Geographyhater8888
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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888
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In addition to that Contreras was versatile too and could play left field and had the bat to justify carrying 3 catchers.
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Anyone know the catch probability on the 2 out gapper PCA ran down in the bottom of the 8th?
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Welcome back Shotah.
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4 outfielders
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Even a slumping PCA catches a base clearing 2 out double if anyone else is in center field.
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Especially given the fact that Taillon isn’t exactly throwing 100 mph gas with 90 mph sliders and splitters with 25 inches of break. Nothing about him screams he’ll have arm problems like Wood, Prior, Strasburg etc. Is it the extra muscle mass players have these days that decrease joint mobility?
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What sticks out a lot between fan graphs and baseball reference is the difference in how they ranks teams. BR uses SOS and RD as a tool to gauge a teams performance.
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I understand that these 4 at bat sample sizes even out over the course of a 162 game season, but as you’ve stated, OPS is outdated. So even if it evens out with a larger sample size we’ve established that a 2-5 point deviation in wRC+:OPS+ can happen, and the former is preferred. So if you have say 2 players on the same team with identical park factors and an equal OPS+, while one of the players has a 2 point edge in wRC+ for example, what quantifies it? is it a mathematical formula that has a higher correlation with with player success? like in the NFL for example where passer rating is the most popular quarterback efficiency statistic while Adjusted net yards per attempt correlates stronger with wins and losses. Because a qb who’s 6/9 for 100 yards and 1 td pass and 1 sack for a 6 yard loss has a higher passer rating than a guy who goes 6/10 for 100 yards 1 td pass and no sacks with a low passer rating but a higher ANY/A, if you get my gist.
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The starting rotation injuries took a while to catch up with them and the late inning bullpen arms+easy schedule have covered up that flaw, but it’s becoming more and more clear they can’t trade for another starter soon enough even with Shotah coming back. The weak bench and third base lineup black hole still persist and the division turned out to be difficult and not as easy as advertised. I hope Shotah doesn’t show any rust today.
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The senseless bunt attempt and outfield error is the difference between a lead and trailing. Of course it happened to be a mistake by our most reliable player.
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Please put Busch in the 5 hole. I don’t care if it’s lefty lefty, Swanson is a liability with runners in scoring position.
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PCA, the one consistent run producer and productive both at the plate and in the field has costed us 2 runs, Great timing.
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This was all part of the plan to save the pen and tire out the Cardinals position players running the bases for Thursdays matchup and maybe salvage a game.
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Makes sense. As far as my player a vs player b hypothetical, would they place more value on player a with 4 bases in as many at bats but only one run scored max or player b with only 3 bases in 4 PA’s with the higher OPS and more changes to score but dependent on his teammates in a luck based outcome? Which I assume is part of the calculation.
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Does this at all apply to opposing pitchers? Do they make a distinction between hitting a homerun off of Paul Skenes vs hitting a homerun vs whoever their number 5 starter is? And of course, say hitter a goes 1/4 with a homerun and 4 bases with a 1.250 OPS be weighed more than hitter b 2/3 with 2 singles and a walk for 3 bases and a 1.416 OPS, same ballpark for example? Just to get the best possible understanding.
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Thanks. What’s interesting is wRC+ and OPS+ don’t really defer a whole lot. Usually there’s a 2 point gap at best when contrasting a specific player.
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What does wRC+ measure that OPS+ doesn’t? Do they account for opponents ERAs? Hit by pitches? Stolen bases? Taking advantage of hitter freindly dimensions in a hitter neutral park like Houston where you have a short porch and deep alleys? Etc
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Slash $40 million off of the payroll, sign Matt Boyd instead of Max Fried, Tom vetos signing Bregman over deferrals…… If Tucker isn’t a Cub next year it’ll confirm The obvious.
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Out of curiosity, why is fWAR cited mote than bWAR?
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At what point do you consider leading off PCA or Tucker to push Swanson into the 6 hole? PCA to leg out Happs double play ground outs, Tucker Suzuki and Busch with Swanson in the 6 hole? Or do away with the pontoon splits altogether. Getting 2-3 at bats vs a righty in the 5 hole with Busch and maybe a lefty reliever is preferable over Swanson.
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His future is in the pen until he adds pitches that break horizontally and or and or he perfects his changeup and uses it more than 4% of the time. too predictable and easy to square up and lay off any pitch off the edges of the k zone.
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I was saying that in jest. Amaya and Shotah can’t come back soon enough
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Unfortunately, the opponents have done better, at least in the case of that wind aided offensive surge from last Monday where they went 2-3 last week. Which is how its worked lately when they’re not playing the pirates or marlins.
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Best case scenario is they delayed their mid summer blues by a month thanks to more talent/easier schedule from 23-24, but the weak starting rotation which is even weaker now that Steele is done still persist. The offense, which will bounce back to a degree, won’t be enough to overcome a weak pitching staff. I don’t see any available arms that’ll make this team a big threat in the playoffs either unless they recapture that April magic. The pen has pitched way over their heads too. While we wait for the offense to heat up the bullpen will be right there to offset their net positive. this is what happens when you slash $40 million off the books and don’t put it back into the team with needs at SP and uncertainty at third base with free agent talent available.
