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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. Bertz
    The Cubs are among the better teams in the league at handling velo. Against pitches 98 MPH+ - 10th in xwOBA - 11th lowest whiff rate - 8th in hard hit rate - 5th in barrel rate Add in that Miz has generally been 5 and dive, and I don't think this is going to be as bad of a day for the offense as you'd think.
  2. Bertz
    Nate Pearson over the last two months: 20 IP, 1.35 ERA, 25 Ks, 6 BB, 1 HR Nate Pearson in July: 8 IP, 2.25 ERA, 12 Ks, 2 BB, 0 HR He looks back on track. Depending on how much pitching gets brought in at the deadline, I'd be happy to bring him back up. Let him be the low leverage mopup guy and start trying to work his way back up the pecking order.
  3. Bertz
    Assuming the team feels good about Cabrera's elbow, I'd do it. I'd be a bit queasy about it, but I'd do it. Which is probably a good sign that it's a fair deal. But it really can't be overstated how big it'd be to get a guy you could have start a playoff game this year who will also be around less year making <$5M. Just absolutely massive impact on the next 15 months. If you can do it without Wiggins? It becomes a slam dunk then. Probably looks more like Caissie, Assad, and Long?
  4. Bertz
    I wouldn't be surprised if this ultimately happens, but Hector Gomez makes Bob Nightengale look good at his job
  5. Bertz
    Royals are extending Seth Lugo, so cross that one off the list
  6. Bertz
  7. Bertz
    Add a dong
  8. Bertz
    Lumpuy continues to rake, 2/2 with a triple early on And Yahil Melendez got lifted after one at bat. Probably injury, but you never know this time of year.
  9. Bertz
    Love the idea of Iglesias. He's been much better than his ERA, especially lately. And given his bloated salary the prospect cost should be pretty minimal.
  10. Bertz
    Rojas on base 4 time today. Just looked it up and looks like he's the 5th youngest hitter in AA this year. If he has a good two months at Tenn to close out the year hard to see how he's not a top ~30 overall prospect over the winter.
  11. Bertz
  12. Bertz
    Even if this is trade related, I wouldn't interpret it as all three guys are about to be part of one potential deal. I'd interpret it as there are multiple deals close enough to the finish line to warrant this caution. Probably with a good deal of either/or in place. E.g. Caissie to the Pirates (for Keller) or Alcantara to the Marlins (for Alcantara).
  13. Bertz
    None of Caisse, Alcantara, or Long in today's lineup for Iowa 👀
  14. Bertz
    Curious if anything happens today. Last year IIRC Pearson was Saturday, Paredes was Sunday, and then Leiter was on the actual deadline Wednesday.
  15. Bertz
    Annnnd Raisel just got spotlight by Sharma in the Athletic this AM
  16. Bertz
    I think the "Hey we're gonna have you take 3-4 days off to work on mechanics and mentally reset" thing seems to have clearly been big for both Shaw and Amaya. Clearly good managing from Craig. That said I think the timing is because these guys are getting up to 300ish PAs around this point. I think that's enough experience to have your feet under you a bit and start fighting back against MLB pitcbers. For instance Busch seemed to settle in early June last year, but he already came into last season with ~100 at bats under his belt.
  17. Bertz
    Hodge pitched and the velo was normal. Gave up a solo dong and K'd two. I'd assume unlike last time they're going to take their sweet time with the rehab assignment, since I think this is also somewhat doubling as a mechanical cleanup
  18. Bertz
    His ERA significantly overstates how good he's been, but still feels like Flanagan shouldn't be at Myrtle anymore.
  19. Bertz
    Pleeeease let this be Triantos figuring out AAA
  20. Bertz
    He's just connected enough that you can't write him off. It also doesn't help that he's a grade A moron, so if you have something where he's injecting his opinion good luck. I'd be shocked if the Cubs do all of that personally. That said if you shop on the low end for all of those (Lugo as the top SP, Bieber as the other guy, etc.) I could maybe see it.
  21. Bertz
    Houser is basically just Colin Rea that the regression monster just hasn't quite caught up to yet. The velo's up so he's legitimately better than he was a year ago, but he's still a #4/#5 that has no right starting a playoff game. Mooney does more or less say he'd be the lesser pitcher added, so fine whatever, but I really hope people don't look at his ERA and think he's good now. I'd like to think Rea and now Flexen are helping break that habit?
  22. Bertz
    I'd be pretty ecstatic for any of Gore, Ryan, or Cabrera. I think when you combine what those guys do to set up the postseason rotation in the short term plus how they affect this coming offseason, it's just a massive impact. I don't think any rental can be only move made over the next week and not leave me livid that more wasn't done. Even Cease.
  23. Bertz
    Yeah I'm expecting he'll go to the bullpen after another couple starts. Teams now have much more sophisticated tools than the old Verducci "your career high + 30 innings" rule of thumb, but realistically they still usually end up in that neighborbood. 120ish regular season innings is probably what we're looking at for Horton, especially if they want him to be more than nominally available in October.
  24. Bertz
    Moises' single a few innings ago at 112.3 MPH is the hardest hit ball he's had since he got to AAA. And given his age I'd presume his hardest hit ball of his life (in game of course).
  25. Bertz
    I think you could argue a pretty wide range of values for Castro. But I would suspect he's worth less than Naylor. So yeah one guy in the neighborhood of #10 in the system and then another closer to #30 is probably what I'd expect.
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