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I think that is a best case thing. Those mid 30s guys are going to be there. If there is a guy on the market that Theo wants I hope he's willing to overpay. Also locking up guys to reasonable contracts early allows a team to overspend.

 

But really for me, I just want them to win. If they overspend to do it I don't really care. I don't take any satisfaction in the Cubs having surpluses value contracts and winning 70 games. When they start winning it won't make me any happier knowing the payroll is - dollars from the Yankees etc.

 

You're not going to sign guys to big deals that are already in their mid-30's. These megadeals are being given to guys in their early 30s, and while there will always be some of them on the market, the number of great ones will dwindle as more and more teams lock their guys up early, and through the end of their prime years.

I agree. But, I guess my point is that there will always be really good players who will be overpaid. I hope Theo doesn't write a potential target off out of hand simply because of his age and cost.

 

Theo will continue to target guys like Anibel Sanchez and Masahiro Tanaka who become available. There will be more guys like that. They are not as common but when they do hit you have to strike hard.

They've shown no stomach for striking hard, yet. I get why.

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Agents will find ways to change things up. Just as Boras took out a huge insurance policy on Scherzer, other agents will start doing the same, in my opinion, much earlier on players. At which point, the early, team friendly long term first contracts will slow down and more of these guys hit FA between 27-30 instead of 31-33 again. The money is there to be spent in MLB, it's up to the agents and the players union to maximize how it gets back to the players. And if the older players start seeing less money because they gave a team a friendly deal that bought out a few FA years-they'll find ways to change it up.

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