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bukie

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Everything posted by bukie

  1. bukie
    He was a cut candidate from the start of training, and a healthy scratch several times last season in a year they had a terrible DL. Not really a surprise.
  2. bukie
    For funsies, I ran 10000 simulations for the end of the season based on current pythagorean estimates. Here was the Cubs' record distribution: 5% - 100+ wins 20% - 98+ wins 50% - 96+ wins 75% - 94+ wins 90% - 92+ wins Brewers' record distribution assuming they are August good: 40% - 100+ wins 55% - 99+ wins 75% - 97+ wins 90% - 95+ wins 99% - 92+ wins If the Brewers somehow revert back to their May form: 4% - 100+ wins 18% - 98+ wins 40% - 96+ wins 70% - 94+ wins 90% - 92+ wins So while it would help the Cubs out (obviously) if the Brewers turned back into a pumpkin, it seems like the Cubs target number to try to win the division is 100 games. For reference, the Cubs beat out the current Brewers in 1,989 simulations (19.9%). The Cubs beat out the pumpkin Brewers in 5,969 simulations (59.7).
  3. bukie
    I would say that in order for the Cubs to win the division and get the 1 overall seed, they would need to finish 24-7. Difficult, but not impossible.
  4. bukie
    Despite the near constant cynicism of the game thread crowd, the Cubs have won 6 of 7 and cut the division deficit near in half in a week.
  5. bukie
  6. bukie
    Bah, just the 12 for now.
  7. bukie
    Let's go Cubs, 2 more runs and it's the highest total for the day.
  8. bukie
    Justin Turner
  9. bukie
    Meanwhile, Kyle Tucker
  10. bukie
    Picked a good night for this take.
  11. bukie
    Go home, Horizon League, you're drunk.
  12. bukie
    Before anyone reads too much into today's result, keep in mind the Bears throttled the Bills in preseason last year also, 33-6.
  13. bukie
  14. bukie
    Took a shot on the 2nd half kickoff return. Didn't seem too concerning, just out because it's preseason.
  15. bukie
    Never a good sign when you do a jump stop on grass and one of your legs doesn't stop.
  16. bukie
    The rare "2 WR in the same spot but both were open by 10 yards" play. I'm sure one of the WRs ran the wrong route, but it worked out anyway.
  17. bukie
    The Bears offense is doing things I see other NFL teams do regularly, getting open receivers, opening up rushing lanes, giving the QB time to go through reads. So, this is what an NFL offense looks like...
  18. bukie
    If Bagent didn't have the throwing arm of my 7yo, he'd be a really viable starting qb option.
  19. bukie
    Caleb Williams final stats, 6 for 10, 107 yards and a TD throw with 2 3rd down conversi9ns and a 3rd that Odunze couldn't hang on to. Other incompletions were a purposeful throw at receivers feet from a sniffed out screen, a knee high 20 yard throw to avoid a sack, and one slightly behind the receiver on the first play of the 2nd series. Overall, wildly successful.
  20. bukie
    It is, but someone has to call for it. There was some confusion between that and the Bills challenging the catch.
  21. bukie
    Every team in the NFL is going to go for it on 4th and 2 from the opposing 35. Announcers acting like it was some bold call. The two reviews were done out of order. Should've done the challenge first, then the potential measurement. Seemed like there was some confusion there
  22. bukie
    Bagent in now for the 3rd drive. 2nd throw was a duck snort that barely went 13 yards.
  23. bukie
    3rd and 5, Caleb recognizes the blitz, finds the open receiver for a first down.
  24. bukie
    Well that was about the most positive offensive drive possible to start things off. Preseason stats are meaningless, but I'd rather see a meaningless positive for Caleb than the opposite.
  25. bukie
    Classic Derwood "I don't understand any of this so I'm going to make things up to comment about" take, there.
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