Minor League Discussion & Boxes, 8-3-22

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Scheduled Games (All Times Central):

 

Iowa vs Toledo (game one), 1:08 pm

Iowa vs Toledo (game two), TBD

Tennessee at Rocket City, 6:35 pm

South Bend at Fort Wayne, 6:05 pm

Myrtle Beach vs Lynchburg, 6:05 pm

 

All rookie league teams have the day off

 

Probable Starters:

 

Iowa: LHP Sean Newcomb

Tennessee: RHP Chris Clarke

South Bend: RHP Porter Hodge

Myrtle Beach: LHP Luke Little

[Bertz]

Curious what the plan is with Newcomb, and the Iowa SPs more broadly, now that neither rental SP got traded.

 

Keegan is clearly gassed, and probably gets shifted to the pen after another couple starts, a la Alzolay last year. Steele seems to have more in the tank, but not a ton more. Hendricks is out for at least another month. Let's say between those three, there's ~15 more starts accounted for.

 

Stroman, Smyly, and Miley presumably make all of their remaining starts as long as they stay healthy, so 25-30 starts.

 

That leaves 15-20 starts for Sampson and the Iowa crew. I assume Kilian is front of the line there, but does Newcomb jump in ahead of Sampson? Does Wesneski have any shot at MLB starts this year?

[Bertz]

 

I think Brad is driving the Perlaza bandwagon and I'm riding shotgun

[Rex Buckingham]

Curious what the plan is with Newcomb, and the Iowa SPs more broadly, now that neither rental SP got traded.

 

Keegan is clearly gassed, and probably gets shifted to the pen after another couple starts, a la Alzolay last year. Steele seems to have more in the tank, but not a ton more. Hendricks is out for at least another month. Let's say between those three, there's ~15 more starts accounted for.

 

Stroman, Smyly, and Miley presumably make all of their remaining starts as long as they stay healthy, so 25-30 starts.

 

That leaves 15-20 starts for Sampson and the Iowa crew. I assume Kilian is front of the line there, but does Newcomb jump in ahead of Sampson? Does Wesneski have any shot at MLB starts this year?

 

I wonder if they'll give Kilian any time on the Development List (has he already been there?) to try and remedy the control issues. Regardless, I bet they keep him down the rest of the year. Let him work in AAA and see if he can get ML hitters out next spring?

 

SP is really the position that they can probably most upgrade next year (in terms of our SP has sucked so much this year outside of Stro recently and solid work from Steele and Thompson), but idk who is even available.

[Hrubes20]

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I had not realized his K rate was so low during this stretch.

[Tryptamine]

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I had not realized his K rate was so low during this stretch.

 

If I remember correctly K% normalizes quite quickly, so we should be at a large enough sample size to confidentially say that there's some type of mechanical change that caused this and we should be optimistic about it going forward.

[squally1313]

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I had not realized his K rate was so low during this stretch.

 

If I remember correctly K% normalizes quite quickly, so we should be at a large enough sample size to confidentially say that there's some type of mechanical change that caused this and we should be optimistic about it going forward.

I understand conceptually what you're saying, but that also requires you to toss out the theoretically 'normalized' K% from the first set of games, so probably a little early to be sure of what's going on.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

Stabilized means "meaningful", not necessarily "predictive" or "sustainable". So we know it's not random noise, but we don't know how likely it is to persist.

[Bertz]

You can't look at it day-by-day, but Canario's swinging strike rate is now roughly average, after being in the danger zone early on. He has fully leveled up at AA. I'm pretty sure even when Nelly went nuclear at AA last year he was still swinging and missing at a Gallo-esque pace.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Miley on rehab, not Newcomb today.

[We Got The Whole 9]

Not even Soler put up this combo of inhuman power and mastery of the strike zone that Canario did in July. I love how he shows power to all fields consistently.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

Chewing up space:

 

 

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2 inning save from Danis Correa with 4 Ks...Ks are what he's missing in an otherwise decent AA season so far, 55% GB rate coming into tonight...He and Estrada are probably among a bunch of arms (Sanders, Jensen, Hughes, Hudson etc) off the 40 with plenty of opportunity rn

 

Leeper and Little both had good multi-inning outings for Iowa at an opportune time.

 

Though I wouldn’t be shocked if they use the vacant 40-man spot to call up Newcomb tomorrow for the doubleheader.

[CaliforniaRaisin]

 

I think Brad is driving the Perlaza bandwagon and I'm riding shotgun

 

So those stats were before Perlaza had a 4-hit game with 2 HRs and a double today.

 

[Bertz]

 

I think Brad is driving the Perlaza bandwagon and I'm riding shotgun

 

So those stats were before Perlaza had a 4-hit game with 2 HRs and a double today.

 

 

It's just a fun all around offensive profile. The swing and miss and the strikeouts are around average. The walks are elite. The power is good. He hits everything in the air BUT ALSO doesn't hit a bunch of popups. The speed seems average-ish. He's a switch hitter who's pretty comparable from both sides of the plate.

 

Honestly if he was still an infielder I'd be letting my expectations get unreasonable. As is I think he settles in as a bat off the bench, but like our favorite bat off the bench.