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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
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  2. Bertz
  3. Bertz
    I'd assume after that as long as he wakes up tomorrow feeling good Shota's next start is against the Cardinals
  4. Bertz
    I would not be surprised if he stays parked at Tenn for much longer than feels necessary specifically to head off the calls for him to reach the bigs for as long as possible.
  5. Bertz
    You post this dripping with sarcasm but pending what the Dodgers do tonight the Cubs have the best record in the NL
  6. Bertz
    I'm begging some of you to follow the league more broadly. Absolutely pleading.
  7. Bertz
    I'd guess when the computers pop out their projections they'll peg him for something in the $350M-$400M range. From there I sort of assume his deal will ultimately start with a 4, just because when you get into this stratosphere optics matter a lot and if the team is willing to do something like $380M or $390M why not stretch a bit more and do $400M to get it done and dusted? 12 years and $410M or something thereabouts?
  8. Bertz
  9. Bertz
    I think it's worth keeping in mind he's the fourth youngest regular at AAA this year, and also the fourth youngest player to get a single MLB AB this year. If he were an american college kid he would be in next month's draft. Given how heavily much the Cubs weight the between the ears aspects of catching, it's not surprising he got passed over. The only two catchers this century to get significant MLB playing time at age 21 or younger are Brian McCann and Francisco Alvarez. And the 2023 Mets sucked. I will say it's not crazy to have other guys 1st. Mo's pretty clearly got the least power of the big four bats at Iowa. And while his age implies oodles of untapped upside, at 5'8" that remaining upside might in reality be pretty limited. I think if you promised me he wouldn't be able to catch in the big leagues I'd rank him somewhere in the 4-6 range.
  10. Bertz
    Got curious about Ben Brown's season so I did some math. 86 guys last year pitched at least 50 innings in both the first half and the second half of the season. Amongst those guys their 1st half ERA had a correlation of 0.19 with their 2nd half ERA. Their first half xFIP had a correlation of 0.46 with their 2nd half ERA. Nearly 2.5x. I know there's an impulse to say "who cares about underlying numbers he's getting shelled now" but the fact of the matter is this stuff tends to sort itself out sooner rather than later. (also on the flip side the Cubs' bullpen is outperforming its xFIP by a full run, so steel yourself for that inevitable regression)
  11. Bertz
    Wood and Bremner still on the board in this scenario
  12. Bertz
    Hey look at that, someone getting worse luck than Brown! Kirby is awesome, but at home with the wind (I believe) blowing out and Boyd on the bump the Cubs should still probably be light favorites.
  13. Bertz
    Just checked and Jordan Wicks averaged 94 and touched 96 today?! Really interested to see if that is a thing now or if it was purely because this was a short start. Though even if its the latter Wicks as a MIRP might need to be under heavier consideration.
  14. Bertz
    A lot of the (perceived?) lower ceiling SP's in the system have been absolutely balling out the last month or so
  15. Bertz
    What an outing from Wicks. Would be awesome if the time on the shelf helped him, whether that be physically or mentally. (Also worth noting he was due a little positive regression on the batted ball front)
  16. Bertz
    Rojas, Hernandez, and Brethowr all out of the SB lineup
  17. Bertz
    I was just wondering when this would happen. Sharma said last weekend he was close to game action.
  18. Bertz
    You absolutely cannot burn you leverage relievers in the 5th inning of a game you're already losing when you don't have another off day for a week and a half
  19. Bertz
    Horsefeathers yeah!
  20. Bertz
    The problem for those teams is that they are not providing supply commensurate with that demand. Like the Dbacks can ask for whoever they want but it doesn't make Merrill Kelly any less Merrill Kelly. Unless the Braves or Nats reverse course on Chris Sale or Mackenzie Gore I don't think there's a reasonable Wiggins package out there.
  21. Bertz
  22. Bertz
    I'd be pretty surprised if Rojas gets dealt. and certainly wouldn't expect is. to be someone that the team will go to market actively shopping. He's further away from MLB, but that's likely more feature than bug at this point. His ETA if things continue to progress well is more or less right as Nico hits free agency. He's also a year and a half from needing to be added to the 40 man roster. I'd suspect that Caissie and Alcantara are indeed the top trade chips that get bandied about the next six weeks. I also wouldn't be surprised if some starting pitching gets sent out the door. None of the immediate MLB depth obviously, but potentially some of the next wave guys like Sanders. Maybe Wicks, despite being more ready, just because of how far down the depth chart he is?
  23. Bertz
    Moises BallesterosJefferson RojasKevin AlcantaraJaxon WigginsJonathon LongOwen CaissieCristian HernandezBrandon BirdsellWill SandersJames TriantosChristian FranklinRyan GallagherCole MathisPedro RamirezNazier MuleIvan BrethowrFernando CruzDrew GrayGrant KippJack Neely
  24. Bertz
    Really really good read here Talks a lot about things that get brought up every day, but brings some hard numbers to the table which we're sorely needed.
  25. Bertz
    It's not just you, injuries for minor leaguers are really hard to track down. If it's something that plainly happened on the field we obviously know, but otherwise unless you're a team's top one or two prospects the updates are slow to come in. Since he didn't get put on the IL, best guess should be something minor and nagging, but even that's not a guarantee.
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