08/13 CUBS (Marmol) @ Colorado (Kim) 2:05 CDT, WGN TV, XM188

[badger1679666666]

dunzo

 

is that a real word?

 

yep.

[Fred Hornkohl]

Barrett singled to center field

[da bears]

And Larry Rothschild is still the pitching coach...why?

 

Remember when the Cubs used to be close to the top in ear in the NL a couple years back? Those days seem so long ago.

[Fred Hornkohl]

Murton grounded into a FC, 3-6, Barrett out at second

[Fred Hornkohl]

Perez grounded into a FC, 3-6, Murton out at second

[Fred Hornkohl]

TOP OF THE FOURTH INNING

 

Barrett singled to center field

Murton grounded into a FC, 3-6, Barrett out at second

Perez grounded into a FC, 3-6, Murton out at second

Marmol lined out to third base

 

0 runs 1 hits 0 errors 1 men left on base

 

                1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9              R  H  E
CUBS            0 0 4 0                        4  5  0
Colorado        0 1 4                          5  4  0

 

Home runs:

CUBS: Ramirez (28 )

Colorado: Atkins (19)

 

CUBS           IP  H  R ER BB  K HR PIT
Marmol        3.0  4  5  5  3  1  1  64

 

Colorado       IP  H  R ER BB  K HR PIT
Kim           4.0  5  4  4  1  2  1  54

[Fred Hornkohl]

P/PA thorugh 3.5 innings..........

 

CUBS 3.00 ..... Colorado 4.27

[Fred Hornkohl]

Torrealba grounded out to first, unassisted

[Fred Hornkohl]

Barmes flied out to deep left field

[InconspicuousZ28]

Walking the pitcher. WTF.

[Fred Hornkohl]

Kim walked

[cheapseats]

Nicely done. His numbers are continuing to pile up.

 

Yep. Despite his wretched beginning of the season, he's about at his 40th percentile PECOTA projection, so he hasn't quite put up the numbers expected of him, but he's headed in the right direction. Even if he cools off a little bit, he should end up doing about what was expected of him before the season started.

 

And with Lee back in the lineup (and hopefully a couple more bats) next year, he should continue like this all year next season.

 

Pretty much. He's projected to decline slightly each year until 2010, when the decline is projected to be a little more pronounced.

 

Wonder why they think he'll decline every year? Not like he's old.

 

PECOTA isn't really a "they." It's a system that analyzes past data from years and years and years of baseball. It does a pretty good job. It's especially useful for tempering enthusiasm about career years; the Dodgers GM (DePodesta) wasn't going to give Beltre anything close to what the Mariners did because he believed Beltre's year was an anomaly.

 

PECOTA also did a great job of predicting Ryan Howard's stats this year.

 

Anyway, Aramis's decline isn't projected to be very sharp from year to year. Next year is projected to be pretty much the same as this year, for example, except for maybe a 2 or 3 point drop in OBP. However, PECOTA does expect him to see fewer plate appearances over the next few years, bottoming out at 90 less in 2009 than he sees this year, so it's likely that he'll have to deal with some minor injuries in the upcoming years.

[Fred Hornkohl]

CUBS are 25-22 when they allow fewer than 4 walks.... 23-46 when they don't

 

 

Go CUBS !!

[RonnieWooWooSanto]

Byun Yun Kim is not very intimidating, but it would have been very interesting if there was a brewhaha since he is a black belt.

[Transmogrified Tiger]

Nicely done. His numbers are continuing to pile up.

 

Yep. Despite his wretched beginning of the season, he's about at his 40th percentile PECOTA projection, so he hasn't quite put up the numbers expected of him, but he's headed in the right direction. Even if he cools off a little bit, he should end up doing about what was expected of him before the season started.

 

And with Lee back in the lineup (and hopefully a couple more bats) next year, he should continue like this all year next season.

 

Pretty much. He's projected to decline slightly each year until 2010, when the decline is projected to be a little more pronounced.

 

Wonder why they think he'll decline every year? Not like he's old.

 

PECOTA isn't really a "they." It's a system that analyzes past data from years and years and years of baseball. It does a pretty good job. It's especially useful for tempering enthusiasm about career years; the Dodgers GM (DePodesta) wasn't going to give Beltre anything close to what the Mariners did because he believed Beltre's year was an anomaly.

 

PECOTA also did a great job of predicting Ryan Howard's stats this year.

 

Anyway, Aramis's decline isn't projected to be very sharp from year to year. Next year is projected to be pretty much the same as this year, for example, except for maybe a 2 or 3 point drop in OBP. However, PECOTA does expect him to see fewer plate appearances over the next few years, bottoming out at 90 less in 2009 than he sees this year, so it's likely that he'll have to deal with some minor injuries in the upcoming years.

 

These are the same long-term projections from the beginning of the season, right? Unless they've pegged Ramirez's season this year real well, at this point I'd think that the long term projections at the best need revision and at the worst are pretty useless.

[Fred Hornkohl]

Caroll walked , Kim to second

[InconspicuousZ28]

ANOTHER walk. Please throw strikes.

[BeerHere]

Fewer walks plz

 

 

 

](*,)

[Fred Hornkohl]

BOTTOM OF THE FOURTH INNING

 

Torrealba grounded out to first, unassisted

Barmes flied out to deep left field

Kim walked

Caroll walked , Kim to second

Helton grounded out to first, unassisted

 

0 runs 0 hits 0 errors 2 men left on base

 

                1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9              R  H  E
CUBS            0 0 4 0                        4  5  0
Colorado        0 1 4 0                        5  4  0

 

Home runs:

CUBS: Ramirez (28 )

Colorado: Atkins (19)

 

CUBS           IP  H  R ER BB  K HR PIT
Marmol        4.0  4  5  5  5  1  1  83

 

Colorado       IP  H  R ER BB  K HR PIT
Kim           4.0  5  4  4  1  2  1  54

[Andy]

Ok seriously, why the Joe Buck commercial? I have yet to get a satisfactory answer as to why we need that.

[BeerHere]

Walks

 

 

kill

 

 

ya

[RonnieWooWooSanto]

Len and Bob are so intrigued by the Rockies' stadium announcer.

[BeerHere]

Why is Mabry hitting ahead of Barrett?

[cheapseats]

Nicely done. His numbers are continuing to pile up.

 

Yep. Despite his wretched beginning of the season, he's about at his 40th percentile PECOTA projection, so he hasn't quite put up the numbers expected of him, but he's headed in the right direction. Even if he cools off a little bit, he should end up doing about what was expected of him before the season started.

 

And with Lee back in the lineup (and hopefully a couple more bats) next year, he should continue like this all year next season.

 

Pretty much. He's projected to decline slightly each year until 2010, when the decline is projected to be a little more pronounced.

 

Wonder why they think he'll decline every year? Not like he's old.

 

PECOTA isn't really a "they." It's a system that analyzes past data from years and years and years of baseball. It does a pretty good job. It's especially useful for tempering enthusiasm about career years; the Dodgers GM (DePodesta) wasn't going to give Beltre anything close to what the Mariners did because he believed Beltre's year was an anomaly.

 

PECOTA also did a great job of predicting Ryan Howard's stats this year.

 

Anyway, Aramis's decline isn't projected to be very sharp from year to year. Next year is projected to be pretty much the same as this year, for example, except for maybe a 2 or 3 point drop in OBP. However, PECOTA does expect him to see fewer plate appearances over the next few years, bottoming out at 90 less in 2009 than he sees this year, so it's likely that he'll have to deal with some minor injuries in the upcoming years.

 

These are the same long-term projections from the beginning of the season, right? Unless they've pegged Ramirez's season this year real well, at this point I'd think that the long term projections at the best need revision and at the worst are pretty useless.

 

It's been pretty close on Aramis this year - he's between the 40th and 50th percentile - but of course we won't know how accurate the prediction was until the season is over.

 

Of course, with each passing year, there is more data with which to project, so estimates should be more accurate.

[dew1679666265]

Ok seriously, why the Joe Buck commercial? I have yet to get a satisfactory answer as to why we need that.

 

They think we don't get enough of him announcing all through baseball and football season? :? I could do without him myself.