Jump to content
North Side Baseball

CubinNY

Old-Timey Member
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    27,596

  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    23

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by CubinNY

  1. CubinNY
    You are the king of not getting it.
  2. CubinNY
    Jeez o' pete. Can we agree that they were among the most used relievers and stop with the pedantic bull horsefeathers. The point stands and no amount of hair splitting will change that. One can blame Ross or Jed or both. And "riding" a lightning in a bottle is stupid.
  3. CubinNY
    O happy day
  4. CubinNY
    Funny is doing a lot of there.
  5. CubinNY
    You just want things to click in place for the Bears and they never do. If they could run the ball as well as they did two years ago or even last year that would take some pressure off. They are constantly treading water up to their nose
  6. CubinNY
    The Tigers are about to be a really good team. They are not trading Skubal.
  7. CubinNY
    Send your resume to the Bears with one of your 739 line posts on here. They will hire you in a 2nd. They need someone with brains in Hallas Hall.
  8. CubinNY
    ERA is not a good metric for a bullpen pitcher.
  9. CubinNY
    Hangover lineup I would imagine.
  10. CubinNY
    This is one area that I trust them to make the correct decision if they target a guy. They have a pretty good track record. I'm more worried about injury than performance.
  11. CubinNY
    Getting back on track - The Cubs strategy for the bullpen banks on hard-to-repeat outcomes. Grabbing guys off the DFA/waiver wire and mixing them in through attrition is based on a failure model. Failure in the pen usually means losing winnable games. We've seen it play out now for a couple of years. They are recycling the same strategy this year. We should expect similar results, but hey maybe they'll get "lucky".
  12. CubinNY
    An outcome that is hard to repeat means that's is hard to repeat outcome. The outcome is whatever happened. You might as well say Lucifer made it happen.
  13. CubinNY
    Variability exists, but we live in a deterministic universe, it's explainable in theory and extrinsic to behavior. So a guy goes out to a restaurant the night before a day game and has a slight case of intestinal discomfort. The next day his performance is adversely affected. Several factors may or may not account for his performance and how much it deviates from typical performance, none of which depend on luck. We may not be able to quantify the contributions of all the variables with any certainty because of how complex the interplay is between all of them. That's what makes sports fun. Variability of behavior and luck are often used interchangeably by people.
  14. CubinNY
    luck is a default explanation. it's what we say when we don't know. It's an attribute to a mystical force for which there is no tangle proof. Is an unlikely outcome due to voodoo or witchcraft? Most people would say no. But we talk about luck all the time when it's the same explanation. When we analyze or explain outcomes in sports we are dealing with complex systems, so we invent things that help us (models, descriptive and inferential statistics, spray charts, etc.). Those inventions are often useful, but never perfect. I saw a post saying the Brewers got lucky this year because they didn't have a guy have a huge year. When in fact, the brewers are the organization that the Cubs aspire to be. They know how to pick players that fit their model and plug them in to get the best outcomes. It's not luck that they continue to dominate our division.
  15. CubinNY
    At the risk of turning this into something it shouldn't here are some axioms 1. We live in a cause and effect universe 2. Behavior is a dynamic property that is frequently changing and subject to multiple variables 3. Reality is never wrong 4. All mathematical modes are subject to measurement error. The errors can be large or small. When the model deviates from reality, the model has errors. See #3. What some call luck/variance is an attribute or explanation not based on a model. It's also called an explanatory fiction. ---------------- The fact that the Cubs underperformed or some team overperformed their Pythagorean record doesn't mean they got lucky/negative-positive variance. It means the model isn't perfect and other unidentified factors may have contributed to the deviation. It doesn't mean the model is useless either.
  16. CubinNY
    If there was a way for accounting for all the extra revenue Wrigleyville generates for the Ricketts I'd guess that they'd probably be close to the Yankees.
  17. CubinNY
    Don't forget the concerts, football games, hockey games, Christmas villages, hotel, apartments, bars, and corporate function rentals.
  18. CubinNY
    The Cubs are going bullpen vs. Aaron Nola.
  19. CubinNY
    I saw that too. I try to watch or listen to most every game. Trying to do that for the rest of the season is a response effort I'm not willing to make.
  20. CubinNY
    I know the whole, respect the game angle - but I think the Cubs should have fun with the next handful of games and bring guys up for a game or two who had a good season in AAA.
  21. CubinNY
    It's not a no-brainer but it's probably not a tough financial decision to opt-out if he thinks he can get a 5 year deal somewhere. There are other considerations to think about though. I read he's happy in Chicago and his family likes it. I think they live in the Phoenix area in the offseason. I like him on the team, but he's not a difference-maker at this point. He has utility and helps the team at various positions. Given the artificial financial constraints, it is probably best for the Cubs if he opts-out.
  22. CubinNY
    I suppose if one approaches the season of a year one rebuild it's not so bad. They couldn't run on a team with a poor run defense. The coach makes the same dumb mistakes he's made in the past. The defense looked good but got worn down. All these things are not new and have not been corrected. Same Bears/
  23. CubinNY
    The Athletic did an article on the White Sox and lets just say, wow it's a terribly run organization.
  24. CubinNY
    Coaching matters as does personnel management. Kyle is wrong.
  25. CubinNY
    And people reflexively want to trade him because he's been on the 40-man too long or something.
×
×
  • Create New...