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Rob

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Everything posted by Rob

  1. Rob
    If Pie had ever gotten a real shot and fell on his face, I wouldn't mind this trade so much. As is, I'm pretty pissed at Lou.
  2. Rob
    So you're saying we should go for Pedro instead?
  3. Rob
    You're right. There are no reclamation projects. Formerly good players never recover a bit of the magic for a season. And we certainly can't let them be replacing JOEY FREAKING GATHRIGHT as our 25th man. Just out of sheer morbid curiosity... let's say the Indians come to you and say that they want to get rid of Travis Hafner. They'll pick up his whole contract and you don't have to give up anything even resembling a prospect. Do you let him take Micah Hoffpauir's spot on the bench?
  4. Rob
    I don't see a problem with taking a chance on him... just so long as it's at league minimum. His skillset might still be more useful than Joey Gathright.
  5. Rob
    "New" UZR likes him. The DT's hate him. PBR has him right around average. And if memory serves, Dewan's +/- has him making a lot of plays out of his zone, but being somewhat shaky inside of it (a la Ronny Cedeno). So call him average-ish, whatever. Funny - that sounds like what would happen if the Indians did a lot of over-shifting. Do they? I don't get much of a chance to watch them.
  6. Rob
    "New" UZR likes him. The DT's hate him. PBR has him right around average. And if memory serves, Dewan's +/- has him making a lot of plays out of his zone, but being somewhat shaky inside of it (a la Ronny Cedeno). So call him average-ish, whatever.
  7. Rob
    this is absolutely one of the dumbest, most indefensible things you've ever said Our CF last season put up a .290/.374/.484 line. Sizemore put up a .268/.374/.502 line. He's pretty bad defensively too... so all he's really got is a tick extra power and some speed. It's not a terrible comparison.
  8. Rob
    I sure hope Miles is part of a platoon... but that looks an awful lot like starter-money.
  9. Rob
    Exactly. That's $75 mil right there... they don't need to hike their payroll at all to afford Sabathia, Burnett, and Teixeira. All this talk about the Yankees ruining baseball by spending this money is absurd when their payroll still might go down.
  10. Rob
    Oh, and somebody with an account at Orioles Hangout needs to copy and paste some of the more hilarious reactions in here.
  11. Rob
    Keep in mind how much money they had coming off the books this year... Giambi - $21 mil Abreu - $16 mil Pettitte - $16 mil Mussina - $11 mil Pavano - $11 mil Their annual payroll might actually go down for 2009.
  12. Rob
    BR can get better?
  13. Rob
    I for one am going to laugh my ass off if Teixeira spurns one of the winningest and highest profile franchises in MLB in favor of spending the rest of his career in baseball purgatory so he can add an extra $10 or $20M to what is already guaranteed to be a contract that will put an end to all of his monetary needs for several lifetimes. Something tells me that the Nats offer is probably gonna have an opt-out clause. So he'd probably be taking it with the hopes of pulling in an extra 2 or 3 million annually for 3 years, and then head back out on the market if he's still healthy after that.
  14. Rob
    ***FTH? 4 EVA***
  15. Rob
    I'm not a big fan of trading Vitters for anything short of a perennial allstar. Vitters is probably the most overrated Cub prospect since Bobby Hill. Why? Because he is. He had good high school stats with the caveat of Mono (or whatever) his senior year, so that makes 3 good years @ high school. He had a good cape league and viola the "scouts" love his tools. He's not done anything in high school or elsewhere to justify an elite draft status. Then somebody here says they wouldn't trade him for anything less than a perennial all-star. So far the only thing going for him is that he's from SoCal and he'll still only be 19 next year. At least Hill was a great college player. Vitters tied the NWL hit streak record last year, at the meager age of 18. Maybe its a bit early to be writing him off simply because being contrary makes you look cool.
  16. Rob
    Maybe my memory is clouding my judgment, but he took terrible routes on balls. We don't even need to discuss the guy's arm. The only thing he had going for him in the OF was that he was fast and could make up for his bad jumps and routes with his speed. I hated Juan Pierre. As did I. It doesn't change the reality that he was more than fast enough to make up for his bad routes in our tiny CF, though.
  17. Rob
    For what it's worth, the one season Juan Pierre did spend in Chicago, he was a pretty good defender.
  18. Rob
    He's a solid defender, and he does have game changing speed. As long as he never bats, I'm not too upset with the signing. I do wonder what this means for Pie, though. If this is a ML contract, Pie is definitely on the move.
  19. Rob
    Well, then I guess I'll go with Morneau cause he's lucky then. In 940 career PA (just so you don't argue sample size), Morneau has had 2.5 PA per RBI with RISP. Dunn in 1322 PA has 3.4 PA per RBI with RISP. You call it luck, I call it Morneau putting more of an emphasis on putting the ball in play to try and score a runner. Either way, I still say that it's a reason why Morneau is a better hitter. For their careers, Morneau gets on base at a .394 clip with RISP. Dunn gets on at a .416 clip. We could just as easily say that Dunn is significantly better a hitter because he keeps the rally going more often than Morneau. Of course, all of the arguments I've seen in this thread are asinine. Dunn is a good ballplayer, but I wouldn't want Hendry to sign him for the money he's going to get... then again, I'm assuming Felix Pie can hit at a league average clip for us, so take my opinion for what its worth.
  20. Rob
    Why on earth are you bolding this? I covered it a while back.
  21. Rob
    I actually agree with the O's decision to go after Teixeira. They've got some quality arms in the system coming up in the next few years, or already there and just trying to get the kinks worked out. Matsuz, Arrieta, Hernandez, Erbe, Spoone, Olson, Liz, Penn, Patton, and a handful of others... in 2-3 years, I don't see them having much trouble putting together at least an average rotation for dirt cheap. Their problem is that they are old and washed up on the field right now, and their retreads like Huff and Mora wont be able to perform decently when the pitching is finally ready. But Teixeira, Wieters, Markakis, and Jones might make for a very solid core when that pitching is finally ready.
  22. Rob
    Expounding a bit on what I said earlier, I went ahead and adjusted his line to fit more smoothly with "neutral luck"... just knocking his BABIP up or down to whatever it took to achieve LD% + .120. And I did it for the last five years. Raw: 2004 - .267/.362/.424 2005 - .290/.350/.484 2006 - .276/.370/.447 2007 - .306/.402/.545 2008 - .321/.436/.563 Adjusted: 2004 - .261/.357/.417 2005 - .321/.379/.522 2006 - .253/.350/.419 2007 - .291/.389/.528 2008 - .307/.424/.544 He's been just a little bit lucky the last two seasons, was somewhat lucky the year before that, was even more unlucky the year before that, and was pretty much spot on the season before. But obviously, luck hasn't played enough of a role to really affect his projections much... we aren't exactly dealing with 2007 BJ Upton here. No, the reason his seasons are sometimes great, and sometimes average is that his LD% fluctuates around much more than your average player. And that isn't terribly hard to explain given Bradley's injury history. If he's healthy, he's going to produce. Questioning his bat is asinine... as is questioning his defense (which is slightly above average). The problem is simply going to be keeping him healthy.
  23. Rob
    Even if you adjust Milton Bradley's line down to your basic LD% +.120 (which is a good rule of thumb), it hardly makes a difference to his line. He only got lucky to the tune of six extra hits last year. You're looking .307/.424/.544 line instead of his .321/.436/.563 line. Whoa, he sucks.
  24. Rob
    And compared to the Big Unit, Z fields like Maddux in his prime.
  25. Rob
    I was only assuming he'd get a slightly higher salary if he was offered a rotation spot. Sorry to be so ambiguous.
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