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jersey cubs fan

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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan

  1. jersey cubs fan
    Screamin' A thinks Dusty should manage the Yankees next year. NY would eat him alive.
  2. jersey cubs fan
    They may or may not start that low, but the only possible way they score "a lot more runs" is if they go out and get a stud somewhere. This lineup is what it is. I really don't understand how anybody could say they were "under productive". They weren't productive because they aren't productive, not because of some fluke. Lee, Soriano and Ramirez are all guys with track records, all guys who performed below expectation and past performance (in the power department) for the vast majority of the season. If someone showed you the team's 2007 power totals before the season, there's no way you would believe it. Sure, the OPS was good for the big three, but the run production wasn't very good due to the relative lack of power. If you can honestly say you think that Soriano and Lee combining for 8 homers and 42 RBI in the first 2 months of the season wasn't a fluke, then you're crazy. And that had a whole lot to do with the Cubs' poor start. Or Ramirez's power disappearing during june, july and august (which have historically been his best power months). No one expected these things to happen, and there's no rational reason to expect them to again. This same group isn't going to score a lot more runs. It would be insane to think so.
  3. jersey cubs fan
    FWIW, here is the quality of pitchers faced in AVG/OBP/SLG allowed: Edgar Renteria 0.253/0.337/0.404 Ryan Theriot 0.256/0.335/0.405 Miguel Tejada 0.252/0.330/0.398 can someone expl;ain these numbers? are they saying Theriot compares well to both Renteria and Tejada? It looks to me like they all faced very similar pitching, so the difference in their numbers is a reflection of the hitters.
  4. jersey cubs fan
    I haven't read this thread, but it looks to me like some person or persons are trying to argue that Theriot is better than DeRosa. I really hope not. Anyway, 2008 2B belongs to DeRosa, unless the Cubs need to deal him in order to clear some payroll for a significant upgrade elsewhere. Mark is a nice player who is a safe bet to OPS+ around 100 the next two years. But I'd be willing to platoon Theriot and Fontenot at 2B, maybe OPS around 750-780 with an OPS+ between 95-100, if trading DeRosa facilitates a bigger improvement elsewhere. It would be taking a small hit at 2B for what would have to be a huge step forward at SS.
  5. jersey cubs fan
    I might watch bits and pieces of each game, but I most likely won't watch any 1 game in its entirety. It's nto out of spite or anything, but I devote enough of my year watching Cubs games that I don't need to set aside 3-7 hours a day watching baseball when the Cubs are done.
  6. jersey cubs fan
    Many teams might have a guy like Sean Marshall, but few of those guys have actually had success in the majors. Sean has, and that's a bonus. I disagree with the thinking about Chicago not being a place where guys can continue their peak. Look at Ramirez and Lee, both are better as Cubs than they ever were before. DeRosa had a career year in 2006 and he more or less duplicated that in 2007. Heck, even Jacque Jones had one decent season before reverting back to his subpar ways this year. I do think there is cause for concern with Renteria, only because he's been inconsistent in his career. The thing is though, even if he has an off year, he's going to be a massive improvement over what the Cubs have, barring a complete collapse.
  7. jersey cubs fan
    I think only a very limited part of the population is looking to move Ramirez, and selling him short. I don't get the Santana love either.
  8. jersey cubs fan
    Did you consult Dr. Evil when drafting this seriously over-complicated scenario? How about you simply sign A-Rod be done? I think I like this plan.
  9. jersey cubs fan
    He wasn't ever an easy out? The only position players who averaged less pitches per plate appearance than Theriot were either demoted or traded (Izturis, Moore, Fox). Everybody else saw more pitches than Theriot. Theriot made an out 67 times on the first pitch. 67 times! The only other Cub above 50 is Aramis Ramirez with 57 times. On the second pitch, Theriot made an out 69 times. That's good for 2nd on the team behind Soriano (77 times). On the third pitch, Theriot made an out 90 times. That's good for 2nd on the team again behind Soriano (94 times) Theriot has made the most outs on the first 3 pitches on the team (19 more outs overall than 2nd place Soriano). Soriano also had 42 more overall at-bats then Theriot, so Theriot had a much higher out percentage on the first 3 pitches. The leader in making outs early in the count should never be a non-power hitter, and Theriot is way in front in that category. A non-power hitter should also never see the least number of pitches on the team. He certainly isn't what you described when you said that he was never an easy out. Yes, but since he ran out those ground balls and pop outs, it wasn't easy. They actually had to make the play.
  10. jersey cubs fan
    Denver in April probably won't necessarily be that bad. It could be, but it's also been in the 70's in March there. If the Sunday game is a day game, and Monday in San Diego is a night game, it should be relatively ho-hum. They get a day off when the west coast trip ends. Three consecutive Monday off days in June is actually kind of strange I think.
  11. jersey cubs fan
    http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/cs-071012hawkspulford,0,3451535.story?coll=chi_tab01_layout Dare I say, things are looking up? Pulford reassigned. Perhaps one of the biggest obstacles to improvement on this team for decades.
  12. jersey cubs fan
    Cubs, Yankees, Red Sox all make lots of money for others team. Having them play each other kind of cuts into the value.
  13. jersey cubs fan
    Ramirez's no trade clause would make it nearly impossible.
  14. jersey cubs fan
    especially in a year like this.
  15. jersey cubs fan
    hahaha, that is excellent. What is really funny is that Pie seems like a hustly, gritty, BALLPLAYER. Why he is valued so lowly by Whiinhmer and "obviously Lou" while Jones is some kind of winning player is beyond me. Because Pie never played for the Twins.
  16. jersey cubs fan
    Pie and Marshall, they could probably get you a pretty good player. But any team that knows the Cubs are choosing Jones and Marquis (and maybe Trachsel) over those two, has to realize the Cubs must think they are both very bad, so not worth much, or that the Cubs are very stupid, so not worth offering much. If you are trading Pie and Marshall, you might as well include Colvin, Murton, Wuertz, Gallagher et al and get yourself somebody like Miguel Cabrera, whose cost is going to go higher and higher.
  17. jersey cubs fan
    That's not an interesting article, it's a terrible one. Jones stinks, regardless of his 2nd half average. The past 4 years Jones's OPS+ is 90, 99, 107 and 87. Coming from a 33 (in 2008) year old set to make $5m, that's not anywhere close to a player you need to hold onto.
  18. jersey cubs fan
    http://cubs.mlb.com/schedule/tentative.jsp?c_id=chc&year=2008 Didn't see this before but Cubs released their own tentative schedule.
  19. jersey cubs fan
    Does Blanco just play for the money? Seriously, he must really love baseball. Or his hometown.
  20. jersey cubs fan
    perfectly suitable bench player making the minimum
  21. jersey cubs fan
    If Theriot were any good, I'd think his style of play would look great in the 2 hole. Unfortunately, his style doesn't translate to actual production, and the Cubs need productive hitters. My big fear about finding a way to get Soriano out of leadoff is Hendry going on another "stereotypical" leadoff hitter search and coming back with another clunker like Pierre, or Theriot. If they come up with a guy who gets on base a lot and is actually, you know, good, then I'm all for the move. But if keeping Soriano leading off means Jim might focus on a good middle of the order hitter instead of another bad leadoff hitter, that's much better.
  22. jersey cubs fan
    How is he an upgrade over Murton in RF? Come on, you guys no better than this. In the last three years Church has had 268, 196, 470 ABs respectively. In the year he had 470 ABs he posted his worse numbers and he doesn't walk. Besides the salary savings I really don't see the benefit of Church. I just don't get the fascination. Doesn't walk? He's got a career IsoD of 77. Yes, 2007 was his "worst numbers", but they were better than any Cubs OF other than Soriano. I wouldn't call him an improvement over Murton, but I do think he'd be an improvement over Murton alone. In other words, he could at least spell Murton from time to time in right, without coming with the cost of a guy like Jones or Floyd. He's also excellent insurance for Pie, if Felix can't come through in 2008. I think your hangup is a lot more about religion than baseball.
  23. jersey cubs fan
    Andy really set his boy up nice right before leaving town. Talking about not negotiating in good faith. That was like the Bears letting Hatley make their draft picks before letting him go, only the Cubs apparantly didn't know Andy was about to leave. Anyway, there's no way to "know" what Stone would do, but there's plenty of evidence to suggest he's be as bad, or worse than Hendry. From what I've heard him say, he shares all the faith in conventional wisdom that Jim has, without all that willingness to think of new things. Bruce talks about how Hendry and others have opened up to the importance of statistical analysis, and things like OBP in particular. I'd bet Stoney would go several years running this team into the ground before even considering it has something to do with his philosophies. I'm pretty sure everything he knows about baseball he learned before 1984.
  24. jersey cubs fan
    I did look at his stats, and no he's not much better than Jones. http://www.fangraphs.com/comparison.aspx?playerid=735&playerid2=2106&playerid3=&position=OF&page=1&type=full I'm all for getting rid of Jones but Church offers not much more except for scrappy whiteness and anti-semitism. I don't care that he is cheaper (marginally), he isn't aprreciably better. The Cubs need to get appreciably better. And they could do that with either one big splash like ARod at SS, or by multiple incremental improvements, including a guy like Church over Jones.
  25. jersey cubs fan
    He wouldn't be fired, his contract is up, and in theory he wouldn't be brought back. The reason he should be let go is because George is crazy. The theory is it's WS championship or bust. If you get 95+ wins practically every year and make the playoffs, I find it hard to find fault in the manager. Yes, the payroll is ginormous, but it's highly flawed. Jeter ain't worth $22m, Clemens isn't close to being worth what he's paid. Damon and Giambi aren't earning their keep. Mussina and Pettite are overpaid. If Torre never won a WS in his 12 years, I could see the complaint, but 4 WS in 12 years is insane, let alone the average of 97.75 wins per season, and 6 AL pennants. It's very rare for any institution to maintain the same leadership for 12 years, so in theory, there's some sense in letting him go. But there's clearly no dying need.
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