how many wins will win the nl central now?

[soccer10k]

With Pujols out for a couple weeks at least, not to mention Carpenter being out, the Cards are going to be hurt so I'm wondering how many wins it will take to win the Central this year?

 

This is not necessarily a Cubs optimism thread but feel free to discuss their chances to win the Central.

 

Here are the current standings:

 

Team           W     L
St. Louis      35    21
Cincinnati     32    24
Houston        27    30
Milwaukee      26    31
Chicago        22    33
Pittsburgh     21    36

 

Assuming each team keeps up the same pace, here are the projected final standings.

Team           W     L
St. Louis     101    61
Cincinnati     93    69
Houston        77    85
Milwaukee      74    88
Chicago        65    97
Pittsburgh     60   102

 

But the main question is, with Houston already in a big slump, St. Louis likely to slip during Pujols's absence, and Cincinnati regressing as well, how many wins will it take to win the central?

[CubfaninCA]

St. Louis will find a way to win over 90.

 

Cincy's going to cool off. Can't see them winning more than 85.

 

Who knows about Houston.

 

St. Louis is the team to beat. Just too much pitching and luck.

[IWU_CUBS_FAN]

St. Louis will find a way to win over 90.

 

Cincy's going to cool off. Can't see them winning more than 85.

 

Who knows about Houston.

 

St. Louis is the team to beat. Just too much pitching and luck.

 

luck about sums up st louis...go figure edmonds is too hurt two days ago to pinch hit in the marathon game and didnt play yesterday but today goes 3-3... :roll:

[TruffleShuffle]

94

[bhogg]

95

[SaorsaDaonnan]

n+1

[cubfan1955]

St. Louis won't miss a beat without Pujols. Everything they touch turns to gold while everything the Cubs touch turns to...well, raw sewage. They could sign Jose Macias to replace Pujols and he'd probably win the triple crown.

 

The Cards will win 95 games but about 88 would win it.

[Andy]

It will take 94 wins, and STL will be that team. I doubt any other team puts up more than 84.

[treebird]

cubs wins + 30

 

and that's not a statement on the strength of st louis

[soccer10k]

I figure St Louis will still win the division, but if they falter with Pujols out, it opens up the division for another team to get hot and make a serious push for the division. I think St Louis would have to drop to 90 wins on the year at the most for that to happen though. If they get more than 95 wins I don't think Cincinnati or Houston will get that many.

[UMFan83]

My prediction:

 

St. Louis 92-70

Houston 84-78

Milwaukee 81-81

Cincinnati 77-85

Chicago 74-88

Pittsburgh 69-93

 

Record from today on:

 

Houston 57-48

St. Louis 57-49

Milwaukee 55-50

Chicago 52-55

Pittsburgh 48-57

Cincinnati 45-61

 

Edit: Although I am reserving the possibility that the Astros make a big move around the trading deadline if they show any sign of life after Clemens joins the team and they are within striking distance of the WC or the division.