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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. 33% career K rate, needs a .350 BABIP just to get a .280 OBP. Pass.
  2. 3 Ks in the last 4 batters. That's exciting for Wood.
  3. Anyone remember an ESPN article about the 2002 Cubs that made many of the same arguments? I think it was through a partnership with Baseball Prospectus or something. It was posted right after the season, iirc, and talked about how the Cubs were insanely unlucky that year in converting bases into runs, which was why they had a run differential of -56 despite an OPS differential of -.004. And then they were 7 games under their pythagorean record as well (69 wins instead of 76). It argued that the Cubs were a .500 team in disguise, and that whomever managed the team in 2003 would look like a genius when they made the turnaround. We're seeing something very similar here.
  4. The announcers are doing a masterful job of explaining Wood's luck this season without flat-out saying "he's a mediocre pitcher getting insanely lucky."
  5. Very bad hop, but it still feels weird to see Barney not make the play.
  6. Before we get too giddy about things ... as much as I am personally lukewarm about Moran, there's actually quite a bit to like. He's a good defensive third baseman. He should hit for a solid average, and the potential is there for more power to come. If you don't think Kris Bryant can stick at third, and you believe Moran will add some more power, then the argument for Moran over Bryant isn't that hard. Then, the question becomes whether or not you gamble on a position player over those two arms, and whether or not the savings you gain, plus the talent you add, is enough to overcome said difference. Don't get me wrong - I think Gray is the top guy in the draft, and Appel is 2nd, but there's a very good argument that taking the position player is worth it. It's not as if Gray and Appel don't have their flaws. I'm big on Gray, and he's my preferred guy, but he needs work. I guess, my point is, if the Astros do go Moran, there is an argument for it. Sure. It's not a Hayden-Simpson-level off-board pick. You could talk yourself into liking Correa last year, too, and they did. But I'm still giddy over getting Buxton if I'm the Twins.
  7. How about neither? But between the two, I'd guess Hendricks. I'm still not sold I buy Cabrera as a starter long term. He definitely has the higher ceiling, though. If neither, who else on the Tennessee roster would you pick? (I know what you're saying, but I phrased it so that you'd have to pick someone :) )
  8. Peavy makes two mistakes and pays for both of them. I like it.
  9. If Konerko wasn't taking all the way, that first pitch would have been hit 450 feet.
  10. It's hard to fathom how many different ways Castillo is bad defensively.
  11. It's a great day to be walking leadoff hitters, Wood.
  12. Good point. I still don't think there's much chance of a guy going back on a pre-arranged deal that high in the draft, but I hate the Astros' strategy and anything that makes it look worse is cool with me.
  13. Yeah, that's part of why I asked. I've been in the "screw Hendricks, 89 MPH = I don't care" camp, but I can't ignore the performance at AA. 58.1 IP, 7.41 K/9, 2.01 BB/9, 0.31 HR/9, 2.72 FIP. He'll be 23 all year. The scouting report says sub-average velocity, above-average deception in his release, a very good changeup and a full repertoire of adequate breaking pitches. If he can put up those peripherals all year at AA, with maybe a taste of AAA, then you have to think about getting him some big league starts in 2014, right?
  14. Epstein technically has the authority, but I don't think he's the "screw you guys, I'm the boss" type.
  15. Seems like Moran would have a lot more to lose in that situation. He turns down a guaranteed check for $4-5m and goes back to school, risking ineffectiveness or injury and guaranteeing him a bad rep with front offices around the league. His potential gain is that *maybe* he improves his draft standing and commands a little more money next year. The Astros, meanwhile, get the No. 2 pick guaranteed next year if he doesn't sign. No big loss for them, they are in no hurry.
  16. Bless the Astros for effectively giving us the No. 1 pick.
  17. OK. Imagine right now, you knew for a fact that there was a pitcher on Tennessee's roster who would give the Cubs at least 15 starts and 1.0 fWAR in 2014. Would you guess it was Hendricks or Cabrera?
  18. A little relieved. He didn't have any trade value, but I thought someone might scoop him up in waivers. He's not really valuable, but he's likable and the kind of guy you want stashed at AAA in case you need someone in an emergency.
  19. If his second half looks like his first half, you have to look at cutting bait for the 40-man spot.
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