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jersey cubs fan

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Everything posted by jersey cubs fan

  1. When your entire coaching staff needs to be replaced, it most certainly is a marginal move to only replace the OC and some offensive position coaches. Lovie's already had the chance to replace an OC, he's replaced the DC twice already, but it's still the same old same old and it's only gotten worse with age. This may be the best we can get, but it is not the best we could hope for.
  2. Those sound like pretty marginal changes. The fact that our new OC will be working for a coach on the hot seat (read: lame duck) will limit our choices. A new DC will be brought in, but again, for a lame duck coach and likely another Lovie type guy. So the defense will essentially be the same -- unless Lovie magically decides we should try a new defense. These minimal changes are what everybody has been predicting for a month now. I disagree that they will have slim pickings on offense. First off, any offensive coordinator is going to have complete autonomy with the offense. Guys will like that. They will be working with a young pro bowl caliber QB and a good deal of young talent. And on top of that, they will be first in line for any potential interim head coach/next head coach position if Lovie is canned next year. There might be a couple guys who would refuse to work under this situation, but it certainly would not be a smart career move for somebody to pass on that situation. It's a tremendous opportunity for anybody, either up and comer or established guy getting back on track.
  3. Buford for CF. And Burnitz was probably worse than Bradley, while 2008 Fukudome was also worse.
  4. I think Byrd is inconsequential. This is the same team.
  5. I do realize that, but he was a bad defensive CF last year. Moving him to RF will improve the defense, and probably still give us better production then we got out of Bradley last year. Especially if we find the right platoon partner for him. For example how would a Jonny Gomes and Fukudome platoon in RF look next season? I do not think Fukudome was bad in CF, and I doubt Byrd will be better.
  6. Only when a team is on the doorstep of making a World Series run. Backloaded contracts aren't good for a slightly above average team with significant amounts of bad money committed long term. No, backloaded contracts are good, unless you are going to cut payroll in the future. A three year deal worth 30 million is worth less in real money terms if it is backloaded. If I owe you $100 and have one year to pay it back, it would be best if I could pay it all later. Backloaded contracts can be mismanaged and hurt a team in the longterm, but on their own, they are team friendly.
  7. You do realize that Byrd had the 3rd best OPS among all major league CFs last season? Do you realize the Cubs already had a good hitting CF last year? Now they are moving him to RF where he won't be comparably good.
  8. I think you have to get top half of the 2nd round or better before you consider dealing Hester. He's replacable, but he's still good enough to be worth more than just spare parts.
  9. I think he's capable. But the point is he's never done it, and I don't like expecting guys (especially in their 30's) to do things they've never done before.
  10. I would have no problem dealing Hester. I feel like the people in charge now kind of hang their hat on him a bit though.
  11. Are you completely incapable of reading? I said the contract takes him into his mid 30s. I also said there's significant downside risk considering how bad he's been when he's been bad. He's got a career .760 OPS because he has sucked. He was better for three years (none of them in a full season of work), but a guy with a career OPS of 800 who has had an OPS over 800 for three years is much less risky than a guy with an OPS of 762 coming off three years over 800. He was barely over 800 last year, and he's past his prime. It is not at all a lock that he will OPS 800 this season, let alone throughout his contract. And this is not at all comparable to Aaron Miles money, I mean, not even close. 2/5 or 3/15. I said from the start of this thread though, that it's not a bad contract. It doesn't do much good from an "improving the team" standpoint, but it is somewhat stabilizing.
  12. Are you on crack? They are already down one quality starting pitcher. They are no better than status quo, and probably worse off in the OF than they were to start 2009. SS and 2B are even more questionable as Theriot dealt with his inevitable fallback from his solid 2008, and 2B was much less reliable than expected going into 2009. Not to mention C went from stable to a big question mark.
  13. Considering the .762 career OPS, there's plenty of downside risk with this guy. He's not a lock for any level of production. aren't you the guy who's real big on 3-year splits? I'm definitely more interested in what a guy has done the last three years than what he did 6 years ago, but you can't ignore what a guy's entire career. A 32 year old with only a couple good seasons and zero high caliber full seasons is anything but a sure thing. Marlon Byrd has shown multiple times in his career he's capable of atrocious performances. This contract takes him into his mid 30's, and you have to expect decline from his peak performance. Considering his career numbers, that decline could easily be significant and relatively disastrous.
  14. Considering the .762 career OPS, there's plenty of downside risk with this guy. He's not a lock for any level of production.
  15. Considering Byrd hits righties better than lefties, I doubt we'll see much of Fuld in center, which would be wonderful news. Byrd is actually pretty much the same hitter against righties and lefties (only a 10 point difference in OPS over the course of his career). Doubtful they'll platoon him. I'm not talking about a strict platoon, but Byrd has never played 150 games and they will need inexpensive backup OFers.
  16. Not a big fan, but it's not a horrible contract.
  17. 2B and CF are both tough. Bellhorn and DeRosa stand out at 2B, but in both of their standout years they only had about 300 PA at 2B (and Bellhorn seriously outperformed him).
  18. AT&T just dropped him. http://money.cnn.com/2009/12/31/news/companies/tiger_woods_att/index.htm Yeah I saw that this morning. I didn't even know Tiger was involved with AT&T. I didn't either but I saw on tv this morning that AT&T is the main sponsor for one of his golf tournaments. Apparently they will remain the tournament sponsor.
  19. Bellhorn's 2002 at 2B Ramirez's 2004 or 2005 at 3B Not sure if it would be a Barrett year or Soto's rookie year at C CF is tough, with hardly anybody having a good full season out there, although it might be 2009's Fukudome. Either Alou's 2004 or Soriano's 2007 in LF.
  20. AT&T just dropped him. http://money.cnn.com/2009/12/31/news/companies/tiger_woods_att/index.htm Yeah I saw that this morning. I didn't even know Tiger was involved with AT&T.
  21. Zell turned a healthy profit on the Cubs and still owns .05 of them. To think oterwise is looney. I typed too fast for my brain there, I don't recall what Zell paid for the Cubs, (it wasn't the 1B # that B2B believes wasn't true or something) he may have made a profit Zell took a bath on his entire Tribune ownership stake, which included the Cubs. He bought the company when the Cubs were valued by most at $1B, and sold them for less. You'd have to do some really funny accounting to say he made money on that investment. But he didn't buy the Cubs seperately for $1 billion and then sold them for less. Also, I would question the value of the Cubs being $1 billion in the marketplace at that specific time. Every article that I read said that the value of the Cubs could be as much as $1 billion. No, he didn't, but he bought a company that owned the Cubs and that investment plummeted in value, as did his own net worth. You can talk about write-offs all you want, but there is a tremendous financial risk at stake here and some people are without question losing money.
  22. Rashied Davis needed a job.
  23. What a fool. He always seem to have some excuse. And his adjustments seemed to work so well this year. What are the odds this fool ever gets a job again. I think the odds are high. Football coaches get recycled all the time.
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