Jump to content
North Side Baseball

Hairyducked Idiot

Old-Timey Member
  • Posts

    39,504
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    46

 Content Type 

Profiles

Joomla Posts 1

Chicago Cubs Videos

Chicago Cubs Free Agent & Trade Rumors, Notes, & Tidbits

2026 Chicago Cubs Top Prospects Ranking

News

2023 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

Guides & Resources

2024 Chicago Cubs Draft Picks

The Chicago Cubs Players Project

2025 Chicago Cubs Draft Pick Tracker

Blogs

Events

Forums

Store

Gallery

Everything posted by Hairyducked Idiot

  1. and this assumption of yours is a projection firmly rooted in science. And two decades' worth of experience rooting for bad-approach/discipline prospects to turn it around. Baez's 22.8% career K rate in the minor leagues puts him firmly in a category that both busts at a much higher rate than other prospects, but also tends to have lower OPS when they reach the majors even if they had high OPS in the minors (http://www.minorleagueball.com/2011/4/22/2123847/the-significance-of-minor-league-k-rates). And given that this has happened in the lower minors, we should expect that K rate to tick up a little bit as he moves up. The only quibble here is what we define as a "realistic" possibility. If it wasn't for his amazing scouting reports, my Cubs' fan bias and faith in the developmental abilities of our front office, I'd probably be even more pessimistic about him.
  2. Seriously. Just let the Diamondbacks walk out there and drop their BIP whereever they please.
  3. Could they please hit one ground ball actually at someone? They can't all find holes. Really want to win one of these close games for once.
  4. I'm assuming he'll swing at the pitch-arounds.
  5. Do we have a coach in charge of catcher's defense? Fire him.
  6. Allowing for unrealistic scenarios *was* nuance. His skill set is that of a high power, low OBP guy. That's not likely to change.
  7. D-Fense! Edwin Jackson is the unluckiest pitcher in history.
  8. What on earth would we talk about if not projecting what might happen in the big leagues?
  9. Wind is blowing in, nobody's on base. Throw strikes, Edwin.
  10. That was a grand slam for most of this homestand. Good inning.
  11. I feel like the Cubs dugout is just flipping your off in response to this, en masse.
  12. Cubs now have 33 WP+PB. NL average is 21. Using linear weights, that's already cost us almost 4 runs.
  13. Kind of funny that one 12-4 blowout moves them down to 7th best. Not that funny.
  14. I have trouble envisioning any realistic scenario in which Baez consistently puts up more than a .320 OBP in the majors. If that .320 OBP is attached to a .225 ISO on a middle infielder, it's still pretty darn valuable, but it still drags down his ceiling.
  15. It was more fascination that it was within the realm of realistic possibilities. I'm still placing Baez fourth after the draft.
  16. I'd want something similar to what we got for Marshall. I'd really rather not trade him at all.
  17. Marmol's actual FIP, after tonight, is 6.34. And I still have a sneaking suspicion that the FIP formula overvalues extreme high-BB, high-K guys.
×
×
  • Create New...