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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. I'll say if xFIP and xERA both agree on a guy it takes a *lot* to make me think there's something they're both missing. Like we're a couple hundred innings into Assad doing this and I still don't feel confident in it being sustainable moving forward.
  2. Just checked and it was a sub 4 second home to first time lol
  3. I just went back and watched the play because I was curious and the complaint is even more silly than I realized. He absolutely ran it out.
  4. I'd be pretty surprised if Wiggins were moved. Both for the lack of other high velo SP arms on the farm and for his 40 man status.
  5. Same, pretty similar to Brown on Monday. Ugly box score but ultimately a lot more good than bad IMO.
  6. Not super shocked that the folks at Undertone don't know how to set a frequency cap
  7. Wiggins got smacked around a bit but has 9 Ks through 4. At 81 pitches he probably gets to at least start the 5th?
  8. I probably wouldn't have sent Shaw down in the first place, so glad he's back up. Relatively soft landing here too over the next two weeks. The Reds' pitching staff is solid, but A) they obviously play in a bandbox and B) we're getting their lefties which should bode well for Shaw. Jonny Long needs to slide over to 3B at Iowa. If he's even adequate in the field he's next man up if Shaw flops IMO.
  9. FG gave him 50's or better on everything but his fastball, so definitely not JAG. I think he's similar to Connor Noland. Not a guy I'm writing into the projected 2027 rotation, but someone who seems destined for quality big league innings and should be pretty valuable through at minimum his option years. Javier Assad without the huge ERA/FIP delta basically?
  10. The Dodgers are about to get swept at home by the Angels, lots of silly horsefeathers can happen in a short weekend series.
  11. I'd assume Brujan starting these last two games is a "one last shot to show us something before we cut you" deal. The team tends to do this with the roster bubble guys.
  12. 238 hitters have at least 100 PAs at AAA. Among them: - Owen Caissie is 1st in barrel rate, 15th in hard hit rate, 8th in xwOBA - Jonny Long is 18th in barrel rate, 1st in hard hit rate, 10th in xwOBA Shaw and Ballesteros are 6th and 18th respectively in xwOBA, but don't get there via gaudy exit velos.
  13. Will Sanders last three outings: 16 IP, 0.50 ERA, 18 Ks, 2 BBs, 8 H, 51% GB
  14. Ryan Brasier pitching for the second day in a row, so assume he rejoins the big club in Miami. Chris Flexen probably goes 2-3 innings tomorrow or Monday and then gets the boot.
  15. Luke Little seems fixed. No huge rush to call him up, but great to see.
  16. It usually costs less than you think. Reason being that team control for relievers is heavily discounted due to the crazy level of attrition. The Jason Adam trade at last year's deadline is probably a good comp, though Bautista probably nets a bit more. That trade was Dylan Lesko, a back of the 100 pitching prospect, plus two interesting lesser pieces. I'd expect something like this: - Pick 1 from our pre-arb SPs, excluding Brown/Horton - Pick 1 from the Iowa relievers - A teenage lottery ticket So something like Assad, Neely, Lumpuy as an example. This also presupposes that as he continues to knock off rust he starts pitching like an elite closer again. Because to this point he's been more good than great. Understandable coming off surgery but to return a premium like I laid out above he does need to get back to that level.
  17. Ryan Gallagher has 12 strikeouts?!?!
  18. Sanders is shoving, Maeda did not
  19. It's not the most notable thing from today but Daniel Palencia was NASTY
  20. I've mentioned this previous but I think there's a "Pick 2 Keep 2" with Caissie/Alcantara/Ballesteros/Long. In addition to their actual performances, I do think what happens with Tucker and to a lesser extent Shaw influences who it makes sense to keep. As a RHH 1B/3B/DH, I think Long is almost an automatic keep if either Tucker sticks around or Shaw disappoints.
  21. Jonny Long joined the dong party as well. A tertiary benefit to calling up Shaw sooner rather than later is that it opens up opportunity to play 3B for Long. Because the bat is probably not far from MLB ready.
  22. Reggie Preciado over the last month is hitting .284/.351/.403, which is I believe north of a 100 wRC+ in that park. It's not enough to re-shine the apple, but he's getting back onto the "keep tabs on me" list for me. Still age appropriate for SB.
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