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BigSlick

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Everything posted by BigSlick

  1. BigSlick
    I cannot change who I am. I make no apologies
  2. BigSlick
    I'm the irrational Cubs fan bc we clinched two months ago and I'm moderately upset the offense isn't killing fools for the past week plus
  3. BigSlick
    Same but minus the caveat. in some ways i hate the cubs most of all
  4. BigSlick
    i saw Lester got out of the 7th and did like a quick chore and was going to check the 9th but the game is already over good job i guess edit: Chapman had a 6 pitch 9th? well that explains that
  5. BigSlick
    Jon Lester has had a miiiiighty fine season
  6. BigSlick
    [tweet] [/tweet] This is fascinating. Obviously, much of these park numbers are due to the home pitching staff in question (lots of credit to the Cubs staff there) but wow, Safeco allowing the most home runs? Remember when it almost ruined Adrian Beltre's career? So strange. Lots of parks are playing very differently in the past few years.
  7. BigSlick
    lol Kris Bryant is going to hit 40 home runs and win the MVP in his second season in the league
  8. BigSlick
    I can't really hate the Reds or the Brewers. I was able to hate the Pirates for the first time ever last year, because of Hurdle, but that was about it. The Cards are pretty much the only team in the NL Central I can muster up eternal hate for. I got close with the Astros, but they dead
  9. BigSlick
    Oh my god Thom Brennamen is on the Score and he's complaining that the Cub fans don't have 'humility' in absolutely destroying the Reds whatever dude get over it
  10. BigSlick
    Cub hitters, head of bat on ball
  11. BigSlick
    Runs wouldn't be the worst idea
  12. BigSlick
    oh huh, Albert Almora is back
  13. BigSlick
    i guess when you're up 25 games or whatever you can mess around and play Chris Coghlan at third
  14. BigSlick
    well, good game for Rizz I guess
  15. BigSlick
    on one hand, I hate Jason Hammel, on the other hand, its so pleasing to see all 5 starters have ERAs under 4
  16. BigSlick
    That because even bad pitchers pitch more scoreless innings than scoring innings
  17. BigSlick
    Montero pulling himself above the Mendoza line securely feels good, from an aesthetic standpoint (I'm still agnostic about having him on the playoff roster)
  18. BigSlick
    Jason Hammel is the only Cub I actively hate because I feel like he decides to suck to spite me personally
  19. BigSlick
    we need the playoffs to start....the waiting is tearing our precious family apart.....
  20. BigSlick
    those Cape Cod kettle chips with the sour cream and cheddar flavor is my jam
  21. BigSlick
    A weighted roll of the dice, i.e. they have almost 3x the chance of an average playoff team, which still, unfortunately due to the structure of the playoffs, doesn't make them favorites against the field or something
  22. BigSlick
    I don't think its necessarily the same as every other sport - I think in Basketball the edge an individually great team has over other teams can push much higher than a baseball team can in a 7 game series, they have so many possessions and their best players can touch the ball much more often than in baseball. Baseball as a sport just has way more uncertainty and 'luck' involved. Personally what I think is important about looking at these measures is hedging against unrealistic expectations and the high chance disappointment sets in (and more importantly then, assessing blame for failure which isn't really failure}. So, otherwise relatively smart sports hosts Matt Spiegel and Jason Goff keep going on how if the Cubs don't make the World Series its a huge failure/disappointment, whereas even in the most favorable conditions they're underdogs to get there, even though they're one of the best teams in the past decade or so. A loss in the playoffs would be hugely demoralizing, but understanding its the way of baseball and that the point is to make the playoffs many many years in a row and hoping to hit that crapshoot one or multiple years out of it is the name of the game. I would hate nothing else than if public opinion soured on the team because they just happened to hit the wrong coinflip.
  23. BigSlick
    i mentioned this earlier, but if you look at the FG playoff odds using "season to date stats" mode, the cubs are all the way up to 27.2% That's incredible. It's nice they also have the "coin flip" mode so it gives you some context. (Under coin flip mode the Cubs are only at 12.9%)
  24. BigSlick
    I love checking playoff odds stuff because even though its meaningless, it's fun. BP now has us at an absolutely absurd 24.2% chance to win the World Series, which I almost thought wasn't possible (Of course their 2nd and 3rd order expected wins has us 7-9 games better than we are now, which would mean a 97-38 record, i.e. knocking on the door of the 2001 Mariners) http://www.baseballprospectus.com/odds/ Fangraphs has us constantly approaching and then backing off the apparent asymptote of 20% odds at winning the WS, now sitting at 19.7%. Which is impressive for their measures. FiveThirtyEight has us at 25% to win. These are all absurd measures for a playoffs that begins with 10 teams. Anyway, I'm gonna continue to be obsessive and neurotic about it.
  25. BigSlick
    I like that the Cubs decided to to duplicate their April in August. This team is great. They please me very much.
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