jersey cubs fan
-
Posts
68,014 -
Joined
-
Last visited
-
Days Won
64
Content Type
Profiles
Joomla Posts 1
Chicago Cubs Videos
Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits
2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking
News
2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
Guides & Resources
2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks
The Chicago Cubs Players Project
2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
2026 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker
Blogs
Events
Forums
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by jersey cubs fan
-
Baldelli isn't anywhere close to a stud producer. If his one half season of good production was maintained over a full season, maybe we could talk. But there isn't a whole lot of support for the theory that this would be likely. -
I would say right now Zambrano and Lilly are the only ones that you can say are sure will be in the rotation next year. Hill or Marquis could easily still be traded. Marshall might be replaced or traded. I wonder if this means the end of going after Kuroda. I'm fairly certain Dempster to the rotation is something that has been a longtime in the making, and not something new that will mean the end of any other options. I think Dempster played the good soldier this year staying in the bullpen, even though he wanted to start, and give himself a chance to make a bunch more money next offseason. Any story like this can be used as leverage in negotiations with other starters, but unless they are negotiating against themselves, it won't matter for a guy like Kuroda. It probably makes them feel like they can justify letting Prior walk. But I can't see Mark being affected one way or the other by the news that Dempster may start. It could actually give them a good reason to convince Woody to take a lower guarantee with very high incentives for "games finished".
-
'Twould be true. I talked to both Hendry and Dempster about it. Ryan is excited about the resurgent Blackhawks, I might add. Coming off a 3/15 deal, I'm sure he is excited. One year of mediocre starting could net him a $50m deal next offseason. I really have a hard time seeing this turn out well for the Cubs though. If they can turn around and get rid of Marquis, then I'm fine with it. But I fear Marquis and Dempster each racking up 200 lousy innings. And with what is likely to remain no better than an average offense, that's going to hurt.
-
Trump Looking into Buying the Cubs?
jersey cubs fan replied to Outshined_One's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
It's not the same thing, but 700sqft studio in a luxury building with a view are probably going to fetch $1m+ in most of Manhattan. It's not the space that people are paying for, it's the location. I completely understand why some people would find value in such a place. Anybody hear about that utility closet in London that fetched something like half a million GBP? -
That's the other thing. As a starter Marmol's trade value is only a small fraction of Crawford's. Marmol hasn't proved anything at the big league level except as a reliever. Neither has Joba but he's widely considered to be an untouchable than most anybody would love to trade for. Just because he hasn't "proved" capable as a major league starter doesn't mean he holds minimal trade value.
-
How does Dempster to the rotation free up Marshall to be traded and Marquis out of the rotation? Marquis is going to be in the rotation. Dempster back to starting has disaster written all over. He's passable as a closer because more often than not he can get through 1 inning without giving up a run. But he'd be a terrible starter again.
-
Jose Guillen and Matt Williams bought steroids
jersey cubs fan replied to Drew Doughty's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Williams does have 8 letters in it. I don't think this is it at all. I heard they are suppose to announce the names (McCarthyism galores) after the Winter Meetings. This way George Mitchell can tell the Sox who to sign and the other teams get stuck with the 25 to 50 game suspension guys. I don't believe guys named in the Mitchell report will be subject to suspensions. It's basically about steroid use prior to the new rules, correct? -
Interesting name. Probably a better version of Bobby Abreu at this point, although he's got to be a LF exclusively, right? His numbers are odd. He didn't play much in his 20's, and didn't start to hit much until 29. But he's been remarkably consistent year-over-year. His OPS+ has been higher than his career average of 111 in 6 of the past 7 years. I don't think I'd want to see the Cubs offer up a deal that Seattle can't refuse, but I wouldn't mind his bat on this team. He can't hit lefties worth a crap though.
-
Soriano also didn't have his first health setback until this year. Constant leg injuries have a way of aging an athlete quicker than expected. And comparing him to possibly one day equaling Soriano isn't a good way of selling him, the Cubs already have a Soriano, and some would argue it's one too many. More low OBP/high SLG players are not in the Cubs best interest. If everything works out of the best with Baldelli, you'd have a fairly productive player for 4/$25m. That would be pretty nice. However, you've got to guarantee both 2010 and 2011 at the same time. If he makes it through 2008 and 2009 relatively healthy, he's still a health risk in 2010 and 2011. And you still have to take into account that Tampa isn't going to give this guy away. It's going to take serious talent in return to convince them to give him up.
-
Cameron has put together some pretty significant seasons. The Cubs do need guys who can hit LH pitching. If the suspension brings his price down low enough, this could be an interesting move. It could give Pie a month to try and show something. No, that's not enough time, but it's a start. He could be used in some sort of platoon with Jones, which could be some solid production. I wouldn't be against looking at Cameron.
-
From TB's perspective, they'll want as much pitching with as little service time as possible. Gallagher, Marshall and Marmol fits that bill. Yeah, we wouldn't be happy with the Cubs making that move, but Tampa and Chicago are quite different as far as motive to deal. Tampa is going to look for salary relief and cheap young pitching. The Cubs aren't as concerned about cost and just need some production. I wouldn't lose sleep if we made that deal. Marmol is a reliever who was overused this year and is at peak value. Marshall (to me) isn't anything special, and Gallagher is an unknown commodity. Put it this way: we've made dumber deals involving 3 players. I was referring to frost's comment about how we would feel if the Cubs were the team trading Crawford.
-
Except Hamilton isn't an OBP liability, does not have a guaranteed $6.5m coming his way and cost no talent to acquire. If they can have Rocco for nothing, fine. But you're guaranteed next to nothing from him, even if he does play. I didn't say he would have Hamilton's numbers. Just that he could finally be at the point to live up to his talent like Hamilton did in 07. And how is league average production next to nothing? Would have killed for average production from CF, SS and C last year. A 100 OPS+ is league average, but if it's SLG dependent, it's much less meaningful. It's subpar. If Baldelli stood much of a chance of giving you 600 PA at his career best rate, he'd be a help. I just don't see any reason to think he can play that much or will maintain that rate. If this leaves you with an OF of Soriano, Baldelli, Jones, you are going to need a massive improvement at SS and hope like heck that Soto is the real deal. Because that's a .330 OBP OF begging to derail a lineup. You're talking about a lineup that may be only slightly better than what they had in 2005.
-
Alfonso Soriano disagrees. It isn't GREAT production, but it also isn't bad production, which is what the Cubs have been getting too much of. If the Cubs aren't gonna go full boar into going after guys who can get on base 35+% of the time, then they need to get the most productive guys they can get who do it in other ways. Baldelli has the potential to be as good as it gets if you consider salary and the amount in talent it would take to acquire such a player. Alfonso is a much more productive hitter than Baldelli, and he's still not nearly as good as the Cubs need. The Cubs don't need more OBP liabilities. A 100 OPS+ that is SLG dependent is bad production. It's subpar, and paying more than the minimum for that kind of production is inefficient usage of resources. I'm not sure how Baldelli has the potential to be as good as it gets. He's got the potential to be a lesser Soriano, but even that is doubtful, given his longterm struggles with health. There would still need to be significant improvements made to the team if Baldelli is your key OF upgrade.
-
From TB's perspective, they'll want as much pitching with as little service time as possible. Gallagher, Marshall and Marmol fits that bill. Yeah, we wouldn't be happy with the Cubs making that move, but Tampa and Chicago are quite different as far as motive to deal. Tampa is going to look for salary relief and cheap young pitching. The Cubs aren't as concerned about cost and just need some production.
-
Except Hamilton isn't an OBP liability, does not have a guaranteed $6.5m coming his way and cost no talent to acquire. If they can have Rocco for nothing, fine. But you're guaranteed next to nothing from him, even if he does play.
-
That's exactly what the Cubs need, more guys who make lots of outs if they ever play. A decent OPS that is SLG dependent isn't good production.
-
Trump Looking into Buying the Cubs?
jersey cubs fan replied to Outshined_One's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
Trump is trash. I hope he stays far away from the Cubs. He does nothing but run businesses into the ground. -
Perhaps because the elites had already moved on? I've heard nothing that says this guy is potentially special. Everything I've heard is potential 4th/5th starter. That's fine, but there isn't a good history of Japanese pitchers coming over and providing solid stable production. Glimpses, sure. A couple positive outliers, yes. But by and large the group has been shaky.
-
I'm not sure how Irabu does anything but reinforce my statement that the history of Japanese pitchers coming to the states is shaky. 5 years in the states, 2 ERA's over 7, 5.15 for his career, 87 ERA+. Ishii was here for 4 years and had an ERA+ of 90. Pulling one decent season out of your butt doesn't make you a solid reliable starter.
-
I had a reply going here but timed out after being distracted by work. Anyway, I'm not passionate anti-Greene, but his walk rate hasn't been any better than Pie's professional walk rate. And the production he's likely to provide for the $18-20m he's going to make over the next 3 years does not justify a 1/1 swap with Felix Pie and the type of low cost production he's capable of providing.
-
Shaky history? Well, Ishii sucked, Igawa is terrible. Matsuzaka was good this year, but I don't think he was as good as advertised. Nomo and Park each had pretty nice careers, but were extremely inconsistent. I'm fairly confident in a solid hitter contributing in the majors, I don't have a ton of faith in pitchers, especially ones that aren't considered the best of the best. Ishii sucked? He was pretty much as expected. In Japan he was a strikeout pitcher with walk issues. In the US he was a strikeout pitcher with walk issues. His first two seasons were fine: 4.27 ERA and a 3.86 ERA. Granted he was lucky, but he didn't suck. He was as expected. Matsuzaka was fine this season, inconsistent and pitched in a tough division. Nomo had a very good career. Park has as well, but he shouldn't count. He was signed out of high school. We're talking about translating guys who have had success in NPB and guys who came here. Park is irrelevant. Yes, Ishii sucked, there's no question about it. I think you have to differentiate between the elites who came over, Nomo and Matzuzaka, and the rest. This guy doesn't seem to be anything special, and most likely falls into the category of all the disappointments.
-
The problem is Colvin hasn't done a thing, EP isn't really a CF, Jones is garbage and hopefully out the door soon, and Fuld is a nobody. Just because they have other guys who can man the position, you can't take away the fact that Pie does indeed play a premium position, and plays it well. If you are going to trade him, you have to get serious value. But still, SS is more at a premium than CF, and yes I did mean in the Cubs system because they can get by with Jones in 08, and then with Colvin or Patterson beyond. I don't know what you mean by "serious" value, but I think a pre-prime, pre-arbitration SS could apply. Khalil Greene is neither pre-prime nor pre-arbitration. He's 28 and played this year at $2.7m. He's eligible for arbitration this year and next before hitting free agency. Plus, he's a potential OBP black hole. Regardless of the power, anybody capable of .290 OBP seasons is going to kill a lineup. And his health has been a serious problem.
-
If 2007 was the only thing that mattered, you're right. But Drew and Floyd are not the same player. Actually, they are kind of the same player. Both are 30+, brittle outfielders who have seen significant declines in their OPS over the past few years (Actually, Floyd's has fluctuated while Drew's has consistently dropped). There's absolutely no reason to think that Drew can recover and post a .900 OPS again (unless he finds some HGH in his locker), just like there's no reason to think Floyd will ever hit 30 HR's again. Picking up Drew would be a waste of money equivalent to signing Marquis. While I'm not the biggest Murton fan, I'd rather have him at the minimum next year than Drew taking up 14 million dollars of our payroll. I would hesitate to go with Drew myself, but your comparisons are quite weak. Over 30 is a generic statement. Sure, Drew is past his prime. But Floyd is past his usefulness. Floyd is coming off back to back disappointing seasons. He's 3 years older than Drew and over the past 5 seasons, he's played 140 games once. Floyd is a terrible outfielder, while Drew is actually pretty good. There's actually a pretty decent reason to think Drew can recover and post a 900 OPS again. It is by no means a lock, certainly. I'm not a big proponent of Drew. But just because their numbers were similar in 2007 does not mean Drew and Floyd are the same player.
-
But the numbers show that it was a shock that they finished with 89 wins. Their pythag shows that they should have won 94 games that year. Who knows how differently it would have been if they didn't go 1-5 in their last 6 games. Not to say that you can't count that, but if someone had told you after game 156 that the Cubs wouldnt win 90 games with 6 more against the bad Reds and the already clinched Braves, you would believe them? I think it was very surprising that they didnt win 93-94 wins. Obviously they had some major fundamental problems, but I don't think many expected them to win under 90 games after getting Lee, Walker, Maddux, and later Nomar and Dempster to add to a team that won 88 games the year before. And then again, some people weren't surprised that a Dusty Baker managed team fell short thanks to a mediocre offense that couldn't get on base and pitchers coming up lame. They added names, but the names were bigger than the production.
-
If 2007 was the only thing that mattered, you're right. But Drew and Floyd are not the same player.
