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sneakypower

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Everything posted by sneakypower

  1. this is mostly baseless speculation, right?
  2. so during his worst stretch, he's still performing like a borderline #2? oh, the humanity i guess this is just this week's installment of "kyle arbitrarily shrinks the sample size to make stupid inferences"
  3. his FIP is 3.86 for the past month (3.58 xFIP, 3.66 siera), so unless you have any reason to believe his .405 babip or his 60% LOB are likely to persist, this isn't really much of a concern also, on the year he has a FIP within 5 pts of Hamels, Kershaw, Dempster, Peavy, Halladay, Johan Santana, CJ Wilson...he's fine
  4. Jackson, Castillo, and to a much, much lesser extent Vitters are only exciting because they might allow us the flexibility to sign a star like David Wright or BJ Upton, but neither should by any means be considered a building block (barring significant development) think of them like you would Barney, basically
  5. can't wait to see how early we sub out half the lineup
  6. oh hey, Juwan Howard will get a ring...i'm on board with that
  7. UZR's been really unimpressed with DeJesus's defense so far, rating him -5.6 after a +10.1 (for RF) season last year; i'd expect him and Campana to post better defensive scores than what they've done so far, presuming they stay at RF and CF also, his wOBA has been hurt a bit by his 2-for-7 SB rate
  8. Tigers fans still trace every problem back to letting "the perfect #2 hitter" Placido Polanco walk, and LOOOOOOOVE(D) Brandon Inge
  9. oh man, so much love for those Rays unis
  10. i think the balls are made of rubber or something, in that video it keeps bouncing like they're playing on the moon
  11. thumb injury, shoulder injury, shoulder injury, nothing, velocity drop
  12. .285/.343/.445, as of yesterday Weird way to specify an age. I believe the point Elrhino was trying to make is that some of the guys pulling up that average are the Scott Moores of the world having their 7th go round in the PCL. What would be most relevant would be Vitters compared to the median performance of actual prospects. btw - last I checked, .798 is greater than .788. I realize that Vitters is a bit slugging heavy compared to the average, but even adjusting for that he's not below average. the offensive value of .285/.343/.445 > that of .280/.330/.468 (marginally)
  13. .285/.343/.445, as of yesterday Is that adjusted for park? no, but i can't imagine it changing anything; you'd have parks like Albuquerque and Vegas bringing the average up a bit, and Tacoma and Portland bringing it down (Iowa's also a fairly friendly place to hit) it hasn't had any noticeable effect on his patience so far, and Castro's patience is regressing (as an example); i think you're overrating its impact mods, please get to work on my new custom title
  14. sulley that really only says to me that he was rushed; he still isn't showing any skills to suggest he's more than a Shea Hillenbrand/Casey McGehee replacement-level washout at best also, Jackson's age-22 venture in the PCL: .297/.388/.551...what does/did that prove? Jackson's one big fault might be fixable (see: Michael Saunders), whereas Vitters just has always had the same glaring limitations that keep him the same very-low-ceiling bore of a prospect
  15. also, Vitters has been below-average offensively amongst PCL 3B
  16. and Vitters has a .229/.269/.366 MLE it's hard to reconcile everyone pissing all over themselves with excitement over this guy when he's hitting worse than the much-villified Brett Jackson
  17. it's really shitty that Westbrook is going to be made the goat after the performance he had tonight
  18. i guess so, but i was thinking about K's there leaving BB at 30- instead of 25- adds to that (100+ K) list only these two: Cecil Cooper (1977): .300, 28:110 Ryan Braun (2007), mentioned above
  19. Castro has the ability to do something this year that's never been done before right now he's on pace for 14 BB and 123 K, and is hitting .303; no player has ever topped .300 in a season with fewer than 30 BB and more than 120 K* Juan Samuel (1984): .272, 28:168 Tony Armas (1980): .279, 29:128 Jim Rice (1976): .282, 28:123 Delmon Young (2007): .288, 26:127 Rocco Baldelli (2003): .290, 30:128 Alfonso Soriano (2002): .300, 23:157 loosening the thresholds to 25- BB and 100+ K, three players have reached .300: Alfonso Soriano (2002): .300, 23:157 Benito Santiago (1987): .300, 16:112 Jacque Jones (2003): .304, 21:105 *reducing K to 110+ includes Ryan Braun's (2007) .324, 29:112 season
  20. Sickels, Feb. '11: "My expectations for Valbuena remain the same: I think he'll be a .260-.275 hitter going forward, with sparks of power and a gradually improving on-base percentage. His (2B) defense will be reliable in terms of avoiding errors and mistakes, but he won't show great range. If the hitting develops to the maximum possible extent, he could have an All-Star caliber offensive season around 2013 or so."
  21. lol, LaHair just robbed Beckham of an XBH
  22. Bryan LaHair, 4/7-5/7: 96 PA, .388/.479/.800/1.279, 31% K%, 17% BB%, .535 BABIP Bryan LaHair, 5/8-6/17: 112 PA, .225/.295/.373/.668, 31% K%, 11% BB%, .302 BABIP Unfortunately, the peripherals look a lot closer to normal in the latter line. Bryan LaHair, 4/7-5/7: 28.6% LD, 40% HR/FB Bryan LaHair, 5/8-6/17: 23.2% LD, 20% HR/FB
  23. i would one million times prefer Scherzer to Porcello
  24. he's described pretty much the exact same way as Almora is, really
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