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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm changing my vote to Fujikawa as a protest for changing the rules mid-process.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'm happy. He plays above average D and if he finally healthy, he can hit. Good patience too. The wrist that has been derailing his career since 2005 is *definitely* healed this time, unlike all the other times he thought it was healed.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    http://0.media.todaysbigthing.cvcdn.com/35/72/18a381479eeb437c64aace6cf5f051d8.gif
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    As a rough conversion, add half a war to each slot to get fWAR.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Was talking about this same thing over at BN and came up with this stat: And the Rockies had the worst pitching in the league. And those 339 innings were all the sub-replacement innings the Rockies had. The Cubs 73.1 IP and -1.8 WAR worth of sub-replacement pitchers left on the roster. If the Cubs can somehow manage to field bad players at the back of their roster instead of abysmally horrible players, the gain in immediate performance should be massive.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    I wouldn't have called Darvish a prospect, either.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    I like the baseline because it pulls the projections back a bit. I think a 43-win replacement that Fangraphs uses inflates the perceived value of bad players too much. Baseball-Reference's individual WARs can be pretty screwed up because of their defensive metrics and the way they do pitching, but the scale is better. Last year, we had 12 bWAR as a team, which projects to 64 wins using bWAR's baseline. We had 21 fWAR as a team, which also projects to 64 wins using fWAR's baseline. So it's like using different temperature scales: the raw numbers are different, but you're measuring the same thing. And I refuse to use the scale that places replacement level below Ian Stewart on principle.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    How about this as a disqualifying criteria: He's spent multiple years pitching primarily in a professional league that is competitive rather than developmental.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    Using the Baseball-Reference scale (52 wins as replacement level, which I like a little more than Fangraphs' 43-win scale, which I think inflates perceptions a bit), just WAGging the projections, rating the bench groups as a whole. RF is for the platoon. I rated the bullpen as a whole rather than individually. That gets us to +28, which is almost .500. That seems way too good. I can't decide if I'm underestimating the team (with the big caveat that the rotation stays healthy) or if it's just an artifact of projecting this way. Last year's team was +11.7 as a whole, which projects to 64 wins, which was one off our pythagorean record.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    5) Vogelbach 6) Panigua 7) Maples Edit: Shoot, I forgot about Maples. I'm refusing to vote for Fujikawa on principle.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    As is Soriano's.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    Something something mystery team.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'd close to agree, but I don't see either of those things happening. Especially the position players.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    What are you seeing Castro and Rizzo doing when you project 74? Hell, Garza and Samardzija too? The quattro come out to a little more than last year, I'd guess, plus doubling Rizzo's playing time. Samardzija overperformed, Garza undepeformed, the other two just performed.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    So with a 40-man full of dreck and the 2nd pick in the best rule 5 draft in recent history, we somehow managed to lose more than we gained (taking the very liberal assumption that Peralta will stick with Arizona).
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    So if the season started today: Soriano/DeJesus/Schierholtz (Sappelt/Campana) Valbuena/Castro/Barney/Rizzo (????/Clevenger*) Castillo (Navarro) Garza/Samardzija/Baker/Feldman/Wood Marmol/Fujikawa/Camp/Russell/Dolis/Belivaeu/Rondon** *(abty had an interesting tidbit that the Cubs are considering using Clevenger as a third catcher/backup corner guy hybrid). **(Assuming they are serious about stretching out Bowden and Cabrera at Iowa) That's ... not good. Maybe 74 win projection with a lot more downside than upside.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    It costs $12k and there's a 38-player AAA protected list for each team beyond the 40-man. It costs nothing else and the player is freely yours once you take him. The AA portion is the same except it costs $4k and there's another 37-man AA protected list.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    We passed. Once we add QGFuG and Schierholtz to the roster, we were at 39 going into the draft.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    Yes. I misread it.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    Where'd you see that? http://www.cleveland.com/tribe/index.ssf/2012/08/hector_rondon_carlos_carrasco.html
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Where'd you see that? Some Cleveland news article during the frantic googling. I think it was 97 or 98 in a rehab start in Arizona.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    If he can hit 98 as a starter, I'm intrigued to see what he can do in the bullpen.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Did he have TJS in between 2011 & 2012? He had Tommy John after 2010 and then broke his elbow in 2011.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    *frantic googling*
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    SCREW YOU ASTROS!
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