Reds (Lodolo) vs Cubs (Pomeranz): 5/31/25, 1:20pm

[squally1313]

33 minutes ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

If they miss the playoffs or even a higher seed by 1 game and none of the higher seeded teams blew a save thanks to a bad pitch selection, then the subplot is no laughing matter. 

 

1. It is a 162 game season. 
2. The Marlins win expectancy after that pitch was 14%

[Geographyhater8888]

19 minutes ago, gflore34 said:

I don't think it was about bad pitch selection, it poor execution by Palencia, had he not hung that slider Hill probably strikes out.  I also believe a high fastball would have struck Hill out as well.

I’m sure tanner scott would like that meatball he threw to Amaya back as well. It happens. I’d like the bats to come alive so the late inning pen arms can rest.

[Geographyhater8888]

6 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

1. It is a 162 game season. 
2. The Marlins win expectancy after that pitch was 14%

That’s my point. What was the dodgers win expectancy before Tanner Scott threw a fastball right down the middle to Amaya? That’s the nature of a 162 game season.

Edited June 1, 2025 by Geographyhater8888

[squally1313]

23 minutes ago, Geographyhater8888 said:

That’s my point. What was the dodgers win expectancy before Tanner Scott threw a fastball right down the middle to Amaya? That’s the nature of a 162 game season.

I feel like you implied earlier that if the cubs miss some benchmark by a game it will be because of that one decision. Possible I missed some sarcasm. Hyperfixtating on one pitch call, not even some sort of execution or outright mistake, when there were multiple other factors that led to that loss (the subsequent walk, the GW hit, Tucker not catching the ball in the first place, not executing with RISP in the 6th and the 9th) is very dumb, before even considering the factors that led to the other 65-70 losses, not to mention the components of all the wins. Baseball is great and dumb and fun because all nine innings count equally and no matter how high you’re winning expectancy gets, it’s never 100% until the game is over, and they play 162 games so weird fluky things are going to happen. It’s what keeps you watching. 

[Geographyhater8888]

14 minutes ago, squally1313 said:

I feel like you implied earlier that if the cubs miss some benchmark by a game it will be because of that one decision. Possible I missed some sarcasm. Hyperfixtating on one pitch call, not even some sort of execution or outright mistake, when there were multiple other factors that led to that loss (the subsequent walk, the GW hit, Tucker not catching the ball in the first place, not executing with RISP in the 6th and the 9th) is very dumb, before even considering the factors that led to the other 65-70 losses, not to mention the components of all the wins. Baseball is great and dumb and fun because all nine innings count equally and no matter how high you’re winning expectancy gets, it’s never 100% until the game is over, and they play 162 games so weird fluky things are going to happen. It’s what keeps you watching. 

Complete sarcasm. I’ll try to be more absurd next time. The blown saves and defensive miscues are only a problem when you’re 28-30 like last year and the offense couldn’t put teams away, creating more opportunities to lose those tight games you want back.

[PeanutPunch33]

2 hours ago, squally1313 said:

1. It is a 162 game season. 
2. The Marlins win expectancy after that pitch was 14%

not to revisit this forgettable loss but I remember there being 2 outs and 0 people on base.  Win probability was probably 99% at that point.  Then next 2 got on before Hill walked it off.  
 

honestly, maybe a loss like that was needed to bring out the best in Palencia. Every player needs a healthy amount of adversity.

[squally1313]

16 minutes ago, PeanutPunch33 said:

not to revisit this forgettable loss but I remember there being 2 outs and 0 people on base.  Win probability was probably 99% at that point.  Then next 2 got on before Hill walked it off.  
 

honestly, maybe a loss like that was needed to bring out the best in Palencia. Every player needs a healthy amount of adversity.

You’ve got it backwards. 

[Derwood]

Dansby is up there guessing again