Northside Blues
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Everything posted by Northside Blues
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But if you don't trade Wells, you might not get him. You need to take the upgrades where you can get them. If you can keep Wells, great. If you can't, well you're still better off.
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If previous articles are any indication...nothing. We'd have to move salary to take on more salary, although I don't know if it would have to be in that order. With five million of the ten owed to Carlos Pena deferred, we probably have three or four of that left to spend this year. If you assume that we're maxed out if you include the entire ten million figure.
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But it also says "one of" implying that it could be someone other than Lee despite him being the only one who qualifies.
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Red Sox sign Carl Crawford
Northside Blues replied to BCVM22's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
i can assure you that big bulky hitters have more batspeed than carl crawford. -
Ooops. I meant Kirk.
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Red Sox sign Carl Crawford
Northside Blues replied to BCVM22's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
heh, and lee hasn't even signed. -
Red Sox sign Carl Crawford
Northside Blues replied to BCVM22's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
there have been plenty of powerful, high-walk players who stayed productive well into their 30s. mcgriff and mccovey come to mind immediately. -
Chirinos, Lee and who else? I'd say a guy like Austin Reed or Brandon Guyer could be thrown around. Depends on what the definition of top prospect is. top 10, 30 20?
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be careful, you just might get what you asked for.
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Red Sox sign Carl Crawford
Northside Blues replied to BCVM22's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
his entire game is built on speed. players with old player skills don't age poorly because of old player skills. they age poorly because theyre one dimensional. he's going to lose his batspeed (which isnt great to begin with) and he won't have the strength to replace it with an increase in power. he's going to lose some BABIP which is a ton of his value. his triples are going to become doubles and his doubles are going to become singles. not to mention he doesnt walk. his offensive value is batspeed and footspeed, the two are highly susceptible to the aging process and he doesn't appear to have the strength and patience to offset their decline. speed is not stolen bases. he may not fall of the map like richie sexson, but he's not going to be anymore useful than soriano is when he hits soriano's age 33/34. Luckily for the Sox, he's probably going to be fine for 4-5 years of the 7 since he signed his contract when he was turning 29 not 31. -
If we sit on our hands, our bullpen will be a lot better next year. We don't need to make a deal just to make a deal. Frasor's had one very good year in a 7 year career and has been average at best the other six.
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Red Sox sign Carl Crawford
Northside Blues replied to BCVM22's topic in MLB Draft, International Signings, Amateur Baseball
They just gave 142 (20+ per) to a LF with a career 781 OPS left fielder who is a bad fit for Fenway and probably will age poorly once his legs lose some speed. Crawfords career OPS in Fenway is 708, and he's had a relatively healthy sample there playing in the division his entire career. plus the wall in LF wont help him. pesky's pole may. for comparison, when the Cubs signed Soriano he had a career 836 ops, 50 pts higher. -
Cubs have said Archer is off limits. I was responding on who Tampa would want, not who they would get. I think they'll "settle" for maybe Jackson and Lee unless theyre interested in Colvin.
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Archer or McNutt.
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Nelson Cruz was originally signed by the Mets. He played three seasons with the Mets organization in the Dominican Summer League (B-R doesn't have those years). The last year he was by far the best player in the league smashing 15 HRs with 17 SB. He was a 20 year old playing against 17-18 year olds, at the time. In 2000 he was traded to the Oakland A's for a utility infielder by the name of Jorge Velandia who was 13 for 88 in his major league career at the time (.148) and 25 years young. Velandia did post an 800 OPS in AAA that year.
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To be fair, Steve Phillips traded Jason Bay, Carl Everett, AJ Burnett, Nelson Cruz and tried to trade Jose Reyes. I guess you can throw Jason Isringhausen out there too. Even Alex Escobar and Matt Lawton, I guess. He also made the Mo Vaughan trade.
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What does Steve Phillips have to do anything. Jim Duquette traded Kazmir, not Phillips.
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Yes sir.
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Sure it is. FIP itself and xFIP isn't (so much), but the process of converting runs to wins is incredibly random and has very little year to year correlation - and most importantly very little accuracy. Also, it depends on which WAR you are using. If I am not mistaken, someone mentioned that Greinke's WAR last year was 5 something, someone else said 2 something. WAR from BR uses ERA (or RA not sure) and WAR from Fan Graphs uses FIP. There is no unique WAR which adds another layer of confusion when there is only one FIP, one tRA, etc. You can use any run total you come up with, and then convert it to wins a hundred different ways. Like I said there's no sense in converting runs to wins. Especially the way fangraphs or anyone else out there does it. Converting runs to wins in a vacuum doesn't mean anything because removing players from those vacuums converts runs to wins in a different way, though hits, walks, etc still convert to runs in essentially the same way no matter if you remove the vacuum or not, so to speak. Not to mention the way everyone defines replacement level pitchers is simply wrong.
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Well would you care to enlighten me to as to how we should evaluate pitchers then, and is it irrelevant or not? I know you meant past WAR being useless for evaluation versus somehow being able to determine what the WAR would be going forward. It's still talking in circles and adding nothing but you showing how caustic you can be without giving a real thought on the matter. Because WAR is incredibly dependent on luck? And WAR itself doesn't measure wins or anything remotely close to it? Just stick with runs and your favorite FIP variant and you'll be a hundred fold more informed and better. Thanks again for insulting me for no reason. I guess I need to bump up my street cred and insult some of you guys.
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I was referring to Treeman. Thanks for the mindless insult though.
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Garza has a career 3.83 ERA against the Red Sox, 4.40 against the Yankees and 2.14 against the Jays (granted their offense isn't always good). Combine the three and he is below his career mark of 3.97. The last three years (his time as a Ray), he has a 3.86 ERA over, 3.97 ERA against the Sox, 1.47 against Toronto and 4.22 against New York. This year alone he got bombed by the three, to be fair. Regardless, in his career he's only slightly worse against Boston and New York collectively. It won't make that large of a difference not playing them as much. Of course switching to the NL and facing a pitcher twice a game, will make a larger difference.
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What his WAR was is largely irrelevant. What his WAR will probably be is relevant. WAR for pitchers is nearly as volatile as ERA. Never mind it's inherent problems and the fact it's largely a useless metric for any discussion.
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^ This. Thats more like paying ten dollars for a five dollar lotto ticket.
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who cares?