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Grabow


BeerHere
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This situation seems eerily familiar:

 

Pitcher A: 17 IP, 8.47 ERA, 2.18 WHIP, 14 K/11 BB, 2 HR

Pitcher B: 16 1/3 IP, 8.26 ERA, 2.39 WHIP, 19K/14 BB, 4 HR

 

A is Grabow now. B was Scott Eyre in 2007 at the end of May.

 

This says a couple of things. First that this is the reason you don't give multi-year deals to average relievers because they have periods like this and then you're stuck. Second is that there's no reason to do anything drastic with Grabow. Stick him in low leverage situations for a while and let himself pitch out of it. Pitchers like this bounce back and have periods of dominance all the time.

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Pitcher A: 17 IP, 8.47 ERA, 2.18 WHIP, 14 K/11 BB, 2 HR, 1.27 SO/BB, 5.12 FIP, .414 BABIP

Pitcher C: 11.0 IP, 7.36 ERA, 2.09 WHIP, 9K/9BB, 3 HR, 1.00 SO/BB, 7.73 FIP, .333 BABIP

 

 

A is Grabow, C is Neal Cotts in 2009 (He was sent packing after his May 25th outing).

 

Basically, Grabow isn't good, but at the same time he has been unlucky and isn't as bad as this.

 

Doesn't mean he should have been signed, just that he should improve.

 

 

 

The reason I compare him to Cotts is because of this post I made in the Grabow signing thread that compared the two:

 

Want to see something fun?

 

Neal Cotts 2007-2008 before he "exploded" in 2009:

 

 

 

Code:

K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% FIP

2007: 7.56 4.86 1.56 0.54 .242 1.44 .298 70.3 % 4.50

2008:10.85 3.28 3.31 1.77 .274 1.43 .350 80.6 % 4.45

 

 

 

Grabow's last two years:

 

 

Code:

K/9 BB/9 K/BB HR/9 AVG WHIP BABIP LOB% FIP

2008:7.34 4.38 1.68 1.07 .219 1.28 .251 85.5 % 4.54

2009:7.09 4.98 1.43 0.62 .233 1.41 .279 78.6 % 4.20

 

 

 

Furthermore, both their Inherited Runners Stranded % for career is 26% with about the same amount of IR's (212 for Cotts, 235 for Grabow).

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