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Posted
Not sure what this says about either team at this point, but I sure didn't figure that would be the case on June 3rd. Sort of sums it all up, though.

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Posted

Team             W    L       RS   RA  W1   L1     EQR EQRA  W2   L2    AEQR AEQRA W3   L3      D1    D2    D3
Cubs             22.  31.    239  233 27.1 25.9    247  228 28.5 24.5    241  228 27.9 25.1    -5.1  -6.5  -5.9
Brewers          31.  25.    253  245 28.8 27.2    260  246 29.5 26.5    251  246 28.6 27.4     2.2   1.5   2.4
Reds             22.  35.    256  292 24.9 32.1    260  267 27.7 29.3    247  277 25.4 31.6    -2.9  -5.7  -3.4
Astros           23.  32.    221  258 23.5 31.5    224  257 24.0 31.0    217  267 22.3 32.7    -0.5  -1.0   0.7
Cardinals        23.  30.    205  261 20.6 32.4    196  240 21.7 31.3    193  247 20.7 32.3     2.4   1.3   2.3
Pirates          24.  31.    225  262 23.6 31.4    213  279 20.7 34.3    211  281 20.4 34.6     0.4   3.3   3.6

 

 

Average wins by position in NL Central:  89.2 81.7 76.3 72.2 68.2 63.1
NL Central        W    L    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs
Brewers           31   25   .507   87.0   75.0   65.47973    1.36528   66.84501
Pirates           24   31   .417   69.7   92.3    1.78123     .07960    1.86083
Cardinals         23   30   .430   71.4   90.6    3.10395     .19208    3.29603
Astros            23   32   .439   70.6   91.4    2.51288     .11235    2.62523
Cubs              22   31   .517   80.9   81.1   24.39680    1.90949   26.30629
Reds              22   35   .464   71.0   91.0    2.72542     .12337    2.84879

Posted
Average wins by position in NL Central:  89.2 81.7 76.3 72.2 68.2 63.1
NL Central        W    L    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs
Brewers           31   25   .507   87.0   75.0   65.47973    1.36528   66.84501
Pirates           24   31   .417   69.7   92.3    1.78123     .07960    1.86083
Cardinals         23   30   .430   71.4   90.6    3.10395     .19208    3.29603
Astros            23   32   .439   70.6   91.4    2.51288     .11235    2.62523
Cubs              22   31   .517   80.9   81.1   24.39680    1.90949   26.30629
Reds              22   35   .464   71.0   91.0    2.72542     .12337    2.84879

 

Wow. They're pretty high on the Cubs still considering this start. 26% chance at the playoffs...I know it's not great, but still.

Posted
Average wins by position in NL Central:  89.2 81.7 76.3 72.2 68.2 63.1
NL Central        W    L    Pct3  Avg W  Avg L  Champions  Wild Card   Playoffs
Brewers           31   25   .507   87.0   75.0   65.47973    1.36528   66.84501
Pirates           24   31   .417   69.7   92.3    1.78123     .07960    1.86083
Cardinals         23   30   .430   71.4   90.6    3.10395     .19208    3.29603
Astros            23   32   .439   70.6   91.4    2.51288     .11235    2.62523
Cubs              22   31   .517   80.9   81.1   24.39680    1.90949   26.30629
Reds              22   35   .464   71.0   91.0    2.72542     .12337    2.84879

 

Wow. They're pretty high on the Cubs still considering this start. 26% chance at the playoffs...I know it's not great, but still.

 

Probably has to do with the fact that they still have scored more runs then they've allowed

Posted
It's a shame that we can't combine the two teams so that we might have a chance in a few years. We'll use most of their young position players with our young pitchers. WORLD CHAMPIONS BY 2009!
Posted

Latest Pythag standings (last two columns). Actual record is in the 2nd and 3rd columns:

 

  • TEAM W L RS RA ExpW-L ExpWP
    SDP 35 23 251 185 38-20 0.648
    BOS 37 21 307 232 37-21 0.637
    NYM 35 22 272 214 35-22 0.618
    LAA 38 23 294 245 36-25 0.590
    DTT 33 25 340 286 34-24 0.586
    OAK 31 27 246 210 34-24 0.578
    CLE 35 22 318 276 33-24 0.570
    SFG 27 31 258 232 32-26 0.553
    NYY 26 31 305 275 31-26 0.552
    LAD 34 25 256 233 32-27 0.547
    CHC 25 32 267 245 31-26 0.543
    ARI 36 24 254 236 32-28 0.537
    BAL 28 32 269 260 31-29 0.517
    SEA 30 26 292 282 29-27 0.517
    ATL 33 27 281 274 31-29 0.513
    MIL 33 27 267 263 30-30 0.508
    MIN 29 29 268 264 29-29 0.508
    FLA 30 31 297 297 31-31 0.500
    PHI 30 29 297 297 30-30 0.500
    TOR 28 30 266 271 28-30 0.491
    CIN 22 38 272 312 26-34 0.432
    HOU 24 34 238 275 25-33 0.428
    PIT 25 34 246 285 25-34 0.427
    COL 28 31 250 294 25-34 0.420
    TEX 21 38 289 343 24-35 0.415
    CHW 26 29 219 262 23-32 0.411
    STL 26 30 223 274 22-34 0.398
    TAM 25 32 268 341 22-35 0.382
    WAS 24 35 224 293 22-37 0.369
    KAN 22 38 231 309 22-38 0.359

 

Still the same overall record as the DRays, but still the best Pythag in the division. Obviously the last few games have helped, but I'm surprised that the gap is so wide two months into the season. By these standings, San Diego, the Mets, the Cubs and San Francisco would represent the NL in the post season. (I suppose you can file this under the towel-drill ERA leaders category in terms of relevance, but I find it illuminating). It is interesting that the Yankees are in the same boat as the Cubs. And even though both of our main rivals (STL and CHW) dont have great records, they have actually OUTperformed their pythags.

 

Anyway, it doesnt mean a whole lot in the end. The 2004 Cubs had a pythag at 95-67, but no spot in the playoffs. But, some room for a hint of optimism given that no one has or will, in my opinion, run away with the division.

Posted

I love how the Rays overrated Baldelli(just like all their players).

 

I'd say his trade value is down to either bucket of balls, or gatorade cooler. Just because they got Kaszmir for V. Zambrano makes them think that they will get a kings ransome for all their players.

Posted
I love how the Rays overrated Baldelli(just like all their players).

 

I'd say his trade value is down to either bucket of balls, or gatorade cooler. Just because they got Kaszmir for V. Zambrano makes them think that they will get a kings ransome for all their players.

They also did well in acquiring Joel Guzman for Julio Lugo last year too.

Posted
I love how the Rays overrated Baldelli(just like all their players).

 

I'd say his trade value is down to either bucket of balls, or gatorade cooler. Just because they got Kaszmir for V. Zambrano makes them think that they will get a kings ransome for all their players.

They also did well in acquiring Joel Guzman for Julio Lugo last year too.

 

Timing is everything. They never make a trade too early.

Posted

The Cubs don't suck. Only half the Devil Rays suck. The Cubs are underachieving and the Devil Rays are going through growing pains with all their young talent. If only they had pitching.

 

The Yankees are right there as well.

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