I don't think a 3.5 yard/carry running back (or any running back not named Adrian Peterson, tbh) is worth even a mid first rounder. Because stats for the first seventeen games of a career, on a bad team with no passing attack are predictive of the rest of a career? Yeah, I'm going to remain dubious about that. Well, it's more the fact that he's a RB in the first place than what he did in Cleveland.