Nobody is saying trades won't happen, but trades won't make this team a contender anytime soon. That's a pretty weird statement to make. The incremental gains HAVE to come through Free Agency? Giving Fielder an enormous contract isn't going to be the healthiest thing either. He's a 4-5 WAR guy, and there's 50 of those guys every year(and another 25 pitchers), you can get similar benefit without a millstone contract by exploring some of the guys who are said to be available. What I'm saying is you'll only make incremental gains through trades and incremental gains aren't enough. They are what medium market teams can count on. You are listing an absurdly long list of deals to just make the team okay. It's not going to happen. They should be making trades and adding free agents. They won't be losing their pick, they have the money, they have the needs. It would be a huge swing and miss to come away with nothing on the free agency front. Of course it will also make those "we won't be able to contend for three years so why bother signing guys" prophecies true.