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UMFan83

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Everything posted by UMFan83

  1. Just in time for a series against the Cardinals. Maybe they are hoping he will go off against his former team. And by "go off" I mean .250/.330/.375
  2. It's crazy to see that if the Giants win this, they will have taken 6 in a row from Colorado over the last 3 weeks and they would still only be 2.5 games out of the WC lead.
  3. This was part on ESPN play by play, so can someone please explain to me how a team can get a "negative error"? Runs gloved in are counted as negative errors.
  4. 8 runs today have been scored on walks or HBP
  5. I know I brought this up earlier in the thread, but a horrible Kosuke slump to end the year is the last thing we needed. Instead of ending the year thinking that he bounced back from last year and is at least a solid player, we have to wonder if we are going to be stuck with random hot streaks and month long slumps for the next 2 years with the team.
  6. Hell, if the same stuff happens tomorrow and we win Thursday, we can get to 4 GB with a sweep! Wouldn't that be hilarious. What wouldn't be hilarious is to do all of this and play like crazy the last month of the season and end up falling 2-3 games short, leaving us all winter to lament about how it took 5 months for the 2009 Cubs to get their #$*% together. So for me, it's either stay 5 or more games out of a playoff spot, or do the unthinkable.
  7. I was reading TheCubReporter blog, and him being a season ticket holder was invited to a forum with all the Cubs execs. I guess a ton of people expressed similar sentiment so at least the management knows that a majority of Cubs fans dislike the practice. I think it's more of a business decision for the Cubs because as much as the fans don't like it, having celebs consistently wanting to come to Cubs games and sing the 7th inning stretch is a good thing for them. Every time someone goes crazy and butchers the song and it ends up on Sportscenter, it's a good thing for the Cubs marketability.
  8. BTW, I guess its a good time to play St. Louis as they seem to be struggling a bit. Would be nice to do something crazy and sweep the series against them so the final standings at least look a little respectable for all of history to see.
  9. It's much lower than 10% odds. But I don't think those odds include strength of schedule or how hot a given team is playing so whatever.
  10. Fukudome hitting .159/.270/.190 in his last 18 games, not including today's 0-2 His line for the season is now .261/.374/.425/.799 Last year his line was .257/.359/.379/.738
  11. We're not catching them, so isn't it better that they take out some of the WC competition? Not that we have much of a chance at that either. In order for the Cubs to win either they have to go on an absurd tear, like 18-2. If they do that the teams that are nearby aren't keeping pace. I think 15-5 will do it. As of tonight Cubs are tied with ATL and FLA in the loss column and possibly only 6.5 out of WC lead. 15-5 would require a 7-11 finish from the Rockies just to tie them. 12-7 from the Giants too. That won't get it done. According to SportsClubStats, the Cubs would have an 11.1% chance of making the playoffs if they finished the season 15-5. Here is a full list: 20-0: 98.5% 19-1: 92.7% 18-2: 75.2% 17-3: 50.8% 16-4: 27.6% 15-5: 11.1% 14-6: 3.0% 13-7: 0.5% 12-8: less than 0.1% 11-9: less than 0.1% 10-10: less than 0.1% 9 wins or less: eliminated http://www.sportsclubstats.com/MLB/National/Central/Cubs.html
  12. That happened in 2004 because supposedly the Cubs were thought to be a tough out in 2004 with Prior, Wood, Zambrano, Clement and Maddux. Do you think the Cardinals would tank so that the Cubs couldn't win the WC, giving a scarier team (most likely) a chance to win the WC? I would buy the argument if you are trying to tell me that the Cards would rather play the WC winner (COL/SF/ATL/FLA) than Philly or LA, but not if you are saying the Cardinals would rather the Cubs not be amongst the 4 playoff teams, they of 9 straight playoff losses.
  13. Is it going to make a difference? It might...we have a better record right now than we did in 2007, we just have a dominant team in the division. If we are 74-68 in September and the Cardinals can't resign Holliday/DeRosa and Carp gets his expected injury than yes it will matter.
  14. Here is a little schedule analysis I did: April: 3 +500, 21 -500 May: 16 +500, 12 -500 June: 12 +500, 14 -500 July: 13 +500, 13 -500 August: 11 +500, 18 -500 Sept/Oct: 12 +500, 17 -500 April: 11 H, 13 A May: 16 H, 12 A June: 12 H, 14 A July: 14 H, 12 A August: 15 H, 14 A Sept/Oct: 13 H, 16 A Longest Homestand: July 15-25 (10 games, 11 days) Longest Road Trip: May 31-June 10 (9 games, 11 days), September 9-20 (9 games, 12 days) Tough stretch: May 10 - 30 3 vs. FLA 3 vs. PIT 2 vs. COL 2 @ PHI 3 @ TEX 3 vs. LAD 3 vs. STL July 8-Aug 1 4 @ LAD (ASB) 4 vs. PHI 3 vs. HOU 3 vs. STL 3 @ HOU 3 @ COL September 13-26 3 @ STL 3 @ FLA 3 vs. SF 3 vs. STL
  15. Interleague is weird. Didn't we just play a series @ TEX in 2007? Shouldn't that mean they come to Wrigley? Ouch...breakdown of our last 22 games: 6 at home, 16 on the road
  16. BUMP This is on Wednesday. FJM will be editing Deadspin.
  17. A miracle playoff challenge would help my Bears angst a lot. That said, I'm not even considering the possibility until the Cubs are lets say 4 games out of a playoff spot.
  18. Last year when the Packers ran all over the Bears at Lambeau because McCarthy tried to expose the Bears who were trying to shut down the passing game it was brilliant, but this time it was stubborn and horrible?
  19. DLee is now 8th in baseball and 5th in the NL in OPS at .966. It just keeps going up. If you took only his post-April numbers and compared them to everyone's full season numbers, his OPS (coming into today) would be 1.032, putting him 3rd in baseball. However, with his night tonight he might have jumped over Mauer for 2nd behind Albert.
  20. He was closer to the 2005 Urlacher than the 2006-2008 Urlacher. He was the healthiest he had been in years. Listen to the first 15 secs of this clip. In what category were the Bears fifth in defense? 30th in yards, 16th or so in points last year. Anyone who watched last season saw how bad the defense was. http://espn.go.com/blog/nfcnorth/post/_/id/3260/replacing-urlacher Weren't we in 5th in yards against the run? Or maybe turnover differential or total turnovers? That's my best guess. Or if they are using advanced metrics, Football Outsiders statistics generally favor our style of defense statistically.
  21. Didn't realize we were only 7 games out of the Wild Card. It's funny I haven't checked the standings for a week...someone asked me last night how far the Cubs are out, and I told him I thought there were like 12.5 out of the division and 9 out of the Wild Card. Whoops.
  22. 5 of Marmols first 7 pitches are balls.
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