sneakypower
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Everything posted by sneakypower
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Jackson lucky he didn't [expletive] up his ankle there, that could have been pretty ugly -
i had a friend ask me recently what i thought best-/likeliest-/worst-case scenarios were for Castro, and i came up with Robin Yount/Renteria/Templeton
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full list: 1 Ty Cobb 765 2 Buddy Lewis 753 3 Robin Yount 717 4 Mel Ott 715 5 Al Kaline 710 6 Freddie Lindstrom 689 7 Ken Griffey 652 8 Alex Rodriguez 648 9 Vada Pinson 626 10 Cesar Cedeno 618 11 Edgar Renteria 611 12 Sherry Magee 605 13 Ted Williams 563 14 Mickey Mantle 561 15 Jimmie Foxx 560 16 Orlando Cepeda 549 17 Stuffy McInnis 545 18 Ed Kranepool 543 19 Dick Hoblitzell 538 20 Arky Vaughan 524 21 Hank Aaron 520 22 Bobby Doerr 520 23 Claudell Washington 519 24 Travis Jackson 513 25 Frank Robinson 512 Castro's ZiPS ROS has him due to finish with 543 career hits by season's end, which should comfortably position him within the top-20 of this list
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http://i207.photobucket.com/albums/bb73/moonlightj/crawl2.gif
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best interview response of the year (non-Wood division): http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JzbhjzsyvGk
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http://1.bp.blogspot.com/_FZVvgFCIxXM/TD5qPdtzViI/AAAAAAAAABE/Ht-VwGQ6bjY/s1600/confused-full.jpg
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438 ft i'm partial to this HR; "he just took one of the best relievers in the league the other way- who does that? "
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he's top-5 amongst SS in just about every advanced fielding metric, and he has just 3 errors in his last 46 games
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-12-12
sneakypower replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Rizzo's 650 career AAA plate appearances: 49 2B, 46 HR, 154 RBI, 63 BB, 131 K, .343/.411/.678 -
that was a really good play Castro made look easy
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I can't find 2011, but separating 2010 from what I posted above, 116 PA, .222.276/.370/.636, 28 K in iowa (2011), he hit: .283/.340/.529 vs. LHP .354/.441/.720 vs. RHP
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Re: Games in which the Cubs are not playing
sneakypower replied to El Duderino's topic in Fred Hornkohl Game Thread Forum
M's got a fortunate call on that potential IF single by Gordon; i think he was safe there -
more on Votto: http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2012/writers/tom_verducci/06/05/joey.votto.reds/index.html?sct=mlb_t11_a0
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nm
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sure they are, if you completely ignore speed, which provides significant value for him just factoring in SB (with wOBA), you see that his .616 OPS the last two seasons has actually been (ever so slightly) more productive than Barney's .687 OPS and Soto's .690 OPS
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stumbled upon this the other day (from last october) Dan Szymborski: Going through Castro's Prime: Year BA/OBP/SLG WAR 2012 301/343/432 3.5 2013 308/352/464 4.4 2014 310/356/475 4.8 2015 311/359/479 5.0 2016 310/359/487 5.2 2017 309/360/483 5.1 2018 304/357/479 4.8 2019 304/357/479 4.7 2020 302/354/471 4.3 2021 300/351/466 3.9 ZiPS likes Castro. Going down Castro's comp list: Derek Jeter Robin Yount George Brett Paul Molitor Hanley Ramirez Steve Sax Alan Trammell Garry Templeton Troy Tulowitzki Carney Lansford Zoilo Versalles Roberto Alomar Jim Fregosi Adrian Beltre Edgar Renteria Chris Speier Cecil Travis Robinson Cano Joe Thurston Buddy Bell Lou Boudreau
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he needs a 3.5 win pace to do that. what's that, 3.40 FIP? with a 3.58 xFIP, 3.50 siera, i'll take the slight under on 3 wins no, i don't believe Garza is a 2.95 FIP pitcher, but he and Anibal have still been identical in value the last two seasons, with Jackson trailing by a few runs
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we're still waiting on Campana's first career FB hit
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he's barely on pace for a 2-win season; look at his career FIPs and tell me which year stands out: 4.42, 4.14, 4.42, 2.95, 4.09 and he provides negative value with his fielding, and his bat; Marcum, for example, was worth nearly a win more so far the last 2 seasons with his bat too many question marks and other comparable alternatives to give him $100M, imo
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fWAR since 09: Greinke (28): 9.3, 5.1, 3.9, 2.8 (21.2 total) - 106 starts Hamels (28): 3.6, 3.7, 4.9, 1.7 (13.9) - 107 starts E. Jackson (28): 3.6, 3.6, 3.8, 1.4 (12.6) - 107 starts Anibal (28): 0.8, 4.4, 3.8, 2.0 (11.0) - 91 starts Garza (28): 3.1, 1.6, 5.0, 0.7 (10.4) - 105 starts Peavy (31): 2.5, 1.8, 2.9, 2.0 (9.2) - 62 starts Marcum (30): inj, 3.6, 2.7, 1.2 (7.5) - 75 starts McCarthy (28): 1.4, inj, 4.7, 1.1 (7.2) - 52 starts (just for the hell of it...) Liriano (28): 1.1, 6.0, 1.0, 0.2 (8.4) - 87 starts Zambrano (31): 3.6, 2.3, 0.9, 1.2 (8.0) - 83 starts if we're talking about giving Garza 5/100, i'd much rather ship him off and sign most any of these guys above for roughly the same money or less, AND have pieces like Aaron Sanchez & Marisnick / Turner & Castellanos / Banuelos & Mason Williams / Barnes & Jackie Bradley as well
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Garza's such a legendarily bad hitter and fielder that it knocks his actual value down a non-insignificant amount from what his FIP suggests, but that's another argument if i were to consider trading Garza, it would be with the full intention of signing Anibal Sanchez (7/100), Brandon McCarthy (5/70), or Edwin Jackson (4/50) to specifically replace his production and still have the extra two top-50 prospects you'd command in a trade for him i know that's easier said than done, though
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Minor League Discussion & Boxes 6-5-12
sneakypower replied to Outshined_One's topic in Cubs Minor League Talk
Torreyes struck out last night for the first time in his last 18 games -
talk about damning with faint praise...
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topical: http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1162690/ichiro-whoops.gif
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gone but not forgotten: http://assets.sbnation.com/assets/1129929/RamirezWright.gif.opt_medium.gif
