Abuck

[Guest]

I want to see your post draft analysis like you did last year. It was kind of fun!

[abuck1220]

i wouldn't really call it analysis...

 

infield: seems like everybody's got at least one weak point/question mark/middle of the road guy. buddiga has arod and ortiz at the corners, but belliard and adams in the middle. NSBB has pujols, wright and weeks, but barmes is somewhat of a question mark and estrada's middle of the road. tootie has kent, tek, and aram, but johnson's not a top flight 1b, and renteria's coming off a bad year. GHS has barrett, teix and tejada, but cano's iffy and blalock sucked last year. alamo has posada, helton, soriano, but encarnacion and hardy/drew are questions. PofM has thome, glaus, and jeter, but pudge is slipping.

 

the best IF's are probably DB (javy, dlee, utley, and young) and HBC (vmart, delgado, cantu, chavez, and lugo). if rolen's healthy, lynx is pretty tough too (konerko, giles, crosby, mccann).

 

outfield: lot of good ones...GHS has matsui, drew, clee, and bradley. FL has griffey, ichiro, baldelli and clark. both teams have injury risks in their OF, though. lynx has wells, bay, and crisp...pretty solid (and healthy). if delmon comes up this year, HBC's already good OF gets better. class of the league (OF wise) are raw dawgs (vlad, sizemore, holliday, and wily mo) and NSBB (bonds, dunn, sheff, gomes, and abreu). i'd take NSBB even though bonds is a risk and gomes had a bad 2nd half last year. if wily mo was playing full time in cincy, raw's could possibly be better.

 

SP: GHS's rotation is made up of teams' #1 and #2 starters (sheets, beckett, ollie, myers, patterson). sheets, beckett, and ollie are BIG risks though. NSBB has a better (and more reliable) top two in oswalt and halladay, not to mention webb. cain and liriano are young, but certainly have a ton of potential. alamo (buehrle, cc, lackey), HBC (z, pettitte), buddiga (zito, willis), BB (felix, peavy), FL (smoltz, hudson), NCC (pedro, aj), and tootie (prior, colon) are all tough at the top, but lack the depth of GHS and NSBB. the difference b/w GHS and NSBB may depend on each team's respective wild card -- wood for NSBB and clemens for GHS.

 

RP: only a few teams have three closers. DB (dempster, wagner, and weathers), GHS (turnbow, street, nathan), quakers (cordero, hoffman, krod), and buddiga (jobo, foulke and gordon). nc only has two, but they're tough (cordero, bj), same goes for SofS (izzy and rivera) and BB (armando and gagne). let's face it, weathers sucks, so that eliminates DB ( :D ). and i'm not betting my life on jobo. both GHS and quekers will rack up a bunch of saves, but cordero's peripherals aren't that great, so GHS probably gets the edge. though turnbow has the potential to be a one hit wonder, so that evens it out a bit.

[Guest]

I object to a few characterizations of my players:

 

Barmes is a HUGE question mark after hitting around .210 this spring and having a lousy second half after coming back from injury last year

 

Estrada pretty well sucks unless last year's injury is completely behind him

 

Minnesota's cracked and they're putting Liriano into relief to start the year, but I do have the ability to spot Santana, Batista and Vargas in the fifth spot.

 

I actually have two closers in Valverde and Ray. I might have three if Foulke implodes, though they may put someone at closer ahead of Hansen.

 

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

[abuck1220]

I object to a few characterizations of my players:

 

 

I actually have two closers in Valverde and Ray. I might have three if Foulke implodes, though they may put someone at closer ahead of Hansen.

 

like papelbon. :D

 

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

 

oops...thought i read somewhere that he had a bad second half. or maybe it was a bad second half of the second half. either way, he's a bit of a question mark. :D

[rawaction]

I don't like how I only got mentioned for my OF.

 

I have the single best SP in the league. Lowe had a big spring and should be able to take advantage of Dodgers Stadium this year. Garland had a big year last year. Lowry is expected to have a good year this year. Not really an injury risk among them either unlike most other teams.

 

My IF is weak on the surface, but could surprise. Berkman, if healthy, is a top 10 player in fantasy baseball. Beltre won't hit .330/50/140 again, but won't hit .240/20/80 again either. He was a star in the WBC. Greene is in his 3rd year and can explode if he stays off the DL. Kinsler is in a great lineup in the best hitter's park in the ML.

 

And you can't forget Mora who is at worst the 3rd- or 4th best starting U in the league.

[Quakers]

I think GHS's assessment is fair for the most part. I should have one of the better relief corps.

 

I, like Raw, really like my chances this year. I think my team should make it to the play-offs this year for the first time. I think I am a real sleeper candidate for the title too. If my youngsters can come through as I hope, I could surprise people. Granderson has been lights out this spring. So has Zimmerman. Hermida's started out slow, but his last couple of games were good. I am more worried about the fact that Florida had a firesale and nobody will be around to drive in. Mauer, Rios, and Tracy are just entering the prime years of their careers. Beltran should return to his studly ways now that he is over his groin pull. While my starting staff is not the best, it is good. Having Randy Johnson never hurts. Contreras was probably the best pitcher in baseball the seond half of last year, I think he is for real. If Duke/McCarthy/Guzman can catch on fire or if Wood/Kendrick burst on the season at midseason allowing me to trade established veterans for help elsewhere....

 

 

....oh my God, I am starting to sound like a Cubs fan :)

[Guest]

Comparing the finals teams from last year, based on the projected starting lineups:

 

Player                      FPTS	
Pujols, Albert 1B STL       720	
Abreu, Bobby RF PHI         604.8	
Dunn, Adam LF CIN           598.5	
Wright, David 3B NYM        582.5	
Sheffield, Gary RF NYY      545.2	
Bonds, Barry LF SF          497.5	
Weeks, Rickie 2B MIL        492.5	
Barmes, Clint SS COL        471.5	
Gomes, Jonny J. OF TB       447	
Estrada, Johnny C ARI       329.5       5289

Player                      FPTS	
Oswalt, Roy SP HOU          526.2	
Webb, Brandon SP ARI        474.1	
Cain, Matt SP SF            398.1	
Halladay, Roy SP TOR        444.8	
Santana, Ervin SP ANA       363.9	
Farnsworth, Kyle RP NYY     216.9	
Valverde, Jose RP ARI       206.2	
Ray, Chris RP BAL           178        2808.2
TOTALS                                 8097.2



Player                      FPTS	
Teixeira, Mark 1B TEX       658.2	
Tejada, Miguel SS BAL       585.5	
Matsui, Hideki LF NYY       570	
Lee, Carlos N. LF MIL       546.8	
Blalock, Hank 3B TEX        537.2	
Drew, J.D. RF LA            529.8	
Ibanez, Raul LF SEA         480	
Cano, Robinson 2B NYY       433.2	
Fielder, Prince 1B MIL      432.5	
Barrett, Michael C CHC      347        5120.2

Player                      FPTS
Beckett, Josh SP BOS        425
Myers, Brett SP PHI         406.1
Sheets, Ben SP MIL          404.6
Patterson, John SP WAS      396.8	
Perez, Oliver SP PIT        371.1	
Nathan, Joe RP MIN          237.4	
Street, Huston RP OAK       234.9	
Turnbow, Derrick RP MIL     206.9      2682.8
TOTALS                                 7803

 

This disregards Wood for NSBB and Clemens for GHS. Now, I'm the first to criticize the projections of CBS, but this gives a pretty convincing 294.2 point differential in favor of NSBB. And this is in the outlandish case of Drew actually staying healthy for a whole year!

[abuck1220]

i like cain and all, but if he's comparable to sheets and patterson...well, i guess nsbb is going to be pretty good. geez, they're pretty high on oswalt.

and if barrett's only 18 points better than estrada, i was pretty stupid to take him in the 4th round.

 

sorry to leave you out raw...use it as bulletin board material for your team. :D

Edited April 2, 2006 by abuck1220

[Quakers]

And this is in the outlandish case of Drew actually staying healthy for a whole year!

 

Tim has a point here.

 

But Tim, trusting CBS's projections....I thought you knew better.

[NCCubFan]

I think I have potentially an excellent pitching staff. Schilling (fully healthy again) and Martinez should put up big numbers. Burnett could have a big year if he doesn't miss any more time after starting the year on the DL. And the Cub fan in me is optimistic that Maddux will rebound in a big way after his offseason workouts. I also should get a lot of production out of my bullpen with Cordero and Ryan. Heilman is the wild card. He's starting out the season in the bullpen, but could move into the rotation if any of the Mets' starters struggle or get hurt. He may move back and forth, much like Jorge Sosa did for Atlanta last year. Offense is lacking (and I knew that would be the case going into the draft). I emphasized pitching with my keepers, and with only one pick in the first five rounds I wasn't going to pick up much in the draft.

 

With my less than stellar offense I'm not going to predict a championship for my team this year (although I'd take it if things go crazy and it happens), but I don't expect another 0-13 start either. I went 4-5 in the last nine weeks last year (and at least a couple of those losses were weeks where I was in the top half of the league in scoring but had the bad luck of playing against that week's hottest team). I then finished second in the consolation tournament for non-playoff teams (8th overall) in the postseason. That may be more of an indication of what I'll do this year.

[stitchface]

hey, why not compare the yankees and red sox!

[Guest]

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

 

oops...thought i read somewhere that he had a bad second half. or maybe it was a bad second half of the second half. either way, he's a bit of a question mark. :D

So, how's my question mark in the outfield doing so far? :D

[Quakers]

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

 

oops...thought i read somewhere that he had a bad second half. or maybe it was a bad second half of the second half. either way, he's a bit of a question mark. :D

So, how's my question mark in the outfield doing so far? :D

 

 

I see that Bonds is doing well :whistle:

[Guest]

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

 

oops...thought i read somewhere that he had a bad second half. or maybe it was a bad second half of the second half. either way, he's a bit of a question mark. :D

So, how's my question mark in the outfield doing so far? :D

 

 

I see that Bonds is doing well :whistle:

His OBP is pretty solid. 8-[

[Quakers]

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

 

oops...thought i read somewhere that he had a bad second half. or maybe it was a bad second half of the second half. either way, he's a bit of a question mark. :D

So, how's my question mark in the outfield doing so far? :D

 

 

I see that Bonds is doing well :whistle:

His OBP is pretty solid. 8-[

 

I am of two minds on Bonds.

 

Part of me wants him to do well so it can be said that steroids wasn't that big of factor in his homerun total. After all he can't be using them now with all the attention, testing, etc...

 

Part of me wants him to fall on his face like Sosa did last year. Proving to the public that even Bonds is not above the law. Maybe Selig will not publically challenge Bonds, but the use of steriods will not be tolerated even if it means the loss of the money generated by the chase for Aaron's record.

 

 

BTW - Would you be interested in a Mueller for Pujols swap?? I hear Pujols will never amount to too much :^o

[Guest]

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

 

oops...thought i read somewhere that he had a bad second half. or maybe it was a bad second half of the second half. either way, he's a bit of a question mark. :D

So, how's my question mark in the outfield doing so far? :D

 

 

I see that Bonds is doing well :whistle:

His OBP is pretty solid. 8-[

 

I am of two minds on Bonds.

 

Part of me wants him to do well so it can be said that steroids wasn't that big of factor in his homerun total. After all he can't be using them now with all the attention, testing, etc...

 

Part of me wants him to fall on his face like Sosa did last year. Proving to the public that even Bonds is not above the law. Maybe Selig will not publically challenge Bonds, but the use of steriods will not be tolerated even if it means the loss of the money generated by the chase for Aaron's record.

 

 

BTW - Would you be interested in a Mueller for Pujols swap?? I hear Pujols will never amount to too much :^o

I want Bonds to do well for selfish reasons. Not because of the fantasy team, but because watching him hit the past few years may be the only chance we ever have to see someone at that level of play.

 

I'll have to get back to you on the trade proposal.

[Guest]

Finally, I'm curious what part of Gomes' second half line of .285/.377/.526/.903 you thought is "bad". :D

 

oops...thought i read somewhere that he had a bad second half. or maybe it was a bad second half of the second half. either way, he's a bit of a question mark. :D

So, how's my question mark in the outfield doing so far? :D

 

 

I see that Bonds is doing well :whistle:

Barry's getting it going. :D