Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 9-20-22

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Playoff Games (All Times Central):

 

SL Division Series Game 1: Tennessee vs Rocket City, 6:15 pm

MWL Championship Series Game 2: South Bend at Lake County, 6:05 pm CT (SB trails 1-0)

 

Both series are best-of-3

 

South Bend: RHP Luis Devers

 

Regular Season Game (Central Time):

 

Iowa at Omaha, 6:35 pm

[TruffleShuffle]

Canario has hit two dongs, his first AAA home runs.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

Mervis with a double and 2 BB tonight, which means his AAA line has now improved on his AA line in AVG, IsoP, BABIP, K%, BB%, and wRC+ in just about as many PA. Just completely absurd stuff.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

 

Lake County doesn’t have a video feed so this is our view:

 

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Canario has hit two dongs, his first AAA home runs.

 

Here they are:

 

 

[Tim]

Same HR.

 

Impressive power on that swing, tho

[CubinNY]

Good stuff!

[Tim]

I'm actually much more hopeful about Canario than I was about Nelson.

[Tim]

Also, Roederer with another shot today.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

South Bend holds on 4-3 to force a deciding Game 3 for the MWL Championship tomorrow.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Same HR.

 

Impressive power on that swing, tho

 

D’oh! Fixed the post.

[Tim]

Canario x 3

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Also, Roederer with another shot today.

 

Ties Mervis for most homers in the system this year (34).

 

[Tim]

Also, Roederer with another shot today.

 

Ties Mervis for most homers in the system this year (34).

lol - you just made Tom's heart skip a beat

[Bertz]

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Canario should get another chance in the top of the 9th.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

[Tim]

Just saw that Roederer's hr came off Ben Joyce (the flamethrower from Tenn in the draft this year).

 

Nice.

[Bertz]

 

He hasn't hit for much power yet since he got back, but Brennen's been good since he got off the IL. I think his contact rates are way up too. FG doesn't show batted ball data for minor leaguers in their game logs, but his swinging strike rate at Iowa is now 14.9%. I believe before he went on the IL it was like 18-something percent, which would imply it's been 12ish since he got back. 11-12% is typically average, which for Brennen is about as good as we can expect for contact.

 

Whether it's at Iowa or in the AFL I'd love to see him go on a dong binge soon to prove he's fully healthy, but I'm increasingly comfortable with him being in position to win the CF job out of ST. Don't plan around it happening, but I think they should let him take his shot.

[Tim]

[Bertz]

[TruffleShuffle]

 

how come he’s not rated higher? I assume his hit tool is pretty limited? 34 home runs (mostly at AA) in his age 21/22 season is pretty impressive. There’s a lot of swing and miss but he does take a reasonable number of walks, so he doesn’t seem to be a wild hacker.

[sneakypower]

i personally consider him firmly within the system's top 10, but i can see the usual factors at play: likely corner OF, iffy hit tool, streaky performance

 

the real question is did he meaningfully flip a switch midway through the season where he became a much more well-rounded hitter vs. all or nothing slugger or is it just sample size fluctuations

 

[attachment=0]Screenshot 2022-09-22 at 10-43-11 Alexander Canario 2022 Minor Leagues Game Logs & Splits Baseball-Reference.com.png[/attachment][attachment=1]Screenshot 2022-09-22 at 10-43-25 Alexander Canario 2022 Minor Leagues Game Logs & Splits Baseball-Reference.com.png[/attachment]

[Tim]

Yeah, I'm very interested to hear if there were meaningful adjustments made that led to the breakout. I'm kind of terrified of trading him at this point because if there was an adjustment that led to that second half performance, we could really regret losing him.

[sneakypower]

nobody seems to think much of him but also becoming harder to ignore Perlaza's been white hot for a few months now as well, after an abysmal April

 

[attachment=0]Screenshot 2022-09-22 at 10-51-56 Yonathan Perlaza 2022 Minor & Winter Leagues Game Logs & Splits Baseball-Reference.com.png[/attachment]