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Bertz

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Everything posted by Bertz

  1. I expect that they're just going to go with what they've got and assume at least 2/3s of Yu/Q/Kyle will figure it out. If not, look forward to a bunch of bullpen games this October. It almost worked for the Yankees last year, and the Indians the year before. I'm not sure it's the right move (though I lean yes), but it's what I expect.
  2. When did Tommy turn into Jacoby Ellsbury with all the CI's?
  3. Again, false equivalency. Coins and cards are not people with variable emotions and the like, especially on a day to day and week to week basis. If you're talking about a full season of blindly putting the guy in the leadoff spot, sure, I'll concede that point. Maybe I’m way too Baseball Managering this, but I’d much rather have Maddon (and Theo) looking at these decisions in a weighted coin flip type of way than ‘emotion and the like’. We have probably five better hitters against righties than him in the lineup today, and they’re all going to get less at bats than he is. The whole thing that makes Theo Theo is that for inconsequential decisions like this he looks at the human element. If the projections say we'll score like .09 fewer runs with Almora leading off but they know that he's jazzed to do it and they think it's helping his development they're gonna let him do it.
  4. Almora leading off is not ideal but it's fine, and I don't think it says anything negative about Joe's thought process. - Short of doing something actively harmful like leading off with the pitcher, the lineup doesn't matter as long as everyone is comfortable - Much like BABIP, L/R splits generally regress to a player's overall mean - They clearly want Almora to grow into the leadoff role, and are willing to pay a small price now for a larger potential reward later - It could be just as much about not wanting Willson or Addison at the top of the order as it is about having Almora at 1.
  5. https://twitter.com/lindseyadler/status/1015092659709411329?s=19
  6. I like The Athletic and think it's worth it. I don't even bother reading the Chicago Tribune anymore. It's important to support journalism in some form and pay for good content. Obviously, it's way better to own a subscription to the Washington Post, but every bit helps. Oh I'm with you on paying for good content. I sub to FG, ESPN, and used to sub to BA (now I just buy the prospect handbook). I just think the Athletic specifically is a questionable value proposition. 90% of Mooney's stuff is doom boner nonsense or boilerplate beat writer stuff. Half of Sharma's is the same. I like the Bears coverage. and love Rosenthal/Stark, but realistically I'm getting like 2 worthwhile articles a week.
  7. Theory I have done 0 to look up: The reason the Cubs' clutch numbers are so bad the past few years is that the middle and bottom of the order are so good, we have a disproportionate number of runners on base for our pitchers.
  8. Niko Goodrum definitely sounds like a "I faked my death and now my new name is an anagram of my old name" kind of name.
  9. The Athletic has an outstanding article on what's wrong with Kyle. I'm leaning towards dumping my Athletic sub, but they do just enough stuff like this that I haven't yet. https://theathletic.com/418946/2018/07/03/whats-wrong-with-kyle-hendricks-let-him-explain/
  10. The Nationals are 7 games behind the Braves. and 3.5 games behind the Phillies for the 2nd wild card, with 3 other teams between them. Like, I'm sure Bryce will go supernova soon and they'll win 20 of 25 and this will all be a distant memory by the time the season is over, but damn.
  11. From what we know publicly Carl is super into video games, dinosaurs, and Skittles. I doubt anyone else on the team is anywhere close to as fun to hang out with.
  12. https://twitter.com/BleacherNation/status/1013853860052570112?s=19
  13. And the Cards are 5 back, about to head out west for the next week. We're really close to being able to write them off for the division.
  14. Like 20% the Twins offense being better than you expect, 50% the conditions, 30% the Cubs pitching being bad (basically Chatwood and Maples)
  15. Yeah I don't see any issue with Maples pitching and Joe leaving him in there a little long. But probably after the Astudillo hit he should have been pulled.
  16. Maples against Astudillo is fun in an unstoppable force versus immovable object kind of way
  17. Probably depends on how you weight Bob Howry's fantastic first two years versus his awful third year.
  18. I’ve wondered the same thing as well and can get on board with taking that route. Smyly fits this role as well if he is able to be back this year. This winter it sounded like Smyly is a pure reliever this year, but I would assume he's definitely in play for the Monty role next year.
  19. I'm wondering if they might go get someone with a profile similar to Mike Montgomery when we acquired him; a promising young reliever for whom the book has not entirely closed on starting. I think the team is likely going to need to horsefeathers or get off the pot with Montgomery as a starter this winter, and so going out and grabbing Montgomery 2.0 would kill two birds with one stone. It would bolster this year's rotation depth and it would backfill the swingman role for next year. A few examples of names I'm looking at are Robbie Erlin, Seth Lugo, Robert Gsellman, and Daniel Norris (might be a little too much of a reclamation project).
  20. That was not a cheap dong either. 103 MPH.
  21. This is easily the best Chatwood has looked as a Cub. Except for walking the backup catcher in the 2nd can't really complain about much from a process standpoint.
  22. The fact that the pitcher has the green light here tells me everything I need to know about how crappy a manager Molitor is.
  23. That's incredible news. Maybe he can be back during that first series after the break.
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