Geographyhater8888
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Everything posted by Geographyhater8888
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Still interesting how those doomers at Fangraph set their odds so low relative to the other contenders. The 74-64 Mets stand at 7.3%.
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Fangraphs currently has the Cubs at 3.9% odds of winning the World Series, the lowest of any of the 12 seeded teams currently.
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First win with the opponents scoring 5+ runs since June 22nd too.
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First Monday win since Memorial Day.
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The offense is still worthless but at least the starting pitching is human again.
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Why isn't Crow-Armstrong bunting all the time?
Geographyhater8888 replied to CubFaninPA's topic in Chicago Cubs Talk
He’d be out by a couple steps by throwing his bat in frustration after making weak contact. -
The difference here is Kelly adding likely 2-3 wins alone posting a 1.3K OPS in April and PCA homering 1/3 games for half a season. All wins that I’m not sure are anything other than an aberration and not your typical ebs and flows over the course of a season and if any stabilization occurs it’ll be from PCA and not Kelly. Andrew Vaughn on Milwaukee is the only other NL player on a contender who you can say this about. Hopefully. That’s why. Bats will heat up and I can’t imagine Seiya will end the season like he started after the ASB. Boyd no longer beating his xFIP is worrying as our game 1 starter.
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They’ve swapped May with August. Seiya will heat back up, Tucker has found his swing and Busch is still grinding. What I don’t see is Kelly and PCA stabilizing back to his 1.3K OPS in April adding probably 3 wins and PCA homering every 3 games for half a season, shattering his 2025 projections. Really Boyd no longer beating his xFIP is a worrying trend, our game 1 starter. Anyone can win of course and the 12 playoff seeds where you create a much high buyers market, extra draft picks awarded to small market teams and balanced schedule has made the league less top heavy.
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I think Carson’s Kelly’s 1.3K April OPS and PCA 26 home runs in a 79 game span from April-July is what was off early on. Neither of them are coming back and added a lot of wins that were unsustainable over the course of a full year. Remember when Seiya led MLB in RBIs and was second in home runs? Don’t forget that Matt Boyd is the teams ace.
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He’s allowed the go ahead game winning run in all 3 non save situations he’s pitched in over the last 2+ weeks. It’s definitely a trend.
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Blah
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Rockies fans probably said the same thing on Friday night, how pathetic it was allowing 11 runs to the lowest scoring team in baseball since the all star break.
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And haven’t won any game they’ve trailed by more than 1 one run at any point in 53 games.
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They’re painfully mediocre.
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Another nail biter against a horsefeathers team. Unless of course Colorado extends their lead, then it’s a blowout loss vs a team losing by a 2.7 rpg average.
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It’s been the entire road trip too. Logan Webb is the only starting pitcher they’ve faced with an ERA below 4 and they’ve been handled 7/9 games.
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Offense already hit their once per week 4< run quota on Friday.
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433 OPS. Brujan and Berti posted a 523 and 492 for comparison.
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Happ has bad aim.
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ZUKI!!!!!
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Give Boyd run support.
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I don’t think anyone’s disputing that they’re not good. But with the way they’ve been playing as of this moment just doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence. A 6-3 road trip if they win today would match our bar of expectations. Winning nail biters vs the angels Pirates and Rockies and an offense that struggles to score over 4 runs, as of this very moment isn’t inspiring much confidence whether fair or not. I think people ignore the aggregate 136 game sample size because they haven’t really had the long winning streaks putting up crooked scores in forever or really at all topping out at 5 games and no real statement series sweep of a playoff contender, the lack of highs distracts us from the lack of lows. Luckily there’s still time for the bats to heat back up but the reaction from some posters is chasing that unsustainable early season magic. Credit to Counsell for keeping the pen fresh enough to win games on the margins. I’m saying this in as detached of a way as possible here, and 100% of posters would’ve been satisfied with 90+ wins back in march.
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If they beat Sandiego or LA in the wild card round and win a game vs any opponent in the divisional round he can’t say “I told you so” because they competed with and won a series vs one of the above teams.
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Haven’t scored over 4 runs in consecutive games since August 25-27, 31 games ago.
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You’d think this team would be due for another big knock with bases loaded but nope, another double play. Worst offense in baseball for 40 games.
