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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Now that we know Rojas isn't going to the Futures Game I don't really understand why he's still in South Bend
  2. Chris Kachmar is starting for Iowa instead of Maeda. I wonder if this is just reverb from the Wicks move, or if Maeda's heading up to MLB to potentially provide some length if things go south in tomorrow's bullpen game. Jostin Florentino is shoving again for Myrtle.
  3. https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?stats=bat&lg=all&season=2025&season1=2025&ind=0&type=8&month=33&pos=1b&sortcol=17&sortdir=default&qual=200 Fangraphs' Live Leaderboard has Busch leading all 1B in wRC+ for the moment
  4. You know what's weird I don't hear a lot about Zyhir Hope these days
  5. Also should be noted Iowa's such a hitters paradise an 800 OPS is barely above average.
  6. Yes! Although I'm curious about the roster move. Horton is the most obvious, but at the same time sending him down after last night's performance feels a little mean.
  7. Funny you ask this because PCA is a serial offender of this https://blogs.fangraphs.com/pete-crow-armstrong-just-wants-a-hug/ tl;dr sounds like it's not a big deal. Ump might slap his wrist but it's not gonna like nullify a run or anything.
  8. On paper Chris Flexen is by far the worst option on the team to pitch in extras but he just keeps nailing these chances. It's insane.
  9. Good lord what a night for Iowa. I assume Jed is firing off "U up?" texts to JJ Piccolo and Pete Bendix as we speak
  10. Cristian Hernandez with a walk, a double, and his 30th (!!!) steal of the year. He's definitely a tier behind our tippy top guys but he's really good.
  11. Brown is/was on pace to shatter his career high in innings, so not surprised they're taking the opportunity to pump the brakes hard on him right now. I'd guess he makes his next start next week and then only starts one game a week (instead of being on a 5 day rotation) until he's back in MLB Wiggins I'd be a bit nervous about if they hadn't just named him to the Futures Game. That announcement timing means he's almost surely fine I'd think.
  12. I really want Castro. I think he's my favorite offensive player to add by an order of magnitude. He's not an especially good hitter, I think it's probably good to calibrate expectations properly that he's a league average hitter that has just gotten some good fortune in the BABIP department the first half of this year. But man that versatility is attractive. If you read the Athletic article from earlier in the week about adding a bat, it's clear that the thinking is as much about reducing risk as it is improving the team. Fans are focused on upgrading from Shaw and Turner, but just as important is future proofing such that an errant fastball to Nico Hoerner doesn't torpedo our middle infield. Castro is perfect because he does both by virtue of playing literally anywhere.
  13. Guardians throwing an emergency starter tonight. We miss Sonny Gray against the Cards, and we likely get the back of the Twins rotation as well. That Yankees series looks all caps SCARY but the 7 before that shouldn't be too bad
  14. That sound ominous as hell and the thing that came immediately to mind is that Pirates reliever who was sniffing around those teenage girls
  15. Oof, looks like Cristian Hernandez had three errors tonight. Dampers the strong game at the plate.
  16. Low bar, but maybe the best day of the year for Myrtle. Ethan Flanagan is interesting. I assume this is just a case of a guy who, even with some post injury rust, is too advanced for the kids in Low A. I hope I'm wrong though and there's some fun raw material to work with there.
  17. It certainly wouldn't rise to the level of being considered a hot streak, but Southisene is showing a bit of a pulse at the plate lately Like he's graduated from frozen to refrigerated
  18. This is probably just a slump for the Mets, but they are SHREDDING their bullpen the last few weeks. If I was a Mets fan I'd be a bit worried about how completely you can fix that mid-season.
  19. Savvy move to end Sanders' day after 5. Based on pitch count it was iffy, but doing it this way let's him feel good about that outing. His first really good one with Iowa.
  20. ZiPS sees a lot of good positive regression coming for Taillon, Brown, and Horton. Only guy I saw on the negative side of the ledger is Pomeranz (which...duh).
  21. Scoreboard doing the Cubs a lot of favors right now. Cardinals and Phillies losing comfortably, and the Brewers down now too.
  22. Yeah I'm big on Cabrera. Assuming the Twins don't get into a deep sell-off he's probably my favorite individual SP available. I'd be willing to move guys for him that I wouldn't elsewhere. Alcantara's been talked about extensively. I tend to think it's probably best to stay away, but at the same time I would absolutely buy it if the Cubs' pitching development guys felt he's an easy fix. I'm largely just shrugging my shoulders and appealing to authority here. Otherwise I don't think I have much interest. Henriquez looks *really* good, but I wouldn't want to pay the premium his team control will require. Plus, the Cubs have Palencia and Hodge, plus potentially Brown or Horton as high octane young arms that will potentially be part of that playoff leverage innings mix. I'd probably prioritize an arm that I have zero reservations about translating his ability into high leverage spots.
  23. At this point Alcantara's probably rocking a 110 or so wRC+. When you consider speed + defense, if we had WAR available for AAA he'd probably have the team lead at this point (among the prospect-y guys at least).
  24. Okay it's a slow workday and I got curious about this, I think this bears out. I did some math and the distribution of HR/FB rates and velo looks fairly bell-curvey. I grabbed every pitcher season with more than 50 IP going back to 2010. I threw out the guys who didn't throw a four seam fastball. And then I bucketed every pitcher into bands and calculated the average HR/FB rate <85 MPH - 10.7% 85-89 MPH - 11.7% 90-93 MPH - 11.9% 93-95 MPH - 11.5% 95-98 MPH - 11.2% 98-100 MPH - 10.0% 100+ MPH - 9.6% It was quick and dirty analysis, for instance I didn't weight by IP, but it's pretty clear that broad strokes this is a thing.
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