i doubt it. he doesn't strike out as many guys as pedro in his prime, and he's been really lucky this year. .268 BABIP with a 20% LD rate, and 0 HRs allowed. he's allowed 45 fly balls; his career HR/FB is a shade under 10% meaning that he'd "normally" have given up 3 or 4 HRs by now. his numbers should be excellent, but once the fly balls start going over the fence and he has a couple of bad starts, that ERA will probably end up in the mid 2's or something. this is true, but part of having a 2000 pedro season is getting lucky. pedro had a .237 BABIP in 2000. he was amazing, but it's pretty unlikely his ld% was low enough for that to be reasonable. also, i think greinke is a special enough case that it's reasonable to believe that his career hf/fb rate isn't going to reflect what he does this year. that's true, but even if his HR/FB rate is better than his career numbers, he's still toward the low end of the HR/FB spectrum. it's unrealistic to expect that the current "great greinke" would have a rate of anything below 5-6%. as for pedro's 2000, you're right about how lucky he was on balls in play. i think that, luck-neutral, pedro's best season was 1999. he was 23-4 with a 2.07 ERA, had 13.2 K/9 IP and just 1.6 BB/9, and a .325 BABIP. his ERA was almost below 2, pitching half his games in a hitter's park, and he was probably unlucky on balls in play. simply absurd. late '90s pedro was something else, the type of domination you had to stop and watch. i remember watching a game at yankee stadium in 1999, this during the heart of the yankees' dynasty, and pedro threw a 1-hitter (a home run) and struck out 17 while not walking anyone. it was simply incredible. that was up there with kerry wood's game for being as dominant a performance as i'd ever seen.