump sells panic, a streak sells hope. The illusion is that it’s objective, because there’s a stat behind it. But it’s still a sales job. Baseball is full of streaks, full of noise. The truth is always messier than the story we tell. But the story is what sticks.
  17. I’ve been doing this for years. It’s just a way to show the length and depth of recent slumps. I'm not making grand claims about the players or the team, and I’m fully aware the endpoints are arbitrary. Baseball is full of streaks, good and bad, and eventually most guys hit again. This is just a snapshot of how rough it’s been lately, not a prediction or deep analysis, just a data dump. Like, saying 'Seiya has a .494 OPS over his last 14 games' doesn’t mean that’s who he is, it just illustrates how cold he’s been in that stretch.
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