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Geographyhater8888

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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888

  1. I’m saying the offense is in between now and April and maybe a little closer to the current iteration than the dodgers. Carson Kelly’s April magic isn’t coming back while Hernandez and edman have a track record of success. Some of the criticism is being spoiled by the early year magic, and if they can’t recapture it then they’ll need to add another arm badly. I’m holding them to unfair standards you can say, because that’s the only path I see towards winning a pennant with the was the pitching staff is currently constructed.
  2. Bullpen is starting to come back to earth. They had a nice stretch, but 162 games, as they say. Although we never expected much from cabrera and Pressley in the first place to be fair.
  3. I think it’s the difference between having a Carson Kelly with a 1.2K OPS in April all the way to a 10/100 slump and regression to his career average. Who in the lineup outside of Kelly and Shaw are exactly in a deep slump? The the offense is solid but not good enough to win if this is the same roster we’ll see in the playoffs even with a healthy Shotah and Amaya until they acquire another TOR arm and or Carson Kelly turn into babe Ruth again.
  4. And our starting catcher who went from arguably our second best hitter in April and some of May to going 10 for his last 100 is now 2 black holes instead of 1 black hole+piazza. Third in the league and will likely keep dropping until Amaya comes back.
  5. I understand the optics of not signing Bregman to a 4 year deal when you’re expecting Shaw to be a key contributor by 2026 but he’d complete the lineup. I’d prefer him or Seiya in the 5 hole.
  6. With no one on and Arozarena on deck, I wouldn’t have given Raleigh anything near the middle of plate with the wind conditions.
  7. Good job Busch. It feels like it’s been a month since they drove in multiple runs on a hit that wasn’t a home run.
  8. Cubs will be averaging under 5 runs/game by no later than July. Unless the score keepers give us the benefit of the doubt for facing Paul Skenes and Tarik Skubal and round up to 5. It’s a valid excuse.
  9. 24 of the last 36 runs have been hit via home runs over the 11 games.
  10. Was I seeing things or was that hit closer to Happ off the bat? It’s like having 4 outfielders with PCA out there.
  11. He’s had 98 at bats in 39 games. His single season WAR totals have dipped linearly every single season since 2019, at age 34, naturally and for the first time in his career he’s on pace to be in the negatives. Could be sample size, I’d give that 20 coin flips. Heads on all, 20 sample size. Tails on any of the coin flips, Father Time. I don’t see how a trade to pick up another bat would hurt the team considering the cost would be minimal. The asking price won’t exactly be Chris sale. If it’s a bust then he’ll join 3 other scrubs. We can also go off the career splits of burger where he has an OPS 174 points higher vs left handed pitchers at 813. he might not be available if the rangers are in contention, we might not even need him if Turner turns back the clock to 2024, he’s one of probably many other names I can list, but for the sake of upgrading the lineup vs left handed starters I see it as the cheapest and easiest upgrade to make even if only marginal.
  12. The material data set is this year. Right now. Maybe Turner is just having an off year and or needs more at bats and will hit around that 128+, or at least above Burgers career 113+ at ages 41, 42 and 43 until he gets bored of baseball, but I think it’s more likely that he’s a victim of Father Time. So probably not. Can Burger revert back to 2024? Possibly, but probably more likely to fall closer to his 2022, 23 and 25 platoon splits. How about probably an upgrade?
  13. The guy I was replying to said Jake Burger wouldn’t be an upgrade over Turner because of his 79 wRC+ in 2024, which is relevant in 2025 where he’s posted a 122+ thus far and a 113+ for his career?
  14. Nothing is a sure thing. He’s produced 3 years vs lefties and one where he didn’t. That’s the sample size you’re looking at. What is a sure thing is Turner is 40 and has an 89 wRC+. But I guess he should have a 128 ops+ because that was his total in 2024? We can be confident that he’ll likely be an upgrade as rental, unless he he turns back the clock to 2024 and not 23, 22 or 25. He’s just an example of one player I would think wouldn’t cost much. But all is well because Turner had good 2024 splits. how do we know Busch isn’t a sure thing based off of last season?
  15. And a 122 wRC+ in 2025 vs lefties with a career 113 wRC+. Busch also had a 103 wRC+ in 2024 vs lefties if that matters.
  16. It’s not a guarantee you’ll get production from a platoon bat from the farm at 1st base vs lefties as opposed to a sure thing like a Jake burger with a 760 OPS vs lefties, who’ll be cheap as a rental as a spit ball idea. I also don’t know how Long projects but he’s not a top 100 prospect for whatever it’s worth. bigger question is if it’s worth sacrificing Cade Horton for Sale. If you pull the trigger that trade, assuming the Braves are sellers you’ve put a lot of chips into this year and if the Cubs insist on being a fringe top 10 spender then you’re without Tucker, Horton and however many years are left on sales contract. If they operate like a serious team and Tucker is a Cub I’d be a lot more comfortable dealing Horton for a big time pitcher because you’ll still have 5 peak years or so from Tucker to offset the loss of Horton and increase your WS winning odds.l for 2025 and beyond.
  17. A win is a win. Let’s see how this idiom translates vs Milwaukee.
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