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Hairyducked Idiot

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Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. Hairyducked Idiot
    Would Brett Jackson for one of the 30s picks be fair value?
  2. Hairyducked Idiot
    Supposedly the Cubs and Pirates had similar offers, but he didn't want to leave Pittsburgh unless someone offered him three years instead of two.
  3. Hairyducked Idiot
    Fangraphs' updated proejction for Starlin Castro is 1.9 WAR.
  4. Hairyducked Idiot
    This was an absurd statement. "In any given nine starts"? In any given nine starts where a pitcher has below-average strikeout numbers Kyle thinks that portends to little success in MLB. It does portend that.
  5. Hairyducked Idiot
    Pretty much expected. He had as many Ks as innings once in the minors this year, but you can't stat-scout pixie dust.
  6. Hairyducked Idiot
    Maybe BABIP doesn't really apply to Torreyes.
  7. Hairyducked Idiot
    Sure I can. I did it like a page ago with accuracy.
  8. Hairyducked Idiot
    It's a good thing the Cubs are so far behind that it's hard to get hopes up, because you and Kyle are trying to mess with us. The ultimate fly in the ointment is that we are going to make the team worse at the deadline unless we're within shouting distance of a playoff spot, and that would require both an extreme hot streak and a simultaneous cold streak from one of the big NL Central teams in front of us, probably Pittsburgh.
  9. Hairyducked Idiot
    If I were a Cardinals fan, this would bug me to hear going into tonight too.
  10. Hairyducked Idiot
    Let's do another round of pointless mathturbating. Going into today, Baseball Prospectus had our 3rd-order win percentage at .542. With 50 games to play until the deadline, we would need to go 29-21 to be .500 by then. If we have a 54.2% chance of winning each game, our odds of being at least .500 by the deadline are 35%. If we played out the remaining 110 games with that win probability, our odds of being .500 or better at the end of the season would be 59%. BP projects it would take 88 wins to get the 2nd wild card. We would have a 13% chance of reaching that.
  11. Hairyducked Idiot
    I expect more from you than making sweeping conclusions based on nine Triple-A starts. I feel comfortable with the sweeping conclusion that any pitcher who can't K more than 6 per 9 in AAA in any given nine starts is probably going to have a tough time in the majors.
  12. Hairyducked Idiot
    No. They took a lesser prospect with the first pick so they could sign a guy like McCullers later. You aren't confused.
  13. Hairyducked Idiot
    I'll take a Renteria-like career for Castro in exchange for the front office's mojo with finding productive players up and down the roster. We've got: An .800 OPS 3b (with plus defense) who was a pre-arb waiver pickup An .800 OPS RF for $2.25m and another pre-FA arb year functioning as a friendly team option A couple of 3-win starting pitchers found for minimal investment (one year of Sean Marshall for one, a 1-year $6m deal for another).
  14. Hairyducked Idiot
    Because it was implied? We all know why they took a lesser prospect with the first pick, and why they are considering doing so again.
  15. Hairyducked Idiot
    Does it make you feel any better that that would still put us a fairly distant 4th? If everyone played to their 3oW, we'd be 1 game back of the Pirates and Diamondbacks for the 2nd WC. Don't say these things. I'm starting to get a glimpse of the glory that is Theo's genius. We're going to win 93 games next year.
  16. Hairyducked Idiot
    Does it make you feel any better that that would still put us a fairly distant 4th? If everyone played to their 3oW, we'd be 1 game back of the Pirates and Diamondbacks for the 2nd WC.
  17. Hairyducked Idiot
    Maybe Baseball Prospectus' 3rd-order wins are right and this is actually a .540 team.
  18. Hairyducked Idiot
    https://twitter.com/M_Montemurro/status/340217123676758017/photo/1
  19. Hairyducked Idiot
    No, it's not. The fact that they got a good prospect doesn't change the fact that they got a lesser prospect.
  20. Hairyducked Idiot
    And I'm still taking Buxton ahead of him without a second thought.
  21. Hairyducked Idiot
    Petition to make Luis Valbuena Waiver Claim Day a citywide holiday.
  22. Hairyducked Idiot
    And Buxton is out-OPSing him but almost 200 points in the same league while being just nine months older.
  23. Hairyducked Idiot
    Throwing? That's a medium-sized thing for a catcher.
  24. Hairyducked Idiot
    Cubs have an above-average offense.
  25. Hairyducked Idiot
    There's no "little thing" that Castillo isn't bad at.
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