So this is purely based on my "eye test" analysis, but I don't see how the Cubs don't win 88 to 90 games next year or more if they re-sign Bellinger. When I watched the team last year, they were devoid in 2 key areas: Left handed hitting, and coaching (imo)
A few reasons why I'm optimistic:
1. I legitimately think Cody Bellinger is one of the best players in baseball when he is on this team. I'm all-on in the idea that the Cubs have "fixed" him and his approach. People forget that he was legit the best player in the game in the month of July last year, and he was basically a .820+ ish (if i recall) OPS guy before he got hurt and came back in July to be even better than that. This is an Arizona/LA kid who translated right away to Chicago baseball. I also think that he can consistently mantain a high BABIP now because of his new appraoch of putting the ball in play and spraying it all over. He has taken to hitting at Wrigley the way Castellanos did in 2019.
2. Emergence of Seiya Suzuki: I don't think we've seen the best from this guy yet, and he clearly turned a corner the 2nd half of last year. If his new "IDGAF" attitude extrapolates to a full season, he could be a top 20 hitter in baseball. I expect it to come all together this year with CC at manager and giving him his "mental break" days as needed
3. The Cubs got nothing from left handed hitting last year outside of Belly and some days from Happ. Now you are adding 2 top LHH prospects in Armstrong and Busch this year, in addition to retaining Tauchman and Happ. The Cubs can platoon the **** out of teams all year long, similar to the 2021 SF Giants.
4. Insane Pitching Depth: Up and down the roster, the Cubs have excellent pitching, both left handed and right handed. This is not even including Ben Brown and Cade Horton and both of them could force their way up in 2024. They have more pitching talent than they know what to do with.
5. Coaching - the Cubs lost a ton of close games last year, and they added probably the best manager in the game.
IDK guys, I'm really optimistic this year. BTW the Cubs have 2 bonafide starting caliber players coming off of their bench - Morel and Madrigal - this is a loaded team. They could absorb an injury in the rotation, bullpen, or lineup and be fine given the depth