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jersey cubs fan

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  1. Maybe I'm alone on this, but I pictured that as "stathead who doesn't mind listening to scouts on low-minors prospects" and such. It's turned out to be more like "scout who applies scientific rigor to scouting and also respects the results of sabermetrics." I disagree strongly with that. Epstein isn't a scout who respects numbers.
  2. I actually think that the way things are going it is inevitable that the NL will adopt the DH, eventually. But unless there's been a lot more internal talk that those guys are away of, it's not really something you can count on happening with the timeframe of a contract signed this year.
  3. The longer Epstein and Co. have been here, the more intriguing this sort of thing becomes. This isn't the (heavily exaggerated by Michael Lewis) mythical Moneyball Billy Beane. This is a much smarter version of Andy MacPhail and Jim Hendry. Presumably, the extra intelligence will make all the difference. But their emphasis on scouting at the MLB level appears to be a lot bigger than (at least I) assumed. Everything about Epstein was about better utilizing the information he received, and he always clearly placed a heavy emphasis on scouting. He was the sabr conscious GM who didn't piss off all the old school scouts.
  4. They absolutely do not need to draft a TE.
  5. Soriano didn't teach anybody anything about Fielder. The two situations are nothing similar. Soriano was barely even arbitration eligible when he was Fielder's age right now. Soriano signed when he already passed through most of his prime and had a glaringly obvious fatal flaw that was easily exploited, and no position in the field. Even with all his obvious flaws, if you signed Soriano to his contract at age 27 instead of going into his age 31 season, you wouldn't have been hurt but what he eventually did during that time frame. Soriano wasn't a star, and he was too old for that deal when he signed it, not to mention a hacker. Fielder is going to give you plenty of primetime production after already having consistently produced through his early-to-mid 20's. And another thing to remember is that if the Cubs can easily fit a free agent like him into the system this year, with not only Soriano's contract but the team just waiting to get Dempster and Zambrano off the books, they will be able to easily eat any sub-standard production 5-6 years from now. The goal is not to get through the next 10 years with the most cost effective roster possible. The goal is to be the best team you can every year.
  6. I had 2 targets, Pujols and Fielder, with moderate interest in Wilson. The truth of the matter is that two potential targets that will be hard to replace are gone. Pujols and Wilson. That's it. And we never had a shot if Wilson was that intent on going home. We were never in on Reyes, Papelbon, Bell, etc... (nor should we have been). And lamenting the loss of a player like Buehrle would be silly considering how many comparable or better pitchers there are on the market. If you want to go crazy because we didn't get Pujols, fine. That's well within your rights. But don't pretend our entire offseason is over. Most of the guys we were in on are still out there. Hence, early. This is a ridiculous post. I said it's not early and so far they haven't done anything but small market moves. Stop trying to pretend that anybody who expresses disappointment in the current condition of the team is an unreasonable moron freaking out. Don't pretend I said our entire offseason is over. It's no longer early, and our options are smaller now. They can and should pay for the impact players that are available.
  7. I had 2 targets, Pujols and Fielder, with moderate interest in Wilson.
  8. Yeah, because those are out there all the time. Teams aren't willing to trade players they don't want to pay bigger arbitration dollars to? We've seen mentions of Shields, Upton, Nolasco, Danks, Floyd, Gio Gonzalez, even Joey Votto possibly being on the trade market. So you think it makes sense to actually trade away what little top talent we have in the minors to get such a theoretical Garza instead of just signing a freaking free agent that costs nothing but money? One of those things takes away from the building the system gameplan, and it's not signing free agents. Theoretical trades are a hell of a lot harder, and much less likely to happen than just signing a guy you can afford and do need.
  9. Yeah, there's no reason to go ballistic, but it's not early. We are between 25% to 33% of the way through the offseason. The vast majority of moves that will be made this offseason have not been made yet. That makes it early. It's not a linear timeline. We're past the GM and winter meetings. All but one of the top 6 or 7 free agents are gone. It's not early.
  10. Yeah, because those are out there all the time.
  11. Yeah, there's no reason to go ballistic, but it's not early.
  12. That is ridiculous. Why are people so freaking afraid? Did Soriano scare you that much? We're just past the midpoint of that bad contract and the team already has plenty of flexibility. Big contracts to big time players will not cripple a big market team.
  13. This. .. is completely wrong. We're past the GM meetings and past the winter meeting. We are well into the offseason. Stop pretending it's early.
  14. There was probably enough excitement over the overhaul to drive ticket sales this February without a huge improvement to the team.
  15. The Madoff Mets are cutting payroll by like $30m so I hope that doesn't happen. Now they're just the Mets. When they were the Madoff Mets they were spending some major coin. They were basically right there with the Cubs.
  16. A big market team that is in on talks for big market moves but only makes small market moves is operating in small market mode until they actually make a big market move. The Yankees and Red Sox are in small market mode. That's idiotic. They have much higher payrolls and much better teams and are in much better position than the Cubs going into 2012.
  17. A big market team that is in on talks for big market moves but only makes small market moves is operating in small market mode until they actually make a big market move. You can't make that claim until you know what they're planning, which you don't. If the moves thus far have been made with Darvish and Fielder in mind, they weren't really operating in small market mode. A small/mid-market team doesn't even inquire on Pujols, Wilson, etc. Miami did. They don't get to just plan, and then have that plan work perfectly. In a market with extremely limited resources, you either acquire them or you don't, it doesn't matter if you planned on it.
  18. https://mobile.twitter.com/PeteThamelNYT/status/145175897807396866 Well, the Kansas program and Wisconsin programs aren't quite on the same level right now. So it'll be interesting if he just wants another year of tutelage under Chucky Fupa, or to actually, you know, win. If he wants a shot at the NFL, it's not like a guaranteed stating job in a system he knows with a coach that loves him and will sell him to NFL scouts is the worst option. Who knows what he'll do, but going to Wisconsin and not winning the job or sharing time with one of the highly recruited players on campus isn't a great scenario for him, even if the team would win more. Yeah, you'd be an idiot to only think of potential win totals in this move.
  19. The Madoff Mets are cutting payroll by like $30m so I hope that doesn't happen.
  20. A big market team that is in on talks for big market moves but only makes small market moves is operating in small market mode until they actually make a big market move.
  21. No thanks. He may never do what we hope, but I'd easily prefer Stewart to DeWitt for a 2012 platoon.
  22. At this point I doubt Ricketts is all that concerned about perception. He's made his splash and if that is what he gets out of this winter, he'd probably be willing to go into the season without going all in, so to speak. It's smart from a business standpoint, don't just spend to spend. My guess is now fielder or no darvish has them well below $130m next year. I can't imagine any reason to get extra spendy at that point.
  23. Crying about anything regarding baseball is foolish. Pointing out that what they've done so far is very small market is accurate. Every year we hear how early in the process we are until we go to spring training and hear how there's still plenty of time and then it's May and the trading deadline is still long away. It's not early anymore. There's time to improve on what they've done, but there's no doubt they need to improve on what they've done. Why can't somebody be skeptical without being labeled an idiot, impatient, a whiner and foolish?
  24. Signing stud free agents doesn't hurt the long-term. There's an over the top obsession with being financially flexible 7 years from now that makes no sense.
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