Geographyhater8888
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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888
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Do you know the specifics? The cubs hold the head to head tie breaker over Arizona and Arizona split with the Mets, in the event of a 3 way tie the Cubs would be seeded behind the Mets and ahead of Arizona. Is this in the event of a 4 way tie with Sandiego where tie breaker rules are different?
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It’s been a while since they homered with a runner one base.
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Giants too.
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I believe so. As long as the Cubs win and the Reds and Giants lose, obviously. Cubs would clinch a higher seed than Az with a win or D Backs loss. I’m talking about in the event where there’s a 3 way tie and Az holds the head to head advantage over the Mets and the Mets have edge over the Cubs. It comes down to who has the highest combined winning% vs all 3 opponents. I misread your question.
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It’d comedown to who has the best winning percentage vs the other two seeded teams. In this scenario the Cubs would win the tie breaker if they win 2/3 next week, since the Mets and Diamondbacks are both 3-3 head to head and the cubs are 4-3 vs the D Backs. Lose 2/3 and the Mets hold the 3 way tiebreaker.
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So much better having a healthy Taillon and Assad in the rotation over Ben Brown.
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6 of their last 16 wins have ended in just score. They’re remarkably consistent.
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Two evenly matched 500 teams grinding it out. Way more competitive than the Bears.
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Because it’s a game thread and people react in the moment.
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Shame on me for thinking they could pull off a comeback. They can’t score 5 runs in back to back games.
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That Flores horsefeathers again.
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Sosa too.
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I haven’t seen brown in a while.
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Seiya Suzuki bobble head day.
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PCA and Seiya have 15 games left to clear 30 homers. It’s insane to have 2 players on the same team with such a gap in their first and second half home run splits.
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This team would be in a dog fight with the Padres for the 4th seed with the 23/24 bullpen.
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i fell into your trap again, didn’t I. You got me. That’s the gist of it. Do you have any theories on why their World Series winning probability is lower than 11 teams? If not you can respond with another paragraph reminding me how I forgot to capitalize “i” in the first sentence.
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The soft schedule has favored the pitching staff recently, which isn’t factored into expected stats. If i were to guess why the computer simulations don’t favor the cubs, I believe the pitching is probably a major reason. IF you believe these simulations are based off of the 146 game aggregate without any recency bias. Because it makes zero sense that the Mairiners, Mets and Padres have a higher probability to win the World Series if that was the case.
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Cubs are 22nd xFIP, lowest of any playoff team. They probably don’t project to make a deep playoff run vs power hitting lineups like the Dodgers and Phillies.etc They’re 22nd in home runs allowed despite the favorable park factor. That’s my guess. The Offense speaks for itself since the ASB too.
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I understand that. Why would the Mets who are slated the play the Dodgers in LA have almost double the odds? They have a tougher path.
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You’ve been a great help. Thanks.
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Since You already the answer, I’d rather you just tell me. Or him.
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Why would being locked into a fourth seed, at the moment, be tye reason they have lower odds at winning the WS than every other currently seeded team? Is the Tucker IL stint part of the equation?
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World Series winning odds are down to 3.8% on Fangraphs, lowest of any team currently seeded for a playoff spot.
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Cubs catchers have a combined 29 homers this season. Every time I expect Carson Kelly to face plant to the back of his baseball card like Seiya and Busch have he hits 4 homers in 9 games.
