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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Darwin Barney is outperforming Starlin Castro offensively.
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    I feel like I've been playing the "let's get excited about improvement in some arbitrary endpoint" with prospects for 15 years or so, starting with Corey Patterson. Does it ever end well? Maybe Samardzija.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    I wouldn't put it that way, but the minor league section is one of the few places where actual baseball discussion takes place almost every day. The "Kyle has powers to make prospects get hot with his criticisms" thing is a little funny if used sparingly, but it doesn't need to be brought up multiple times every day.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    Campana had some positive value at the major league level. Bowden is the replaciest replacement level pitcher who ever replaced. Not to mention, I don't think IFA money can be traded until July 2. Unless there's a way to pre-agree or something.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Why does this keep coming up? Nobody is giving you 1/4th of their IFA space for Michael Bowden. Imagine something you want. By the virtue of the fact that you want it, it is beyond the trade value of Michael Bowden.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    I was poking around last night, and I found two interesting things as it pertained to Baez. There were some very good hitters who posted poor numbers in A+ as 20 year olds. Most notably, Robinson Cano. .276/.313/.377. Miguel Cabrera was a little better as a 19 year old in A+ but no great shakes (.274/.333/.421). Matt Kemp walked 25 times versus 92 Ks, and CarGo had 30 walks and K'd 104 both as 20 year olds in A+. Carlos Beltran had a much better 2:1 ratio but only hit .229/.311/.363 while the same age and at the same level as Baez. But what really stood out to me was the sheer number of talented hitters who's numbers took a big jump from A+ to AA and from their age 20 to their age 21 years. It seemed to be a fairly consistent trend. If Baez had a K/BB ratio in line with those guys, we wouldn't be having the conversations. I don't care much about slash lines at this level one way or the other. But when the K/BB ratio peaked at over 7, that's worth being concerned over. After tonight, it's still 6:1.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Line drive percentage: Camp 15.8% Bowden 25.5% I don't see much difference between their stuff. Bowden has a better (but still bad) fastball, while Camp has better breaking stuff. Age and team control is irrelevant for completely worthless pieces who have no long-term value, which equally describe both Camp and Bowden. I certainly hope Camp is replaced as soon as possible, but Bowden is super terrible and completely deserving of his DFA.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    Even after tonight: Bowden 5.00 xFIP Camp 4.66 xFIP I don't get the teeth-gnashing over this one. They could have flipped a coin, they're both equally worthless.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    Will Starlin Castro reach 2.0 fWAR this year?
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    So glad we spent all this time setting up platoons so that I could see Borbon batting in that situation.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    Please, offense, come back and make this moot. Come on baby one time? The non-pitcher offense has been pretty brutal the last few days.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    The bullpen managed an impressive -0.724 WPA in just one inning.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    Bowden was bad, and Gregg is probably bad but hasn't had enough innings to show it.
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    He's been terrible at managing the bullpen. My only read gripe with him. Camp and Rondon shouldn't be on this team, and the same could be said for Marmol. They are are disasters. There's no good way to use a bullpen with one good pitcher.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    I hate baseball.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Great choice to use Russell here.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    The great comeback begins now. .500 by July 15. BABIPwRISP is a good start. ' LOL, Garza doubles.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    Beaz walked in his first PA tonight. I really want these last two weeks or so to be a new real ability level. That would be awesome.
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'll feel better about Baez's struggles when someone gives me a dozen or so comps that struggled similarly at A+.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    "Seeing what we have" and "trying something new" is not a valid justification for giving random minor league scrubs major-league spots at any point in any season.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    The 40-man is at 39, but none of those pitchers belong anywhere near the major leagues.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    This is a pointless thing to point out that means nothing, tells us nothing remotely predictive, and only serves to fuel the "only the Cubs" stupidity. Hmm. So you aren't going to like my follow-up about playoff win percentage against expected? It might explain part of why our fanbase is so quick to throw in the towel on teams that just need some positive variance.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    OK, so by my math, in the last 20 seasons going back to 1994, the Cubs are -38 on pythagorean variance. In that time, they've had +4 or better variance in one season (1998) and -4 or worse six times.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    There are no good PH options for being down with no outs and nobody on. Just send someone up there to swing as hard as they can and hope they catch one.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    And so the Cubs remain 3 games worse than their Pythagorean record suggests they should be. The last time the Cubs had three games or more of positive variance in a season was 2003.
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