BigSlick
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Everything posted by BigSlick
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I seriously thought it was a joke at first also, what Derrick Henry is doing at age 30, in the NFL of 2024, is truly unbelievable. Homeboy is almost singlehandedly keeping running back a position that can still have a Star, it’s wild.
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Bears Week 17, TNF vs Seahawks, 7:15 pm
BigSlick replied to Hairyducked Idiot's topic in Other Sports
It’s pretty wild that CJ Stroud’s current season is comparable, if not worse, than Caleb Williams rookie season. Good evidence of Kyle’s consistent point to give QBs two full years to really evaluate them. not that I think Stroud is bad or anything, but that he came down to earth slightly from last year. Still a good effective QB, but his development is not just up up and away without any bumps in the road -
Bears Week 17, TNF vs Seahawks, 7:15 pm
BigSlick replied to Hairyducked Idiot's topic in Other Sports
I actually wouldn’t hate Pete Carroll. Unlike Belichick, I don’t think he’s totally washed and checked out. But overall I really do desperately want an offensive coach, and I would prefer a younger guy. -
It is my understanding that’s the case, at least for ESPN’s QBR
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QBR is a weird stat that we aren’t privy to know the details of how it’s calculated which always leads me to be suspicious. Caleb being ~47.9 or whatever on the season however feels about right: if 50 is a league average season by an NFL QB, he is probably exactly that when you factor in his whole season. Which, for a rookie QB, is totally fine.
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The only bad thing about Caleb not throwing INTs was it was clearly happening because he was playing scared, overthrowing people intentionally, not taking risks into coverage, and taking sacks instead of making something happen. That clearly wasn't happening as much yesterday and he didn't throw a pick (good!). If my expectations for Caleb's rookie season were a bell curve, he clearly isn't in the top-top part of the curve (2 standard deviations from mean), and he's not in the chunky bit above the mean either. But he's squarely in the realm of that 68% part of the graph thats within one standard deviation of a Median 1st Overall Pick. On the lower side? Yea, probably. He's had way too many games start incredibly slowly, and he's had too long of stretches being bad. But I can't look at what he's done on the season: 314/505, 3,271 yards, 62.2% completion percentage, 19 Tds, 5 Ints (FIVE!), 6.5 Y/A and say well...this is concerning. It's not. And all that amidst really (unforgivable) chaotic and poor coaching.
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Literally haven’t had one since Cutler, so it’s nice. unfortunately we need 4 offensive linemen and an entire defense
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Aside from his completion percentage, which is below average for pro offenses these days, Caleb’s season numbers look really good. we do have something special in him at least.
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I think he's overrated and a bit of a psycho, but man this team would have twice the number of wins right now if they had Harbaugh as coach.
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I haven't paid super close attention to anything with this team for a while, but 4.0 WAR for Crow-Armstrong sounds really...optimistic doesn't it? EDIT: Well looking at his stats from last year, he had 2.3 with less than a season starting and half the year not being able to swing the bat, so maybe not
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I don't even know what it would mean for Eberflus to "improve." The man was either the unluckiest human being on the planet or completely and totally incompetent. Eberflus was the football equivalent of William H Macy in the Cooler. He was a vortex of good fortune. I don't know how he did it, but he did it.
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This would all be true if we were talking about emotionless automatons that operate purely on the basis of random odds, but we're talking about a sport that, even among professional sports, involves huge swings of emotion. A baseball player going up to bat 700 times in a 162 game season we can roughly estimate makes most of those at-bats roughly equivalent. Not exactly the same in football, IMO. But, its IMO. EDIT: hah, and then I hear a quote from DJ Moore that he felt like the Hail Mary was the turning point of the season. Of course, that’s said ex post facto, looking back on the season and trying to find an explanation. But well, he also said it. 🤷♂️
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Yeah I don't think even if we have the most optimistic view of things that this would have been a playoff team this year. But 9-8 was within reach and a much better feeling going into 2025. Though that likely would have kept Eberflus his job so... would that have been good? I have no idea. Regarding most frustrating seasons....I don't think this is as bad as 2011 (I think?) where the team was hitting on all cylinders and then Cutler broke his finger and we lost him for 5 weeks, where we lost painful, awful games (including the notorious Tim Tebow game) and barely missed out on the playoffs. Ah well. Now we wait another 9.5 months before we can see Caleb play meaningful games again. Sigh.
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its so crazy that the washington literally just destroyed the whole team. like i dont think they're as bad as they're playing now, and they aren't as good as our most optimistic projections.... but clearly something psychologically broke inside them after that Washington game and they never recovered. which is annoying!!
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Whoever we end up getting, I hope they encourage Caleb to throw the horsefeathers ball downfield into coverage sometimes. It's very nice that he doesn't throw a lot of picks, but you can see how it makes his game suffer in every other single way. He's still at this moment like, better than Fields ever was, but he can be so much more.
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If there's a good Center prospect in the first couple rounds, I wouldn't hate spending a high pick on one. It's such an important position to lock down, I think it has to be a priority, and someone young that you can keep around for a while. Turns out I was super wrong last year when I was like 'hey, we're pretty set across the board after we take Caleb, just take best player available" lol
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Yeah I don't agree with whatever person has said Odunze has been a disappointment. I think he's been really good for a rookie on the whole. Moore, on the other hand, hasn't been awesome. Kmet has completely disappeared, and I don't know how much that has to do with him or with the play design. Relying so much on Keenan Allen who absolutely wont be here next year is also worrisome. Did someone kill Tyler Scott? Whatever happened to that guy?
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i feel like i'm losing my mind here: every new coach goes to a "bad" situation, or else the previous coach would still be coaching! there are the rare exceptions of guys who retire in glory, like Bill Cowher retiring to Mike Tomlin, but its rare!
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the good news is that once you have secured a good QB, every season can be the turnaround season but Caleb's gotta get better, of course, and he's got some bad habits already he'll have to unlearn
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Definitely feeling justified in not watching this one. Is Caleb going to set a franchise record for sacks taken in a season? I'm not sure I know what it is and it could be something ludicrous like Randall Cunningham's rookie season edit: oh lmao, he's already set it with 3.5 games to go! amazing
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uhhhh the only time I remember Amegadjie out there was a stretch of like 5 plays against Washington (I think?) when he came in and immediately got blown up on every single play and then got injured.
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its been 6 years since the Bears have had a winning season. this sucks man
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wait this is monday night football? what did we do to deserve that?
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I would like to fully apologize to the person I made fun of for saying the Bears were looking at 7-10 as an optimistic outcome after they lost the Washington game. I was obviously wrong, and I accept all punishment/embarrassment/humiliation/etc.
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With the way their coach takes risk? Absolutely not I fully expect they blow a playoff game in a very similar fashion to last year (I want to be very clear that I think Dan Campbell is a 'good coach' but that I think he's bent the stick a little too far in his risk assessment and he gets punished for it against very good teams)
