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North Side Baseball

Northside Blues

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  1. Garza's a guy who could excel in the switch from AL to NL.
  2. http://chicago.cubs.mlb.com/news/article.jsp?ymd=20101207&content_id=16275164&vkey=news_chc&c_id=chc&tcid=tw_article_16275164 dunno if anyone posted this nugget.
  3. to be fair, Fukudome hit .279 .407 .478 .885 in the second half. his career splits are now identical. same OBP in both halves, 9 points lower slugging.
  4. ^ is there a reason you want to hurt my eyes? i doubt the nats are considering this seriously. they may offer 6 yrs 120 or something, but not a ridiculous 7/160 or something.
  5. heh, i can see hendry sitting with three offers out: LaRoche, Davis and Pena. And then in a matter of minutes, all three sign the dotted line and hendry gets stuck with all three. of course it doesnt work that way, but i can see it in my mind. i dreamed it in my head.
  6. can anyone else see us picking up o'day ans davis and calling it an off season?
  7. True, but you know that all we'll get is two mid-level prospects still in A ball. If one turns out to be Chris Archer I don't think we'll care too much. Not likely though. As someone mentioned above the Cubs have a lot of starting pitching lying around. It'd make sense to move a starter for something we need, like a reliever. If you throw out guys under 25, Gorzey is the only one who would draw interest. Silva's contract and history is working against him. Z and Dempster aren't going anywhere and Wells has less value. If we're going to trade one, it's going to be Gorzelanny.
  8. He has ridiculous home/away splits in his career. He's a career .307/.361/.493/.854 guy on the road (117 OPS+). He's a career 82 OPS+ at Dodger Stadium. He's had 1208 PAs in his career at home and just twenty more on the road, but more than twice the amount of home runs. Twice the amount of triples and 50% more doubles. If you could guarantee those splits for him as a Cub, we're looking at a guy comparable to Mark Grace with a little more power. Unfortunately expecting that his risky. I don't see how he is any worse than Pena. He's certainly better than Davis and probably better than LaRoche. He also doesn't turn 27 until May so there's a chance he could develop a little more power. That being said, the H/A splits didn't exist in 2010 but existed every year prior. It wouldn't be the worst thing in the world. There would be at least some room for optimism, not sure there would be any room if we got Chris Davis. He's not an ideal candidate but an 800 OPS isn't out of the question with solid defense. We could do worse, a lot worse.
  9. Unfortunately Loney probably will throw the ball back to Zambrano harder than Zambrano will throw it to first.
  10. Is it just me or does it seem like from Thanksgiving until Christmas Jim Hendry spends his time eating chocolate, pie, and doing christmas shopping for his family instead of trying to run a baseball organization. Then after Christmas he tries to construct his roster together after most of the decent players and deals have been scooped up. I can see Jim Hendry and Andy MacPhail at the winter meetings sharing booze and sweets in their hotel room, while the Red Sox are making trades for Adrian Gonzalez. Of course, MacPhail has enough sense to do some work. Hendry probably just goes to the bar afterwards, MacPhail makes some calls.
  11. No more than $1 million through 2015. However, Cot's shows the Nats' payroll at a little over $66 million last year. It's possible they bump that up to $80 million over the next couple of years, though. I still don't think they have any room for error, though. I read somewhere it will be between 72-74 this year. A similar jump after next year puts them around 80 mil. There's no reason that a team in Washington DC can't pull down a 100m payroll if the owners wanted to. The Nationals are one of the most profitable teams in the league as it is. Don't have the 2010 data yet, but the 09 data gave them a $33m operating income, third highest in baseball. FWIW, most small market teams in contention run at ~10m. It's entirely likely that if the Nationals are very very close to making the post season and are only say a $10m-$15m player away from becoming a favorite in the NL East there's no reason they can't push their payroll to 90+. If they make the playoffs theyll get some of that back. Not to mention the seeds are there in Washington for the foundation of a mid to major market team. They're not playing in Pittsburgh - or even St Louis.
  12. Strasburg accounts for two million. Zimmerman and Werth account for 30 combined. In order for the Nationals to contend they're going to need two plus bats in their lineup. If you can't develop the bats, you've got to buy them. Granted, they're also going to need another pitcher. There's nothing wrong with an 80 mil payroll team locking up 30 mil of that on 3-4 hitters. They have no choice. They can't contend without them. It's the premium you have to pay if you have not developed them. For comparison. 2010 Reds had $45m (of a 75m payroll) locked up on four players (Harang, Cordero, Arroyo and Rolen). Not sure how much of Rolens contract got picked up. Another 7 went to Phillips. Sure it doesn't hurt that they only spent .5m on Votto, but the Nats certainly won't do as bad as the Reds did with Harang. Just think of Votto earning that money and Harang earning 500k. The 2010 Rays had 30M locked up between Crawford, Soriano and Pena. Their payroll was under 70m. This is the best comparison because they had a lot of guys who were making 1-4m. They had 15 guys making 1-4m, which is something the Nats can still do. In order to contend with a payroll of 80m you still have to pay give out premium contracts to guys. I'm not saying Werth was the right guy to do it on, but they still have to do it.
  13. The problem is this will cripple an already small payroll. Even if he's productive for 3 years, that's still 4 years of $15 million non-production. That's a ton if you don't have a high-end payroll. It'll severely limit any moves to improve the team they can make. Zimmerman, Strasburg and now Werth are the only players the Nationals have signed after the 2011 season. That means this time next year they will only have 32 million on the books for a team whose payroll could approach 80m. They'll have more than enough flexibility. Granted they have arby guys that I am not considering but still it isn't an issue. This doesn't limit anything.
  14. I don't think it is as scary thought as people make it seem. The Cubs aren't as far away as their record indicates. I personally feel if the Cubs went into the 2011 season with Lee at first and Lilly in the rotation the Cubs would still be a good bet to finish in the low to mid 80s wins. Add one key reliever could get them a little higher. There were a lot of guys playing under their heads last year for us and not a lot playing over.
  15. I can't really hate on the Nationals right now. Sure it's a poor deal, but with Strasburg out they need something to excite the fanbase. They won't win next year, but it's not entirely improbable that they won't be in a position to contend two or three years from now and Werth probably won't decline too much in that time.
  16. Man, he's a near lock to return to his .300/.400/.550 self now that he's a Cardinal.
  17. Guaranteeing or expecting Nick Johnson to stay healthy is like guaranteeing or expecting the next Lady Gaga album not to suck. It's practically inevitable. That being said, I don't have a problem with a small 2 or 1 year incentive laden deal for Lee. He may not be as good an option as Lance Berkman but he's not all that different than Pena.
  18. The only thing they can do, at least for a SS and 3B is save bad throws. All infielders have very few bad throws over the course of the year that the 1B even has a chance of digging out of the ground, most or 5 feet over their head. The difference between a good defensive and a poor defensive guy at first (in terms of helping out the other infielders) probably comes down to two or three throws he got that someone else didn't. So, that's an average of one per person... less than a run. Derrek Lee's presence at first certainly didn't make Aramis Ramirez become much more nimble on his feet and speed them up.
  19. Look on the bright side, he's going to be a near lock to get in the Hall of Fame in 2012. Damn shame he won't be around to see it. He's better than half the hall anyways.
  20. i wonder how much money russell martin will get. he'd be an ideal backup C for us. He could catch and spell Ramirez from time to time. There's also room for upside. we have too many catchers on the forty man to even think about it, unfortunately.
  21. Of course lefties and righties are more important than having guys who can hit lefties or righties. it forces the forty five minute half inning tony larussa special, complete with four pitching changes and 12 total commercials... $$$$
  22. it's also why watching the little league world series is appealing. left-handed shortstops and catchers. theyre like unicorns and snuffaluffagus.
  23. Alomar, Bagwell and Larkin should all get in.
  24. "You can never have too many second basemen." - Jim Hendry
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