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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. bukie
    After the mistake has been made, the best thing anyone can do about it is to be honest about it, admit what was done, and say it was wrong. That's the kind of thing that can discourage future use, as opposed to falsely denying everything to the bitter end until someone else proves you wrong.
  2. bukie
    no Then I will ask again. Why does a bullet stop (using the theory of only minimal wind resistence as the slowing force)? Why is a javelin not thrown more on a line? Please explain how gravity does not have an effect on the slowing process. Gravity pulls you towards the Earth. Hitting the Earth stops you, not gravity. Gravity is pulling you straight down, towards the center of the Earth. It in no way affects your momentum perpendicular to the surface (forward). Air resistance slows you down in this direction, not gravity. Again, a force pulling down doesn't slow the forward progress of an item in air? Only wind resistance slows the object? I would think these two factors worked in combination to slow items. Well I studied Genetics and wasn't that great at Physics, but I will have to respectfully disagree. Gravity does not affect your horizontal velocity in the slightest. Wind resistance, friction and drag do. Javelins, bullets, and other things stop because they hit something. If there is nothing horizontal in the way, it hits the ground. The ground happens to have a larger friction coefficient than the air.
  3. bukie
    Actually, no, I get nothing out of that link. It says "Image not found". Try this link instead.
  4. bukie
    I see the Cubs as a good team in a terrible division, so they might end up being the 3rd or 4th best NL team, but finish with the best record anyway.
  5. bukie
    I don't mean to sound like a homer, but Illinois actually has a decent chance to win out. Their remaining games are home vs. MSU, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and road vs. Iowa, Michigan, Penn State. Compared to their schedule thus far (@MSU, @Wisc, 2 vs IU, 2 vs. PU, 2 vs. OSU, @Minn, Mich, NU, PSU), that seems significantly easier. Granted, they'll likely lose half those by less than 10 points, just because of their Memphis-like FT shooting.
  6. bukie
    Up-to-date Pomeroy ratings: http://kenpom.com/rate.php Check out which two teams stick out like sore thumbs in that rating.
  7. bukie
    The mathematical reason that SF and SH don't cancel or factor out of the equation is that they are added into the numerator and denominator, not multiplied. The logical reason... The bottom of the equation (SF+SH+BB+HBP+SB+CS+AB) is just a fancy way of factoring in all plate appearances, and including all stolen base attempts. The top half of the equation is measuring the value of each possible outcome for those plate appearances/stolen base attempts. Negative outcomes (strikeout, hit-out, caught stealing) have no value, so they don't have a factor in the top half. EDIT: It could be argued that hitting into a double play has a negative value, since it is a worse than zero effect, but it simply isn't factored into the EqA equation.
  8. bukie
    Lost in the IU-UI talk... Illinois won. By 24. At Minnesota. Where did that come from?
  9. bukie
    I believe this is the correct order.
  10. bukie
    Always seemed too convenient for the constant to normalize the data to be 5 exactly. Makes more sense that it isn't all the time. Still don't like the way park effects are factored in, since in any player's home park, 90% of the league is facing the home team's pitching staff, which can throw off park averages. However, I'm not sure there's a better way to do it, since factoring in multiple years of home park effects is also flawed if the home park is altered in any way.
  11. bukie
    Maybe Hendry wouldn't do the Roberts deal without getting an innings-eater in return...
  12. bukie
    that's like asking "if two people own the same car but one has 2 speeding tickets and the other doesn't, which is more likely to speed?" more like "if two people own the same car but one has two speeding tickets, which one is more likely to violently murder his entire family?" Or even "If two people own the same car but one has a speeding ticket, which one is more likely to use illegal drugs?"
  13. bukie
    Psh, that's nothing. Apparently I'm a Nazi. I didn't realize there were people with that low a level of self-esteem. I mostly just feel sorry for them.
  14. bukie
    Blanco likely drags down the "duo" in their eyes, but if Soto plays up to his projections, the Cubs could have the 2nd or 3rd best production in the NL from the C position.
  15. bukie
    How is Jeff Francoeur not a good outfielder? I'll let the FJM guys handle this one with a glossary entry: OBP (On-Base Percentage) 1. Read Moneyball. 2. OBP is the difference between Kevin Youkilis and Jeff Francoeur. 3. It's also the reason Adam Dunn is vastly underrated. 4. Very simply, OBP is a way to tell how good someone is at not making outs. It’s the total number of times a guy gets on base without being responsible for making an out (except for reaching on errors), divided by his plate appearances -- which are simply times a guy comes up to the plate and tries not to make an out. See why it’s valuable? (Plate appearances in this case are defined as At Bats + Walks + Sacrifice Flies.)
  16. bukie

    The NBA thread

    bukie replied to imb's topic in Other Sports

    So, with last night's win against Golden State, the Bulls actually vaulted into the 8 spot in the East. No, really.
  17. bukie
    just like last year, right? Indeed, just like last year. A good example of why projections are merely that.
  18. bukie
    More the opposite, really. :) Joe Morgan was a fantastic player, but the man truly doesn't understand why.
  19. bukie
    Here's how I see it: Contenders - Cubs, Brewers Competitive - Reds, Astros Disaster - Cards, Pirates This doesn't mean of course that the division will finish in that order, just that this would be the most likely outcome, with basically three "tiers" of teams. The only prohibitive favorite of any NL division would be the Mets.
  20. bukie
    Simply put, EqA is an offensive stat that attempts to "level the playing field" of all the players in the league, taking into effect the ballpark effects, team pitching effects, and only factoring in individual statistics like walks, HRs, SBs, HBP, TB, and such to prevent the effects of teammates on the statistics, unlike R and RBI (which are very team-dependent). It's normalized to look like a batting average, so that the league average EqA will always be .260. So, anyone above a .260 EqA is above average offensively, and anyone below .260 EqA is below average offensively. Most of us are still waiting for a defensive metric that is comparable.
  21. bukie
    ESPN's 10 best college basketball mascots. I'm biased to one of them, but most of these are pretty hilarious.
  22. bukie
    That's all well and good, but the people that don't vote better damn well not bitch about whoever gets voted in. They had their chance to contribute. That's all well and good, but when there are no good candidates available (say, for example, 2004), I'd just as soon vote "None of the Above". In that case, I reserve my right to complain about all the candidates.
  23. bukie
    Illinois with 6 moral victories in the conference thus far, tied with Wisconsin for the lead. Way to keep it close, guys!
  24. bukie
    All 5 have been stated. Schilling - 4.380 - 2nd overall Pedro - 4.280 - 3rd overall Ben Sheets - 3.940 - 4th overall Johan Santana - 3.790 - 6th overall Jon Lieber - 3.670 - 8th overall Of course, if Lieber pitches as much as I think he will, he'll likely fall out of the top 10 this year, and Oswalt could slip in.
  25. bukie
    4 of 5 right.
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